Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 38.2

Total Profit: -61.9

The Genesis Invitational

16/02/2023 - 19/02/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 8.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 2.6/1) 10.42% 8.65% 4.11% -4.54% 1
2 USA Scottie Scheffler 9 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 10% 8.3% 2.28% -6.02% T12
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 10 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.55% 2.13% -5.42% T29
4 USA Tony Finau 14 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.53% 5.2% -0.33% T20
5 USA Xander Schauffele 14 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.53% 1.34% -4.2% T33
6 USA Justin Thomas 14 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.53% 1% -4.53% T20
7 USA Collin Morikawa 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.61% 1.49% -2.12% T6
8 USA Max Homa 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) 3.85% 3.19% 1.81% -1.39% 2
9 USA Patrick Cantlay 25 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.19% 0.77% -2.43% 3
10 USA Will Zalatoris 33 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.44% 0.46% -1.98% 4
11 NOR Viktor Hovland 34 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.8/1) 2.86% 2.37% 1.78% -0.59% T20 10.49
12 USA Jordan Spieth 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.31% 0.68% -1.63% MC
13 KOR Sungjae Im 37 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.2/1) 2.63% 2.18% 1.42% -0.77% T56 9.66
14 USA Sam Burns 37 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.2/1) 2.63% 2.18% 0.75% -1.43% MC
15 AUS Jason Day 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.02% 1.31% -0.72% T9 8.96
16 USA Cameron Young 43 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8/1) 2.27% 1.89% 0.74% -1.15% T20 8.35
17 JPN Tomoharu Kimura 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.57% 0.09% -1.48%
18 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.43% 1.26% -0.17% MC 6.33
19 AUS Adam Scott 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.36% 0.58% -0.78% 65 6.02
20 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.32% 1.35% 0.03% T40 5.83
21 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.32% 0.51% -0.81% MC 5.83
22 USA Keegan Bradley 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 1.52% 0.28% MC 5.48
23 USA Taylor Montgomery 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 1.58% 0.56% MC 4.54
24 USA Rickie Fowler 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 1.06% 0.04% T20 4.54
25 ENG Justin Rose 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.86% 2.37% 1.5% MC 3.83
26 SWE Alexander Noren 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 2.2% 1.38% MC 3.64
27 USA Keith Mitchell 100 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.42% 0.6% 5 3.64 +38.2
28 USA Wyndham Clark 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.99% 0.17% T33 3.64
29 USA Sahith Theegala 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.78% 1.7% 0.92% T6 3.47
30 USA Beau Hossler 125 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.88% 0.22% MC 2.92
31 AUS Lucas Herbert 125 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.78% 0.12% T58 2.92
32 IRL Seamus Power 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.61% 1.28% 0.67% T14
33 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.88% 0.33% MC
34 CAN Corey Conners 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.51% 0.57% 0.06% 61
35 IRL Shane Lowry 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.48% 1.17% 0.69% T14
36 KOR Siwoo Kim 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.47% 1.16% 0.69% MC
37 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.47% 0.86% 0.39% T20
38 CAN Nick Taylor 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.45% 1.21% 0.77% T33
39 CAN Adam Hadwin 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.4% 1.83% 1.42% 66
40 USA Brian Harman 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.38% 1.24% 0.85% MC
41 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.38% 0.68% 0.29% MC
42 USA Russell Henley 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.38% 0.41% 0.03% MC
43 USA Patrick Rodgers 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.38% 0.87% 0.5% MC
44 USA Taylor Moore 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.6% 0.23% MC
45 USA JT Poston 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.46% 0.09% MC
46 USA Tom Hoge 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.36% 1.64% 1.28% T14
47 USA Alex Smalley 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 1% 0.67% MC
48 USA Tiger Woods 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.33% 0.09% -0.24% T45
49 USA Kurt Kitayama 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.65% 0.34% MC
50 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.39% 0.08% T56
51 AUS Cameron Davis 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.52% 0.23% MC
52 USA Sam Ryder 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.19% T20
53 USA Denny McCarthy 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.8% 0.54% T14
54 USA Billy Horschel 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.82% 0.56% MC
55 POL Adrian Meronk 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.66% 0.42% T45
56 USA Brendan Steele 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.29% 0.05%
57 BEL Thomas Detry 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.21% 1.33% 1.11% T33
58 GER Stephan Jaeger 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.89% 0.68% T40
59 ENG Callum Tarren 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.37% 0.17%
60 USA Hayden Buckley 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.94% 0.74% MC
61 USA Joel Dahmen 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 1.14% 0.96% MC
62 USA Gary Woodland 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.9% 0.72% T9
63 USA J.J Spaun 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.69% 0.51% T33
64 USA Luke List 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.5% 0.31% T29
65 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% T58
66 AUT Sepp Straka 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.39% 0.21% T45
67 USA Davis Thompson 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.82% 0.66% MC
68 USA Peter Malnati 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% T20
69 USA Lee Hodges 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.24% 0.08% T18
70 USA Andrew Putnam 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.16% 1.52% 1.36% MC
