Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 3.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 308.2

Total Profit: +208.1

Sanderson Farms Championship

29/09/2022 - 02/10/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Sam Burns 11 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 8.33% 7.64% 0.36% -7.28% T30
2 USA Sahith Theegala 20 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.37% 0.67% -3.69% CUT
3 USA JT Poston 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.53% 0.63% -2.9% CUT
4 USA Denny McCarthy 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.16% 0.95% -2.21% T39
5 USA Scott Stallings 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.16% 0.85% -2.31% T13
6 COL Sebastian Munoz 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.16% 0.49% -2.67% MC
7 USA Taylor Montgomery 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.16% 0.37% -2.8% T9
8 USA Russell Henley 32 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.5/1) 3.03% 2.78% 0.33% -2.45% CUT
9 USA Davis Riley 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.24% 0.98% -1.26% T19
10 ARG Emiliano Grillo 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.24% 0.96% -1.27% T5
11 USA Keegan Bradley 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.24% 0.5% -1.74% T5
12 AUT Sepp Straka 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.99% 0.29% -1.71% 2
13 USA Trey Mullinax 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.8% 1.3% -0.5% CUT 7.91
14 USA Wyndham Clark 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.8% 1.21% -0.59% CUT 7.91
15 USA Taylor Moore 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.8% 1.07% -0.73% T24
16 BEL Thomas Detry 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.55% 0.46% -1.1% T9
17 USA Gary Woodland 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.5% 0.65% -0.86% CUT
18 IRL Seamus Power 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.5% 0.52% -0.98% T30
19 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.43% 0.55% -0.88% T39
20 USA Harris English 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.43% 0.19% -1.24% CUT
21 USA Alex Smalley 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.37% 1.13% -0.24% CUT 6.02
22 USA Brendan Steele 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.37% 0.91% -0.46% CUT 6.02
23 RSA Dean Burmester 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.37% 0.45% -0.92% 4
24 CAN Adam Hadwin 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.24% 0.49% -0.75% T45
25 USA Chris Kirk 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.18% 0.84% -0.33% T30 5.17
26 KOR Byeong Hun An 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.13% 1.01% -0.12% CUT 4.98
27 USA Mark Hubbard 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.91% 0.89% -0.02% T5 (tied w/4) 4 +42
28 GER Stephan Jaeger 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.91% 0.78% -0.12% T30 4
29 USA Luke List 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.91% 0.75% -0.16% T73 4
30 USA Nick Hardy 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.91% 0.33% -0.58% T5 (tied w/4) 4 +13
31 ENG Aaron Rai 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.85% 1% 0.15% T61 3.74
32 CAN Adam Svensson 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.85% 0.49% -0.36% T54 3.74
33 CAN Nick Taylor 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.78% 1.09% 0.32% T19 3.42
34 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.73% 1.14% 0.41% CUT 3.2
35 USA Hayden Buckley 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.73% 1.14% 0.41% T19 3.2
36 USA Patrick Rodgers 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.73% 1.12% 0.39% T54 3.2
37 USA Robby Shelton 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.73% 1.01% 0.28% T61 3.2
38 USA William Gordon 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.73% 1.01% 0.28% T30 3.2
39 USA Davis Thompson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.73% 1.01% 0.28% T67 3.2
40 USA Mackenzie Hughes 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.73% 0.77% 0.04% 1 (tied w/2) 3.2 +253.2
41 RSA Dylan Frittelli 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.73% 0.59% -0.14% T13 3.2
42 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.73% 0.57% -0.16% T9 3.2
43 CAN Michael Gligic 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.73% 0.4% -0.33% T45 3.2
44 USA Joseph Bramlett 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.73% 0.31% -0.42% T45 3.2
45 USA Justin Lower 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.67% 0.34% -0.33% T45
46 USA Andrew Putnam 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.62% 0.91% 0.28% T30
47 USA Stewart Cink 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.62% 0.59% -0.04% T45
48 USA Brandon Wu 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.61% 1.27% 0.66% T39
49 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.61% 1.24% 0.63% CUT
50 RSA MJ Daffue 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.61% 1.13% 0.52% T61
51 USA Austin Eckroat 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.61% 1.01% 0.4% T54
52 USA Kevin Streelman 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.58% 0.5% -0.08% T24
53 SCO Martin Laird 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.55% 0.65% 0.1% CUT
54 USA Peter Malnati 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.52% 1.09% 0.57% T45
55 USA Samuel Stevens 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.52% 1.01% 0.49% T67
