Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 12.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 228.3

Total Profit: +128.2

The RSM Classic

17/11/2022 - 20/11/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Tony Finau 10 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 9.09% 7.48% 0.38% -7.11%
2 USA Brian Harman 22 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.58% 0.45% -3.12% T2
3 IRL Seamus Power 22 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.58% 0.41% -3.17% T5
4 USA Taylor Montgomery 25 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.17% 0.69% -2.47% T15
5 USA Tom Hoge 28 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.84% 0.48% -2.36% MC
6 AUS Jason Day 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.65% 0.88% -1.78% MC
7 USA Denny McCarthy 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.42% 0.79% -1.63% T46
8 USA Keith Mitchell 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.29% 0.6% -1.69% T39
9 USA Matthew NeSmith 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.01% 0.83% -1.17% MC
10 USA Joel Dahmen 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.01% 0.83% -1.18% T5
11 USA Davis Riley 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.79% 0.75% -1.04% T46
12 USA Webb Simpson 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.79% 0.46% -1.33% MC
13 USA Kevin Kisner 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.79% 0.16% -1.62% T29
14 USA Patrick Rodgers 50 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.61% 0.94% -0.67% T10
15 USA Mackenzie Hughes 50 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.61% 0.75% -0.87% MC
16 USA Sahith Theegala 50 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.61% 0.67% -0.95% T2
17 ENG Justin Rose 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.61% 0.63% -0.98% T29
18 USA Matt Kuchar 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.61% 0.59% -1.03% MC
19 USA Andrew Putnam 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.47% 0.86% -0.61% T21
20 USA Wyndham Clark 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.47% 0.82% -0.65% T10
21 USA William Gordon 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.35% 0.81% -0.54% T15
22 CAN Taylor Pendrith 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.31% 0.84% -0.47% T15 5.75
23 ENG Aaron Rai 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.97% -0.25% MC 5.41
24 USA Brendon Todd 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.82% -0.41% MC 5.41
25 USA J.J Spaun 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 0.8% -0.43% T15 5.41
26 USA Nick Hardy 66 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.75% -0.48% MC 5.41
27 USA Scott Stallings 66 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.55% -0.68% T54
28 USA Harris English 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.39% -0.84% T29
29 USA Chris Kirk 75 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.08% 0.67% -0.41% MC 4.77
30 USA Alex Smalley 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.97% -0.04% T5 (tied w/5) 4.48 +9.4
31 USA David Lipsky 80 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.81% -0.2% 4.48
32 USA Taylor Moore 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.76% -0.25% MC 4.48
33 USA Hayden Buckley 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.75% -0.26% T39 4.48
34 RSA Dean Burmester 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.52% -0.5% T54
35 USA Davis Thompson 90 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.9% 0.66% -0.24% MC 3.99
36 GER Stephan Jaeger 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.96% 0.15% T46 3.59
37 USA Lee Hodges 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.88% 0.06% MC 3.59
38 USA Trey Mullinax 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.84% 0.03% 3.59
39 USA Benjamin Griffin 100 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.83% 0.02% T29 3.59
40 USA Justin Lower 100 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.76% -0.05% MC 3.59
41 USA Troy Merritt 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.74% -0.07% MC 3.59
42 USA Greyson Sigg 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.69% -0.13% T15 3.59
43 USA JT Poston 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.47% -0.35% T21 3.59
44 AUT Sepp Straka 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.66% 0.47% -0.19% MC 2.93
45 ENG Danny Willett 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.08% 0.43% WD 2.88
46 USA Mark Hubbard 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.96% 0.31% 2.88
47 CAN Adam Svensson 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.89% 0.24% 1 2.88 +218.9
48 SCO Russell Knox 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.88% 0.23% T21 2.88
49 USA Cameron Champ 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.74% 0.09% MC 2.88
50 USA Richard H. Lee 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.01% -0.64%
51 USA Brandon Wu 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.57% 0.91% 0.34% T54
52 USA Adam Schenk 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.92% 0.37% MC
53 USA Austin Cook 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.81% 0.27% MC
54 ITA Francesco Molinari 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.81% 0.26% MC
55 USA Sam Ryder 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.81% 0.26% MC
56 USA Robby Shelton 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.77% 0.23% T10
57 USA Patton Kizzire 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.67% 0.13% T35
58 USA Luke List 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.53% 0.76% 0.22% MC
59 USA Adam Long 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.48% 0.92% 0.45% MC
60 USA Beau Hossler 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.43% 0.79% 0.36% T21
61 ENG Matt Wallace 200 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 1.1% 0.69% MC
62 USA Robert Streb 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.9% 0.49% MC
63 ENG Callum Tarren 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.88% 0.47% T2
64 USA Ryan Armour 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.85% 0.44% T46
65 AUS Kevin Yuan 200 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.01% -0.4%
66 USA Kevin Streelman 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.85% 0.45% T35
67 ENG Benjamin Taylor 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.77% 0.37% T21
68 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.39% 0.63% 0.24% T39
69 USA John Huh 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.37% 0.83% 0.45% MC
70 USA Chesson Hadley 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.36% 1.07% 0.71% MC
71 USA Scott Piercy 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.8% 0.44% MC
72 SWE Henrik Norlander 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.76% 0.41% T39
73 SWE David Lingmerth 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.34% 0.72% 0.38% T10
74 KOR Byeong Hun An 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.33% 0.89% 0.56% MC
75 USA Zach Johnson 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.33% 0.21% -0.12% MC
76 AUT Matthias Schwab 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.83% 0.51% T62
77 USA Joseph Bramlett 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.78% 0.45% T64
78 USA Stewart Cink 250 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.75% 0.42% MC
79 USA Michael Thompson 250 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.51% 0.18% MC
