Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 24.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 66.4

Total Profit: -33.7

Cadence Bank Houston Open

10/11/2022 - 13/11/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 6 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 14.29% 11.14% 0.17% -10.97% T9
2 USA Sam Burns 14 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.2% 0.27% -4.93%
3 USA Aaron Wise 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.11% 0.45% -3.65% T22
4 USA Tony Finau 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.71% 0.33% -3.38% 1
5 USA Russell Henley 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.39% 0.32% -3.07% MC
6 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.39% 0.17% -3.23% WD
7 AUS Jason Day 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3% 1.08% -1.92% T16
8 USA Taylor Montgomery 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3% 1% -2% T57
9 USA Maverick McNealy 25 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3% 0.72% -2.28% T27
10 USA Denny McCarthy 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.17% 0.93% -1.24% T53
11 USA Matthew NeSmith 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.7% 0.76% -0.93% T53
12 ARG Emiliano Grillo 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% 1.02% -0.51%
13 USA Joel Dahmen 50 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 0.92% -0.61% T9
14 USA Davis Riley 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 0.73% -0.79% T27
15 SWE Alexander Noren 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% 0.43% -1.1% T4
16 CAN Taylor Pendrith 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.39% 0.65% -0.74% 66
17 USA Sahith Theegala 55 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.39% 0.48% -0.91% T22
18 USA William Gordon 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.28% 1.03% -0.25% T43 5.66
19 USA Keith Mitchell 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.28% 0.43% -0.85% T9
20 USA Patrick Rodgers 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 1.06% -0.1% T16 5.15
21 CAN Adam Hadwin 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 0.99% -0.17% T7 (tied w/2) 5.15 +36.6
22 USA Wyndham Clark 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 0.83% -0.33% T16 5.15
23 USA Mackenzie Hughes 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 0.61% -0.55% T16
24 COL Sebastian Munoz 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 0.46% -0.7% MC
25 USA Andrew Putnam 70 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.1% 1.08% -0.02% T35 4.86
26 USA Taylor Moore 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.1% 0.84% -0.26% MC 4.86
27 USA Lee Hodges 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 1.04% 0.08% MC 4.26
28 USA Alex Smalley 80 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% 0.87% -0.09% T4 (tied w/3) 4.26 +29.8
29 RSA Dean Burmester 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.48% -0.49% MC 4.26
30 USA Harris English 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% 0.39% -0.57% T39
31 AUT Sepp Straka 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.34% -0.62% MC
32 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 1.07% 0.3% T7 3.42
33 USA Adam Long 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 1% 0.23% MC 3.42
34 USA Cameron Champ 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.82% 0.04% MC 3.42
35 USA Davis Thompson 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.78% 0% T43 3.42
36 USA Luke List 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.58% -0.19% T57 3.42
37 ENG Justin Rose 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.45% -0.32% T9 3.42
38 USA Brendan Steele 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.2% WD 3.11
39 ENG Danny Willett 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 1.22% 0.6% WD 2.74
40 USA Brandon Wu 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 1.05% 0.43% T62 2.74
41 USA Mark Hubbard 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 1.04% 0.42% DQ 2.74
42 USA Sam Ryder 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1% 0.38% 2.74
43 USA Robby Shelton 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.99% 0.37% 52 2.74
44 USA Greyson Sigg 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.97% 0.35% 2.74
45 USA David Lipsky 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.96% 0.34% T22 2.74
46 USA Justin Lower 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.94% 0.32% MC 2.74
47 SCO Martin Laird 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.88% 0.26% T22 2.74
48 USA Adam Schenk 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.85% 0.23% MC 2.74
49 USA Beau Hossler 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.85% 0.23% MC 2.74
50 ITA Francesco Molinari 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.83% 0.21% T47 2.74
51 ENG Matt Wallace 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1.32% 0.81% MC
52 CAN Adam Svensson 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.91% 0.39% T39
53 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.85% 0.33% MC
54 USA Kevin Streelman 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.81% 0.29% MC
55 GER Stephan Jaeger 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.8% 0.28% T9
56 USA Trey Mullinax 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.63% 0.11% T4
57 KOR Byeong Hun An 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 1.17% 0.73% T53
58 RSA Garrick Higgo 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 1.04% 0.6% MC
59 SWE Henrik Norlander 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.95% 0.5% MC
60 USA Ryan Palmer 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.92% 0.48% MC
61 USA Charley Hoffman 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.91% 0.46% MC
62 USA Stewart Cink 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% 0.62% 0.18% T57
63 CAN Nick Taylor 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 1.01% 0.62% MC
64 AUT Matthias Schwab 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.99% 0.61% T64
65 SWE David Lingmerth 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.99% 0.6% MC
66 SCO Russell Knox 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.97% 0.58% T27
67 USA Austin Smotherman 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.93% 0.54%
68 USA James Hahn 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.81% 0.42% T27
69 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.78% 0.39% MC
70 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.77% 0.39% T35
71 RSA Erik van Rooyen 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.62% 0.23% WD