56 SWE Vincent Norrman 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.52% 1.01% 0.49% CUT
57 USA David Lipsky 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.52% 1.01% 0.49% CUT
58 ENG Callum Tarren 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.52% 1.01% 0.49% T13
59 USA Lee Hodges 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.49% 1.03% 0.54% T30
60 USA Tyler Duncan 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.47% 1.07% 0.6% CUT
61 ENG Harry Hall 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.46% 1.08% 0.62% CUT
62 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.46% 0.71% 0.26% CUT
63 USA Brendon Todd 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.44% 0.96% 0.51% CUT
64 SWE Henrik Norlander 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.44% 0.35% -0.09% T24
65 SCO Russell Knox 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.42% 0.77% 0.35% T24
66 USA Austin Smotherman 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.42% 0.23% -0.19% T67
67 USA Chez Reavie 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.41% 1.04% 0.63% CUT
68 USA Greyson Sigg 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.39% 0.98% 0.59% T9
69 USA Lucas Glover 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.39% 0.74% 0.35% 87
70 USA John Huh 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.39% 0.61% 0.22% T73
71 TPE C.T. Pan 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.39% 0.58% 0.19% T67
72 ARG Augusto Nunez 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.37% 1.01% 0.65% CUT
73 USA Harrison Endycott 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.37% 1.01% 0.65% CUT
74 USA Vincent Whaley 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.37% 1.01% 0.64% T61
75 USA Ben Martin 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.37% 0.32% -0.04% CUT
76 ENG Benjamin Taylor 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.36% 1.01% 0.65% T39
77 USA Joel Dahmen 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.36% 0.55% 0.19% T13
78 USA Nate Lashley 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.36% 0.31% -0.05% T61
79 USA Paul Haley-II 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.33% 1.01% 0.68% T54
80 USA Patton Kizzire 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.33% 0.69% 0.36% CUT
81 USA Scott Piercy 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.33% 0.44% 0.1% T19
82 USA Zac Blair 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.31% 1.01% 0.7% CUT
83 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.31% 0.02% -0.29% CUT
84 USA Robert Streb 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.94% 0.63% CUT
85 SVK Rory Sabbatini 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.3% 1.38% 1.08% CUT
86 AUT Matthias Schwab 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.29% 0.96% 0.67% CUT
87 USA Brice Garnett 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% T54
88 USA Ryan Armour 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13% T13
89 AUS Kevin Yuan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.26% 0.02% -0.24%
90 USA Brian Stuard 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.22% -0.04% T61
91 USA Austin Cook 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.25% 0.88% 0.63% CUT
92 USA Sam Ryder 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% 1.01% 0.77% T45
93 USA Andrew Landry 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.23% 0.96% 0.73% CUT
94 USA Kevin Tway 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.23% 0.95% 0.72% CUT
95 USA Jimmy Walker 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.21% 1.01% 0.8% CUT
96 USA Kramer Hickok 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.21% 0.96% 0.76% CUT
97 USA Kevin Roy 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.19% 1.01% 0.82% 76
98 USA Brent Grant 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.19% 1.01% 0.82% CUT
99 USA Cody Gribble 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.19% 0.02% -0.16% T30
100 USA Vaughn Taylor 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.06% -0.12%
101 USA Max McGreevy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 1.14% 0.96% CUT
102 USA Erik Barnes 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 1.08% 0.89% T45
103 USA Anders Albertson 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 1.01% 0.83% CUT
104 USA Trevor Cone 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 1.01% 0.83% T45
105 RSA Garrick Higgo 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.57% 0.39% 3
106 USA Brandon Matthews 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.06% -0.13% T39
107 USA William McGirt 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.05% -0.13% T24
108 USA Ryan Moore 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.96% 0.78% CUT
109 USA Nick Watney 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.91% 0.73% T73
110 USA Philip Knowles 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.17% 1.01% 0.84% CUT
111 USA Benjamin Griffin 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.85% 0.68% T24
112 USA Chad Ramey 577 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.4/1) 0.17% 0.16% 0.62% 0.46% CUT
113 SWE David Lingmerth 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% CUT
114 USA Scott Harrington 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.14% 1.01% 0.87% CUT
115 USA Harry Higgs 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% CUT
