Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 6.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Andalucía Masters

13/10/2022 - 16/10/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 5.5 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 15.38% 13.5% 0.37% -13.13% MC
2 AUS Minwoo Lee 20 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.18% 0.36% -3.82% 3
3 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.82% 0.41% -3.41% MC
4 ENG Jordan L Smith 25 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.38% 0.76% -2.61% T6
5 SCO Robert MacIntyre 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.38% 0.67% -2.7% T9
6 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.38% 0.67% -2.71% 5
7 FRA Antoine Rozner 28 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.03% 0.86% -2.16% T14
8 BEL Thomas Detry 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.03% 0.77% -2.25% T45
9 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.58% 0.57% -2.01% MC
10 POL Adrian Meronk 40 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.6/1) 2.44% 2.14% 0.64% -1.5% T45
11 ENG Richard Mansell 50 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.72% 0.84% -0.88% T37
12 GER Marcel Schneider 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.72% 0.81% -0.91%
13 ESP Adria Arnaus 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.72% 0.67% -1.05%
14 ENG Callum Shinkwin 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.72% 0.53% -1.19% T37
15 ITA Guido Migliozzi 55 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.57% 0.78% -0.78% MC
16 ITA Edoardo Molinari 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.49% 0.88% -0.61% MC 6.65
17 SWE Alexander Bjork 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.49% 0.61% -0.88% T32
18 FIN Mikko Korhonen 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.44% 0.86% -0.58% MC 6.44
19 SCO Richie Ramsay 60 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.44% 0.85% -0.59% T28 6.44
20 ESP Adrian Otaegui 60 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.44% 0.6% -0.84% 1
21 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% 0.52% -0.79% 65
22 RSA Erik van Rooyen 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.31% 0.01% -1.3% T61
23 GER Yannik Paul 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.13% 1.01% -0.12% T21 5.03
24 FRA Matthieu Pavon 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 1.16% 0.08% MC 4.85
25 SCO Ewen Ferguson 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% 0.74% -0.34% MC 4.85
26 RSA Thriston Lawrence 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1% 1.1% 0.1% T6 4.46
27 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1% 0.8% -0.2% T21 4.46
28 FRA Romain Langasque 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.96% 0.71% -0.26% T32 4.32
29 ESP Jorge Campillo 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.94% 0.88% -0.07% T50 4.22
30 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 1.06% 0.19% MC 3.89
31 USA John Catlin 100 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% 1.01% 0.14% T11 3.89
32 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% 0.9% 0.03% T32 3.89
33 NED Joost Luiten 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.81% 1.21% 0.4% T28 3.64
34 ENG Andy Sullivan 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.81% 0.56% -0.26% T11 3.64
35 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 110 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.79% 0.85% 0.06% T50 3.54
36 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% 1.11% 0.37% MC 3.33
37 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% 1.01% 0.26% MC 3.33
38 ENG Matthew Southgate 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% 0.69% -0.05% MC 3.33
39 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% 0.64% -0.1% T37 3.33
40 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% 0.58% -0.16% T21 3.33
41 SCO Scott Jamieson 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.69% 0.9% 0.21% MC 3.09
42 GER Maximilian Kieffer 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.69% 0.78% 0.09% MC 3.09
43 ENG Matthew Jordan 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.69% 0.62% -0.07% MC 3.09
44 ESP Alejandro Canizares 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.62% 1.18% 0.55% MC
45 ENG Daniel Gavins 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.6% 0.92% 0.33% MC
46 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.6% 0.77% 0.18% MC
47 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 1.04% 0.46% MC
48 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.82% 0.24% MC
49 RSA Oliver Bekker 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.53% 0.69% 0.17% T45
50 GER Hurly Long 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.53% 0.63% 0.1% MC
51 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 1.02% 0.52% MC
52 WAL Jamie Donaldson 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 0.75% 0.25% T28
53 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.47% 0.88% 0.41% MC
54 CHN Wu Ashun 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.47% 0.69% 0.22% T45
55 AUS Jason Scrivener 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.47% 0.51% 0.04% MC
56 ENG James Morrison 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.89% 0.45% MC
57 SWE Rikard Karlberg 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.85% 0.41% MC
58 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.75% 0.31% MC
59 RSA Zander Lombard 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.43% 1.08% 0.65% T14
60 NED Wil Besseling 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 1.09% 0.68% T45
61 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.39% 1.07% 0.68% MC
62 SWE Vincent Norrman 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.39% 0.71% 0.32% T32
63 RSA Louis de Jager 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% 1.1% 0.73% 59
64 NED Darius Van Driel 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.85% 0.49% T19
65 ENG Dale Whitnell 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.8% 0.44% MC
66 ENG Marcus Armitage 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.62% 0.26% T21
67 USA Johannes Veerman 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.93% 0.58% T50
68 SCO David Law 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.83% 0.5% MC
69 FRA Julien Brun 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.95% 0.63% MC