80 USA Tyler Duncan 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.86% 0.58% MC
81 RSA Dylan Frittelli 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.85% 0.56% MC
82 USA Charley Hoffman 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.78% 0.5% MC
83 USA Max McGreevy 300 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.88% 0.61% MC
84 SWE Vincent Norrman 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.78% 0.51% MC
85 SVK Rory Sabbatini 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.69% 0.42% MC
86 USA Andrew Landry 300 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.54% 0.26% T67
87 RSA MJ Daffue 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.81% 0.54% 69
88 USA Ryan Moore 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.25% 0.54% 0.28%
89 USA Austin Smotherman 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.64% 0.39% MC
90 ENG Harry Hall 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.77% 0.54% MC
91 USA Brian Stuard 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.49% 0.25% MC
92 USA Tyson Alexander 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.7% 0.47% T62
93 RSA Garrick Higgo 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.79% 0.58% MC
94 CAN Michael Gligic 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.77% 0.56% MC
95 USA Nate Lashley 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.61% 0.4% MC
96 USA Kevin Tway 400 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.86% 0.66% MC
97 USA Ben Martin 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.78% 0.58% T21
98 USA Zac Blair 400 (Betway: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.69% 0.49% T29
99 USA Harrison Endycott 400 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.6% 0.4% MC
100 AUS Aaron Baddeley 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.57% 0.36% T39
101 USA Brian Gay 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.48% 0.28% MC
102 USA Sean O'Hair 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.42% 0.22% MC
103 USA Vaughn Taylor 400 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% MC
104 USA Eric Cole 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.74% 0.57% T39
105 USA Michael Kim 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.8% 0.63% T35
106 USA Kelly Kraft 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.71% 0.54% MC
107 USA Doc Redman 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.57% 0.4% T64
108 AUS Cameron Percy 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.56% 0.39% MC
109 USA Samuel Stevens 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.77% 0.6% MC
110 USA Paul Haley-II 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.73% 0.56% T29
111 USA Chad Ramey 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.87% 0.7% MC
112 USA Jonathan Byrd 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.24% MC
113 USA Nick Watney 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.86% 0.7% MC
114 USA Philip Knowles 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.76% 0.6% MC
115 ARG Augusto Nunez 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.76% 0.59% MC
116 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.75% 0.59% MC
117 USA Chris Stroud 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.73% 0.56% T5
118 COL Nicolas Echavarria 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.69% 0.53% MC
119 USA Dylan Wu 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.52% 0.36% T46
120 USA Cole Hammer 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.49% 0.33% T5
121 USA Peter Malnati 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.75% 0.59% MC
122 USA Harry Higgs 517 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.59% 0.43% T21
123 USA Brice Garnett 517 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.52% 0.36% T46
124 USA Andrew Novak 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% MC
125 USA Hank Lebioda 613 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.6/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.4% 0.27% MC
126 NZL Danny Lee 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.84% 0.71% T21
127 USA Erik Barnes 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.77% 0.64% T10
128 COL Camilo Villegas 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.4% 0.29% MC
129 USA Scott Harrington 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.78% 0.69% MC
130 USA Carson Young 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.77% 0.68% MC
131 USA Kyle Westmoreland 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.75% 0.66% MC
132 USA Brent Grant 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.74% 0.65% T54
133 USA Kevin Roy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.72% 0.64% T46
134 USA Jason Dufner 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.67% 0.58% MC
135 USA Brandon Matthews 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.65% 0.56% MC
136 USA Trevor Cone 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.52% 0.44% T54
137 USA Bill Haas 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.42% 0.34% MC
138 Palmer Jackson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.01% -0.08% MC
139 USA Spencer Ralston 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.01% -0.08% MC
140 USA Trevor Werbylo 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.74% 0.66% MC
141 USA Jim Herman 1000 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.68% 0.6% T46
142 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.4% 0.31% T54
143 USA Jacob Bridgeman 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% T54
144 USA Davis Love III 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.01% -0.07%
145 USA Ryan Brehm 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.83% 0.77% MC
146 USA Anders Albertson 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.61% 0.56%
147 KOR Seungyul Noh 0% 0% 0% 0% T15
148 USA Kevin Chappell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Scott Brown 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 AUS Brett Drewitt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% 66
154 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T67
155 USA Conner Godsey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Tim Weinhart 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
159 USA Akshay Bhatia 0% 0% 0% 0% 45
160 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 USA Bryson Nimmer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% T35

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 12.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betway 8 @ 1/5 59.9% 21.8%
2 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 41% 24.4%
3 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 41% 24.4%
4 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 64.3% 25.2%
5 Coral 8 @ 1/5 64.3% 25.2%
6 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.9% 26.9%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.6% 27.5%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.6% 28.4%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 44.9% 30.2%
10 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 33.5%
11 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 49.2% 34.1%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.2% 36.8%
13 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 56.1% 40.2%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 1 @ 1/1 62.9% 62.9%
15 Paddy Power 1 @ 1/1 62.9% 62.9%