116 USA Jackson Suber 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 1.27% 1.15% CUT
117 USA Kyle Westmoreland 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 1.01% 0.89% T54
118 USA Richy Werenski 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.85% 0.74% CUT
119 USA Tyson Alexander 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 1.01% 0.92% CUT
120 USA Carson Young 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 1.01% 0.92% 77
121 USA Eric Cole 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 1.01% 0.92% CUT
122 USA Chris Stroud 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.91% 0.81% T67
123 USA Jim Herman 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.9% 0.8% CUT
124 USA Dylan Wu 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.86% 0.76% T67
125 USA Jason Dufner 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.83% 0.74% CUT
126 USA Wilson Furr 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 1.27% 1.18% CUT
127 USA Trevor Werbylo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 1.13% 1.04% CUT
128 USA Ryan Brehm 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 1% 0.91% CUT
129 ENG Justin Rose 0% 0% 0% 0% T9
130 AUS Jason Day 0% 0% 0% 0% T16
131 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
132 USA Zach Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
133 USA Ryan Palmer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 ENG Danny Willett 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
135 ITA Francesco Molinari 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
136 USA Charley Hoffman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 KOR Seungyul Noh 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
138 USA Tony Finau 0% 0% 0% 0% 1
139 SWE Alexander Noren 0% 0% 0% 0% T4
140 NZL Danny Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 USA Michael Thompson 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
142 USA James Hahn 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
143 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% 78
144 USA Michael Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
145 RSA Erik van Rooyen 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
146 USA Doc Redman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Zack Fischer 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
148 KOR Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
149 USA Kelly Kraft 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Adam Long 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
151 CAN Benjamin Silverman 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
152 USA Keith Mitchell 0% 0% 0% 0% T9
153 ENG Matt Wallace 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Johannes Veerman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 CAN Taylor Pendrith 0% 0% 0% 0% 66
156 USA Aaron Wise 0% 0% 0% 0% T22
157 USA Beau Hossler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Hank Lebioda 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
159 USA Martin Trainer 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
160 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
161 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
162 USA Cameron Champ 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
163 USA Maverick McNealy 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
164 COL Nicolas Echavarria 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
165 USA Ben Kern 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
166 USA Scottie Scheffler 0% 0% 0% 0% T9
167 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T13
168 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% T19
169 USA Cole Hammer 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
170 ARG Alejandro Tosti 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
171 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
172 GER Lukas Euler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
173 USA Quade Cummins 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
174 USA Travis Vick 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
175 SCO Sean Jacklin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
176 Joseph Hanko 0% 0% 0% 0% -
177 Sam Murphy 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
178 Brice Wilkinson 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
179 Walker Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 3.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 50.1% 14.2%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.3% 17.5%
3 Coral 8 @ 1/5 57.1% 19.5%
4 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 59.1% 21.1%
5 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.2% 21.8%
6 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 38.2% 21.8%
7 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 48% 21.8%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 48.7% 22.4%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 61.9% 23.2%
10 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 61.9% 23.2%
11 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 64.7% 25.3%
12 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 45.4% 28.1%
13 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 45.4% 28.1%
14 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 47.3% 29.8%
15 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 30.8%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 33%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57% 40.9%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 57% 40.9%