Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 11.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 289.6

Total Profit: +189.5

Puerto Rico Open

02/03/2023 - 05/03/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Nate Lashley 16.4 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.1/1) 5.75% 4.94% 1.28% -3.66% T3
2 USA Andrew Novak 22 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.74% 1.25% -2.49% T44
3 USA Scott Piercy 25 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.31% 2.67% -0.64% T21
4 USA Akshay Bhatia 25 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.31% 1.92% -1.39% 2
5 USA Samuel Stevens 25 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.31% 0.93% -2.38% T15
6 USA Ryan Gerard 28 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.97% 4.67% 1.7% T11 13.2
7 USA Dylan Wu 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.97% 1.54% -1.42% T48
8 AUS Cameron Percy 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.97% 1.32% -1.65% MC
9 RSA Erik van Rooyen 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 2.12% -0.41% 32
10 ENG Harry Hall 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 2.11% -0.42% T7
11 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 1.76% -0.77% MC
12 USA Michael Kim 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 1.44% -1.09% 5
13 RSA MJ Daffue 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 1.22% -1.31% T64
14 USA Brandon Harkins 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.1% 0.44% -1.66% T59
15 USA Ryan Armour 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 1.68% -0.01% T61 7.51
16 USA Harry Higgs 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 1.61% -0.07% T7
17 USA Austin Eckroat 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 1.44% -0.25% MC
18 USA Harrison Endycott 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 1.44% -0.25%
19 USA Brice Garnett 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.69% 1.4% -0.29% T48
20 SWE Vincent Norrman 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.69% 0.75% -0.93% T21
21 SWE Henrik Norlander 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.54% 1.19% -0.35% T15
22 ARG Augusto Nunez 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.54% 0.87% -0.67% T15
23 USA Austin Cook 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 2.4% 1.12% MC 5.72
24 USA Kevin Roy 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 2.07% 0.79% T33 5.72
25 USA Jim Herman 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.45% 0.16% T44 5.72
26 USA Hank Lebioda 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1.01% -0.28% T21
27 ARG Fabian Gomez 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 0.96% -0.32% MC
28 USA Paul Haley-II 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 0.93% -0.36% T21
29 USA Sean O'Hair 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.28% 0.65% -0.64% T61
30 USA Austin Smotherman 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 0.61% -0.67%
31 USA Brent Grant 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 2.27% 1.21% T40 4.73
32 KOR Seungyul Noh 80 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 1.36% 0.3% T29 4.73
33 USA Chris Stroud 80 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 1.28% 0.22% T15 4.73
34 USA Brian Stuard 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 1.12% 0.06% MC 4.73
35 KOR Sangmoon Bae 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.06% 0.47% -0.59% MC
36 USA William McGirt 100 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 2.38% 1.53% T57 3.79
37 USA Scott Brown 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.97% 0.11% T33 3.79
38 USA Martin Trainer 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.85% 0.87% 0.02% T64 3.79
39 USA Kyle Stanley 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.79% -0.06% T54 3.79
40 USA Brandon Matthews 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.79% -0.07% T40 3.79
41 USA Jason Dufner 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.64% -0.21% T44
42 CAN Michael Gligic 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.52% -0.33% MC
43 USA Josh Teater 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.44% -0.41% T29
44 USA Noah Goodwin 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.44% -0.41% T33
45 USA Vaughn Taylor 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.43% -0.42%
46 MEX Roberto Diaz 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.74% 0.44% -0.3% MC
47 USA Trevor Werbylo 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 1.2% 0.5% T40 3.09
48 PUR Rafael Campos 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.44% -0.25% T48
49 USA Carson Young 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 1.53% 0.85% T3 (tied w/2) 3.04 +49
50 SWE Jonas Blixt 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 1.15% 0.46% T64 3.04
51 USA Trevor Cone 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.87% 0.18% 70 3.04
52 USA Jonathan Byrd 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.75% 0.06% T48 3.04
53 COL Nicolas Echavarria 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.73% 0.05% 1 3.04 +240.5
54 USA Max McGreevy 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.64% -0.04% T33 3.04
55 USA Bill Haas 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.63% -0.05% T11 3.04
56 USA Grayson Murray 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.46% -0.22% T15
57 USA Kevin Chappell 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.64% 0.75% 0.11% T15
58 USA Scott Harrington 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.6% 0.96% 0.37% T29
59 KOR Sunghoon Kang 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 2.02% 1.45% 69
60 USA Nick Watney 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 1.25% 0.68% T57
61 COL Camilo Villegas 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.83% 0.26% T48
62 USA Ted Potter-jr 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.45% -0.12% T59
63 KOR Hyukjae Choi 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.44% -0.13%
64 USA Richy Werenski 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.52% 0.89% 0.37% T21
