Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 238.7

Total Profit: +138.6

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

02/02/2023 - 05/02/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NOR Viktor Hovland 10 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.37% 3.86% -3.52% T13
2 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 11.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.2/1) 7.94% 6.44% 1.89% -4.55% MC
3 USA Jordan Spieth 12.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.4/1) 7.25% 5.88% 0.63% -5.25% T63
4 USA Maverick McNealy 16 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.77% 1.99% -2.78% WD
5 IRL Seamus Power 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.53% 1.75% -1.77% T15
6 USA Tom Hoge 23 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) 4.17% 3.38% 2.17% -1.21% T48
7 USA Andrew Putnam 27 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.8/1) 3.57% 2.9% 3.28% 0.38% MC 12.99
8 USA Keith Mitchell 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.39% 1.78% -0.61% T4
9 USA Denny McCarthy 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.25% 1.22% -1.03% T4
10 USA Alex Smalley 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 2.04% 0.06% T65 8.87
11 CAN Taylor Pendrith 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 0.92% -1.06% T7
12 ENG Justin Rose 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.7/1) 2.38% 1.93% 2.56% 0.63% 1 8.66 +219.7
13 USA Matt Kuchar 45 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.3/1) 2.17% 1.76% 1.15% -0.61% MC
14 USA Joel Dahmen 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.69% 1.55% -0.14% T41
15 RSA Dean Burmester 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% 0.87% -0.72% T41
16 USA Trey Mullinax 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.45% 2.93% 1.48% WD 6.5
17 USA Scott Stallings 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.45% 1.45% 0% T15 6.5
18 USA Nick Hardy 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.45% 0.77% -0.67% T41
19 USA Taylor Moore 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 0.82% -0.51% T15
20 USA Beau Hossler 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 0.59% -0.74% T11
21 BEL Thomas Detry 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.29% 1.26% -0.03% T37 5.78
22 USA William Gordon 66 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1.2% -0.01% WD 5.43
23 USA Kurt Kitayama 66 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1.15% -0.06% T29 5.43
24 CAN Nick Taylor 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.87% -0.35% T20
25 USA Davis Riley 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% 1.14% 0% MC 5.13
26 USA Brendon Todd 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% 0.87% -0.27% T2
27 USA Matthew NeSmith 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% 0.74% -0.41% T55
28 USA Richard H. Lee 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% 0.14% -1%
29 USA Benjamin Griffin 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.07% 1.91% 0.85% MC 4.79
30 USA Robby Shelton 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 1.42% 0.42% T20 4.49
31 KOR Byeong Hun An 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.89% -0.11% T37 4.49
32 USA David Lipsky 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1% 0.85% -0.15% MC
33 USA Nate Lashley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.4% -0.61% WD
34 USA Joseph Bramlett 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 1.23% 0.34% T7 (tied w/4) 4 +19
35 RSA Garrick Higgo 90 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 1.1% 0.21% T20 4
36 SCO Russell Knox 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 0.89% 0.62% -0.27% T41
37 USA Greyson Sigg 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 1.1% 0.3% T55 3.6
38 ENG Callum Tarren 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 1.03% 0.23% T65 3.6
39 USA Kevin Kisner 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.62% -0.19% T34
40 RSA Erik van Rooyen 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.45% -0.36% MC
41 USA Brandon Wu 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.44% -0.37% T2
42 USA Lanto Griffin 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.65% 0.6% -0.06% T58 2.94
43 ENG Benjamin Taylor 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.85% 1.2% MC 2.89
44 USA Troy Merritt 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.61% 0.42% -0.19% MC
45 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.89% 0.35% MC
46 USA Justin Lower 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.76% 0.22% MC
47 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.6% 0.06% WD
48 ENG Harry Hall 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.56% 0.03% T34
49 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.28% -0.26% MC
50 USA Kevin Streelman 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.53% 0.56% 0.04% T63
51 USA Webb Simpson 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.53% 0.23% -0.29% MC
52 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 1.05% 0.59% MC
53 USA Erik Barnes 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.82% 0.36% MC
54 USA Samuel Stevens 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.57% 0.11% T34
55 USA Adam Schenk 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.45% -0.01% T37
56 USA Jimmy Walker 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.43% -0.03% MC
57 USA Ryan Palmer 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.45% 0.47% 0.02% MC
58 AUS Kevin Yuan 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.42% 0.14% -0.28%
59 USA Kevin Tway 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.74% 0.33% MC
60 USA James Hahn 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.58% 0.18% MC
61 USA Austin Eckroat 200 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.46% 0.05% MC
62 USA Adam Long 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.36% -0.05% T48
63 ENG Danny Willett 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.4% 0.67% 0.27% T41
64 USA Mark Hubbard 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% T20
65 RSA MJ Daffue 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.38% 0.06% T48
66 AUS Aaron Baddeley 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.92% 0.61% T37
67 USA Doug Ghim 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% WD
68 KOR Seungyul Noh 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.18% T65
69 USA Harrison Endycott 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.39% 0.12% MC
70 USA Harry Higgs 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.47% 0.2% T48
71 USA Peter Malnati 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.23% 0.28% 0.05% T4
72 USA Charley Hoffman 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.21% -0.01% T48
73 SWE Henrik Norlander 383 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.9/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.61% 0.39% MC
74 USA Eric Cole 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% T15
75 USA Austin Cook 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.66% 0.46% MC
76 USA Ryan Armour 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.65% 0.45% T58
77 ARG Augusto Nunez 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.54% 0.33% T48
78 USA Zac Blair 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
79 USA Sean O'Hair 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% T65