72 USA Nate Lashley 225 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% 0.96% 0.62%
73 USA Benjamin Griffin 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 1.11% 0.8% T16
74 RSA MJ Daffue 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 1.08% 0.77% MC
75 USA Austin Eckroat 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 1.05% 0.73% MC
76 ENG Callum Tarren 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 1.03% 0.72% 26
77 USA Joseph Bramlett 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.99% 0.68% T9
78 USA John Huh 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.96% 0.65% MC
79 USA Johannes Veerman 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.96% 0.65% MC
80 USA Scott Piercy 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.95% 0.63% T16
81 USA Vincent Whaley 275 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.67% 0.39%
82 ENG Harry Hall 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 1.04% 0.78% T39
83 TPE C.T. Pan 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 1.02% 0.76%
84 USA Robert Streb 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.99% 0.73% MC
85 USA Ryan Armour 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.99% 0.73% T27
86 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.98% 0.72% MC
87 USA Kramer Hickok 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.97% 0.71% MC
88 USA Austin Cook 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.96% 0.7% T27
89 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.95% 0.69% MC
90 USA Peter Malnati 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.73% 0.51% MC
91 USA Doc Redman 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.25% 0.03% MC
92 USA Zach Johnson 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.02% -0.2% T57
93 ENG Benjamin Taylor 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 1.06% 0.86% 3
94 USA Eric Cole 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 1.05% 0.85% T35
95 USA Ben Martin 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.96% 0.77% MC
96 USA Paul Haley-II 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.95% 0.76% T62
97 USA Chad Ramey 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.94% 0.75% MC
98 USA Zac Blair 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.91% 0.72% MC
99 NZL Danny Lee 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.82% 0.62% MC
100 USA Kelly Kraft 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.23% MC
101 USA Philip Knowles 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.05% 0.89% MC
102 USA Erik Barnes 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.04% 0.88% T43
103 USA Brent Grant 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 1.02% 0.87% MC
104 USA Max McGreevy 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 1.01% 0.86% 67
105 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 1% 0.85% T43
106 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.98% 0.82% MC
107 USA Nick Watney 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.79% 0.64% T53
108 COL Nicolas Echavarria 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.78% 0.63% MC
109 USA Chris Stroud 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.77% 0.61% MC
110 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.76% 0.6% MC
111 USA Kyle Westmoreland 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 1.05% 0.95% T27
112 ARG Augusto Nunez 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 1.04% 0.94% MC
113 USA Carson Young 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 1.03% 0.92% MC
114 USA Tyson Alexander 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.87% 0.76% 2
115 USA Brandon Matthews 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.6% 0.49% MC
116 USA Jim Herman 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.86% 0.79% WD
117 USA Jason Dufner 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.81% 0.73% MC
118 USA Cole Hammer 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.48% 0.4% T27
119 USA Travis Vick 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.35% T39
120 USA Ryan Brehm 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.96% 0.91% MC
121 USA Ben Kern 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.01% -0.03% MC
122 USA Gary Woodland 0% 0% 0% 0% T9
123 KOR Seungyul Noh 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
124 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
125 USA Michael Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
126 USA Zack Fischer 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
127 KOR Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
128 USA Scott Harrington 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 USA Anders Albertson 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
130 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
131 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% 68
132 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
133 USA Samuel Stevens 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
134 USA Kevin Roy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 GER Lukas Euler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 USA Trevor Werbylo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 SCO Sean Jacklin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 Walker Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 24.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 53.3% 16.8%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.7% 17.1%
3 Betway 8 @ 1/5 60% 21.9%
4 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 60.9% 22.6%
5 Coral 8 @ 1/5 60.9% 22.6%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 62.7% 23.9%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 62.7% 23.9%
8 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 40.7% 24.1%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.6% 26.7%
10 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 46.5% 29.2%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 46.5% 29.2%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 46.5% 29.2%
13 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 30.1%
14 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 30.1%
15 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.5% 32.7%
16 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 75.1% 33.5%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 48.9% 33.6%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36%
19 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 55.4% 39.5%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.9% 39.9%
21 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55.9% 39.9%
22 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 61.2% 42.2%