65 USA Anders Albertson 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.49% 0.97% 0.48% T21
66 USA Wesley Bryan 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.53% 0.1% 6
67 USA Ricky Barnes 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.44% 0.01% T33
68 USA Andrew Landry 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.88% 0.46% T40
69 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.88% 0.54% T11
70 CAN David Hearn 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.47% 0.13% MC
71 USA Tommy Gainey 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% MC
72 CZE Jiri Zuska(AM) 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% T54
73 USA Cody Gribble 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.32% 1.66% 1.34% T7
74 AUS Greg Chalmers 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.32% 1.03% 0.71% T33
75 IND Arjun Atwal 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.97% 0.72% MC
76 USA Ben Crane 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.87% 0.62% 68
77 USA Bo Van Pelt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.57% 0.33% MC
78 USA D.A. Points 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.57% 0.33% MC
79 USA J.J. Henry 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.47% 0.22% MC
80 USA D.J. Trahan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.47% 0.22% T44
81 USA Boo Weekley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.44% 0.2% MC
82 USA Chad Campbell 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% MC
83 USA Derek Ernst 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% T21
84 USA George McNeill 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% T61
85 USA Duffy Waldorf 500 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27%
86 USA Chris Nido 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% MC
87 USA Jesse Mueller 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.42% 0.25% MC
88 USA Matt Every 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% MC
89 USA Jeff Overton 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3%
90 USA Derek Lamely 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% T21
91 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% MC
92 USA Jason Bohn 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.44% 0.33% MC
93 USA Robert Garrigus 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.49% 0.4% MC
94 ENG Brian Davis 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.47% 0.39% MC
95 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.36% T54
96 SWE Carl Pettersson 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.36% MC
97 USA John Rollins 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.36% MC
98 SWE Daniel Chopra 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.36% MC
99 USA Omar Uresti 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.36% MC
100 PUR Edward Figueroa 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.36% MC
101 USA Tim Cantwell-Jr 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.36%
102 PUR Robert Calvesbert 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.44% 0.38% MC
103 USA Cameron Beckman 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.44% 0.4%
104 JPN Ryuji Imada 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.44% 0.4%
105 USA Robert Gamez 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.44% 0.4% MC
106 DOM Hiram Silfa 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.44% 0.4% MC
107 PAR Carlos Franco 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.44% 0.41% MC
108 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
109 ARG Julian Etulain 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
110 USA Ryan Blaum 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
111 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T11
112 USA Eric Axley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
113 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
114 USA Erik Barnes 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
115 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
116 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
117 JPN Ryuji Imada 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
118 USA Ted Purdy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
119 USA Guy Boros 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
120 USA Frank Lickliter-II 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
121 USA Jonathan Kaye 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
122 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
123 USA John VanDerLaan 0% 0% 0% 0% T7
124 Ben Carr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
125 Timothy G Cantwell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
126 Tom Adrounie 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
127 Diego Saavedra-Davila 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 37.2% 20.6%
2 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 37.8% 21.1%
3 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 37.9% 21.2%
4 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 37.9% 21.2%
5 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 38.8% 22%
6 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 36.4% 22.1%
7 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.1% 22.2%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 39.2% 22.3%
9 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 37.6% 23.1%
10 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 64.5% 24.7%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 40.4% 25.6%
12 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 53.6% 26.1%
13 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 53.6% 26.1%
14 Betway 7 @ 1/5 54.2% 26.6%
15 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 26.7%
16 Coral 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 26.7%
17 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 42.2% 27.3%
18 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 29%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 46.1% 30.7%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 46.1% 30.7%
21 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 33.9% 32.2%
22 888Sport 1 @ 1/1 45.9% 45.2%