70 ARG Daniel Vancsik 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.01% -0.31%
71 ENG Oliver Wilson 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.31% 1.08% 0.77% MC
72 USA Sean Crocker 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.89% 0.59% MC
73 SCO Craig Howie 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 1.06% 0.79% MC
74 ENG Jack Senior 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.83% 0.56% MC
75 GER Marcel Siem 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.86% 0.59% T37
76 ITA Francesco Laporta 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.79% 0.53% T55
77 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 1% 0.75% T55
78 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.99% 0.74% 4
79 POR Ricardo Gouveia 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.9% 0.65% T19
80 AUT Lukas Nemecz 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.62% 0.37% T9
81 FRA Frederic LaCroix 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 1.09% 0.85% MC
82 ENG David Horsey 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.94% 0.7% 66
83 ESP Nacho Elvira 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.83% 0.59% T21
84 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.68% 0.44% T37
85 DEN Jeff Winther 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.68% 0.44% T37
86 ESP Santiago Tarrio 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.01% -0.23%
87 ESP Alvaro Quiros 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.98% 0.74% MC
88 NOR Espen Kofstad 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.78% 0.54% T50
89 FRA Victor Dubuisson 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% 1.03% 0.8% WD
90 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% 1.18% 0.97% T14
91 SWE Joakim Lagergren 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.21% 1.18% 0.97% 2
92 THA Jazz Janewattananond 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.98% 0.78% T14
93 ENG Ross Fisher 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.96% 0.76% T14
94 SWE Marcus Kinhult 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.89% 0.69% T6
95 FIN Kalle Samooja 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 1.03% 0.84% MC
96 RSA Brandon Stone 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.99% 0.79% MC
97 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.96% 0.77% MC
98 SCO Stephen Gallacher 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 1.15% 0.97% T37
99 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.96% 0.78%
100 SCO Marc Warren 558 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.7/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.94% 0.78% T50
101 ENG Andrew Wilson 567 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.5/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.88% 0.72% T11
102 IND Shubhankar Sharma 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.75% 0.6% MC
103 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.77% 0.65% MC
104 ITA Nino Bertasio 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.56% 0.44%
105 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 714 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.4/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.96% 0.84% 60
106 ENG Steven Brown 744 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86/1) 0.13% 0.12% 1.17% 1.06% MC
107 AUS Maverick Antcliff 744 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86/1) 0.13% 0.12% 1.14% 1.03% T21
108 AUS Scott Hend 750 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.71% 0.59% MC
109 RSA Darren Fichardt 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.84% 0.72% MC
110 ESP Pep Angles Ros 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.98% 0.87% T21
111 ITA Filippo Celli 812 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.6/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.82% 0.71% MC
112 RSA Richard Sterne 832 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.3/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.72% 0.62% MC
113 USA Chase Hanna 852 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 94.9/1) 0.12% 0.1% 1.04% 0.93% T61
114 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 1.14% 1.05% MC
115 CHI Hugo Leon 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 1.07% 0.99% MC
116 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 1.02% 0.93% T37
117 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.94% 0.85% MC
118 ENG Chris Wood 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.94% 0.85% MC
119 ESP Pedro Oriol 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% T61
120 ENG Jack Singh Brar 1500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 1.09% 1.04% 64
121 FRA Benjamin Hebert 0% 0% 0% 0% T28
122 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
123 NED Daan Huizing 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
124 POR Ricardo Santos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
125 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
126 ITA Renato Paratore 0% 0% 0% 0% T32
127 ENG Ashley Chesters 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 Angel Ayora 0% 0% 0% 0% T55

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 6.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 8.1% 8.1%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.9% 26.8%
3 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 66.6% 26.9%
4 VBet 5 @ 1/4 45% 27.8%
5 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 71% 30.2%
6 Coral 8 @ 1/5 71% 30.2%
7 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.5% 31.4%
8 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 32.1%
9 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 49.9% 32.1%
10 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 50.5% 35.1%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 64.2% 35.3%
12 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 64.2% 35.3%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 35.9%
14 Betway 7 @ 1/5 66.1% 36.8%
15 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 55.8% 37.4%
16 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 53.3% 37.5%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 39%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 39%
19 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 57.5% 41.3%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 61.9% 45.2%