71 ITA Francesco Molinari 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
72 USA Matt Kuchar 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.73% 0.58% 8
73 ARG Emiliano Grillo 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.51% 0.36% T67
74 USA Nick Hardy 548 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.8/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.77% 0.62% MC
75 USA Patton Kizzire 548 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.8/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
76 USA James Hahn 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
77 ENG Danny Willett 567 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.5/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.49% 0.35% T18
78 USA Mackenzie Hughes 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 1.43% 1.29% T50
79 ENG Aaron Rai 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.76% 0.62% T29
80 USA Brendon Todd 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.72% 0.58% MC
81 USA Brandon Wu 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.63% 0.49% MC
82 USA J.B. Holmes 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.1% -0.04% T67
83 USA Kevin Kisner 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
84 SCO Martin Laird 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
85 USA Richard H. Lee 665 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.2/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.09% -0.04%
86 USA Matthew NeSmith 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.41% 0.29% MC
87 USA Harris English 705 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.6/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.34% 0.22% T12
88 RSA Dylan Frittelli 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.41% 0.3% MC
89 AUT Matthias Schwab 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.24% 0.13% T50
90 USA Doc Redman 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% MC
91 KOR Yeongsu Kim 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.09% -0.02% MC
92 SCO Russell Knox 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.45% 0.34% MC
93 USA Trey Mullinax 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 1.17% 1.06% T62
94 USA David Lipsky 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.64% 0.53% T62
95 CAN Adam Svensson 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.54% 0.43% T9
96 USA Stewart Cink 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.48% 0.38% MC
97 USA Cameron Champ 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.09% MC
98 USA Troy Merritt 793 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.1/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
99 USA Kevin Tway 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% T40
100 ENG Benjamin Taylor 832 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.3/1) 0.12% 0.1% 1.28% 1.18% T58
101 ENG Matt Wallace 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.62% 0.54% MC
102 USA Scott Piercy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.57% 0.48% T50
103 ENG Luke Donald 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.53% 0.44% T40
104 USA Mark Hubbard 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.47% 0.39% MC
105 USA Lanto Griffin 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.46% 0.37%
106 USA Justin Lower 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.36% MC
107 USA Michael Thompson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% T45
108 USA Greyson Sigg 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
109 USA Adam Schenk 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.27% T50
110 USA Chez Reavie 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.26% MC
111 USA Lucas Glover 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
112 NZL Danny Lee 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
113 USA Adam Long 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% T50
114 USA Chesson Hadley 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
115 USA Kevin Streelman 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.18% T50
116 USA Nate Lashley 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% T20
117 USA Doug Ghim 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% T62
118 USA Austin Smotherman 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
119 USA Kelly Kraft 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
120 USA Kramer Hickok 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.04% T29
121 USA Tyler Duncan 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% T33
122 USA Robert Streb 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.2% 0.14% MC
123 USA Chad Ramey 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.16% 0.11% MC
124 USA Nick Watney 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.21% MC
125 USA Ryan Brehm 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
126 USA Max McGreevy 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% MC
127 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T40
128 JPN Toru Nakajima 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T45
130 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
131 Jack Wall 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 Marcus Byrd 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.5% 4.1%
2 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 76.6% 17.3%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 55.9% 18.9%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 59.6% 21.8%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.7% 21.8%
6 Coral 10 @ 1/5 87% 24.1%
7 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 87.1% 24.2%
8 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 25.8%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.1% 26.3%
10 Betway 8 @ 1/5 66.5% 27%
11 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 45.3% 28.2%
12 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 69.8% 29.6%
13 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.8% 30.4%
14 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 31.3%
15 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 31.3%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.3% 37.8%
17 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 53.3% 37.8%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 59.2% 40.5%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 58.7% 42.6%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.6% 45.2%
21 VBet 5 @ 1/4 68.4% 48.6%
22 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 75.3% 57.5%