80 USA Austin Smotherman 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% MC
81 USA Ben Martin 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.58% 0.39% T13
82 SWE Vincent Norrman 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.36% 0.19% MC
83 AUS Cameron Percy 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.57% 0.4%
84 USA Doc Redman 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.48% 0.31% T41
85 AUT Matthias Schwab 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.69% 0.52% MC
86 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.92% 0.76% T29
87 USA Andrew Novak 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.72% 0.56% T20
88 USA Michael Kim 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% T11
89 USA Tyson Alexander 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 2.22% 2.06% T48
90 USA Brice Garnett 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.74% 0.58% MC
91 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.14% -0.02% T29
92 ENG Luke Donald 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% MC
93 ARG Fabian Gomez 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.81% 0.66% T65
94 USA Lucas Glover 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.75% 0.61% MC
95 USA Chris Stroud 595 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.37% 0.24% MC
96 CAN Benjamin Silverman 595 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% MC
97 USA Trevor Werbylo 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.42% 0.28% T58
98 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% MC
99 USA Hank Lebioda 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% T15
100 COL Camilo Villegas 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.14% 0.01% MC
101 USA Dylan Wu 633 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.4/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.71% 0.58% T29
102 USA Ryan Moore 681 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.6/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.46% 0.34% T7
103 USA Chad Ramey 700 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.2/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% T70
104 GER Marcel Siem 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.62% 0.51% MC
105 SWE David Lingmerth 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.58% 0.47% T58
106 USA William McGirt 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.24% MC
107 USA Kevin Roy 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% MC
108 USA Ryan Brehm 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% MC
109 USA Wesley Bryan 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% MC
110 USA Grayson Murray 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.14% 0.03% MC
111 USA Jason Dufner 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.1% -0.01% WD
112 USA Nick Watney 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% MC
113 USA J.B. Holmes 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
114 USA Paul Haley-II 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.52% 0.44% T58
115 USA Brent Grant 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.5% 0.42% T20
116 USA Brian Gay 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.36% WD
117 USA Brian Stuard 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.32% T70
118 SVK Rory Sabbatini 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.18% MC
119 USA Andrew Landry 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% WD
120 USA Jonathan Byrd 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
121 USA Scott Brown 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
122 USA Kelly Kraft 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
123 USA Kyle Westmoreland 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% T29
124 AUS Greg Chalmers 1000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.4% 0.32% T70
125 USA Cody Gribble 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% T70
126 USA Philip Knowles 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21%
127 USA Trevor Cone 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
128 USA Max McGreevy 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
129 CAN Michael Gligic 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
130 USA Richy Werenski 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% T20
131 USA Anders Albertson 1000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
132 USA Bill Haas 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% WD
133 USA Robert Garrigus 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% MC
134 USA Kyle Stanley 1000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% WD
135 USA John Pak 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.06% MC
136 USA Ted Potter-jr 1000 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
137 USA Kevin Chappell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
138 USA Brandon Matthews 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.31% 0.25% MC
139 USA Carson Young 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.14% WD
140 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.14% MC
141 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.12% T20
142 USA Tommy Gainey 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
143 IND Arjun Atwal 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.37% 0.33% MC
144 USA Ben Crane 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.35% 0.31% MC
145 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% 74
146 SWE Jonas Blixt 0% 0% 0% 0% T20
147 USA Bo Van Pelt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
149 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 SCO Paul O'Hara 0% 0% 0% 0% 75
151 COL Nicolas Echavarria 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T41
153 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% T7
154 USA Tom Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA RJ Manke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 Garett Reband 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Charles Porter 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.5% 7.7%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 48.4% 13.3%
3 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 76.9% 17.4%
4 Coral 10 @ 1/5 76.9% 17.4%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 35.3% 19.4%
6 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 35.3% 19.4%
7 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.6% 20.5%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 37.5% 21.3%
9 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 59.2% 21.5%
10 Betway 8 @ 1/5 62% 23.7%
11 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 40.8% 24.2%
12 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 64.7% 25.8%
13 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 66.1% 26.9%
14 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 66.1% 26.9%
15 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 54.9% 27.9%
16 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45.5% 28.5%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 48.4% 31%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 54.9% 36.8%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 37%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 61.8% 45.5%
21 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 64.4% 47.8%
22 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 64.4% 47.8%