Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 5.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 267.5

Total Profit: +167.4

Cazoo Open

22/09/2022 - 25/09/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Patrick Reed 14 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.73% 0.24% -5.48% MC
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.05% 0.25% -4.8% T3
3 SCO Robert MacIntyre 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.09% 0.92% -3.17% T8
4 FRA Victor Perez 20 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.09% 0.87% -3.22% T30
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.09% 0.39% -3.7% 7
6 FRA Antoine Rozner 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.96% 0.77% -2.19% T11
7 POL Adrian Meronk 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.96% 0.48% -2.49% T11
8 NZL Ryan Fox 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.96% 0.38% -2.58% MC
9 ESP Adrian Otaegui 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.53% 0.35% -2.18% T13
10 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.39% 0.91% -1.47% 2
11 ENG Andy Sullivan 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.1% 0.91% -1.18%
12 ENG Richard Mansell 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.1% 0.81% -1.28% MC
13 ENG Sam Horsfield 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.87% 0.18% -1.68%
14 SWE Alexander Bjork 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.75% 0.89% -0.86% T20
15 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.68% 0.73% -0.96% T20
16 ESP Jorge Campillo 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.68% 0.72% -0.97% MC
17 RSA Thriston Lawrence 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.53% 0.66% -0.88% T20
18 FIN Mikko Korhonen 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.46% 0.68% -0.77% MC
19 SCO Richie Ramsay 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.34% 0.71% -0.64% MC 6.06
20 SCO Ewen Ferguson 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.34% 0.59% -0.75% MC
21 ITA Edoardo Molinari 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 1% -0.28% MC 5.79
22 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 0.9% -0.39% MC 5.79
23 SWE Marcus Kinhult 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.28% 0.8% -0.49% MC 5.79
24 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.28% 0.72% -0.56% T60 5.79
25 RSA George Coetzee 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.21% 0.96% -0.25% T3 (tied w/3) 5.46 +41
26 GER Marcel Schneider 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.21% 0.93% -0.28% T13 5.46
27 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.21% 0.89% -0.32% 5.46
28 GER Yannik Paul 75 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.13% 0.24% -0.89% T8
29 ENG Matthew Southgate 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.1% 0.9% -0.2% T50 4.97
30 ENG Matthew Jordan 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.1% 0.58% -0.52% MC 4.97
31 RSA Oliver Bekker 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.1% 0.4% -0.7% MC 4.97
32 SCO Connor Syme 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 0.5% -0.56% MC 4.79
33 AUS Jason Scrivener 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.06% 0.3% -0.76%
34 ENG Laurie Canter 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.03% 0.33% -0.71% MC
35 FRA Matthieu Pavon 90 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.94% 0.69% -0.25% T30 4.26
36 GER Hurly Long 90 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.94% 0.13% -0.82% T60
37 SCO Scott Jamieson 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.88% 0.75% -0.13% T30 3.96
38 USA Sean Crocker 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.76% -0.09% T50 3.84
39 GER Maximilian Kieffer 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.66% -0.2% T65 3.84
40 USA Johannes Veerman 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.8% 0.71% -0.08% T39 3.59
41 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.89% 0.21% MC 3.08
42 NED Wil Besseling 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 0.8% 0.11% MC 3.08
43 ENG James Morrison 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.57% -0.11% T70 3.08
44 ENG Tom Lewis 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.68% 0.92% 0.24% T50 3.05
45 ITA Guido Migliozzi 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.68% 0.85% 0.18% 1 3.05 +226.6
46 ENG Jack Senior 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.58% 0.69% 0.11%
47 JPN Takumi Kanaya 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.58% 0.01% -0.58% MC
48 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (BetUK: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.67% 0.11% T20
49 WAL Jamie Donaldson 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.47% -0.1% 6
50 FIN Kalle Samooja 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 0.79% 0.28% MC
51 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 0.6% 0.08% T45
52 FRA Victor Dubuisson 175 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 1.01% 0.52% WD
53 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.69% 0.2% MC
54 FRA Julien Guerrier 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.6% 0.12% MC
55 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 1.01% 0.55% T30
56 NED Daan Huizing 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.94% 0.48% MC
57 ITA Francesco Laporta 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.84% 0.38% T68
58 FRA Julien Brun 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.46% 0.71% 0.25% T13
59 SCO Craig Howie 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.86% 0.43% T30
60 RSA Brandon Stone 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.85% 0.42% MC
61 MAS Gavin Green 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.42% 0.94% 0.52% T50
62 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 1.01% 0.61% T70
63 SCO Grant Forrest 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.96% 0.56% T30
64 FRA Paul Barjon 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.02% -0.37% T3
65 FRA Frederic LaCroix 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.38% 0.64% 0.26% MC
66 ENG David Horsey 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.64% 0.27% T39
67 ESP Santiago Tarrio 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% 0.01% -0.36%
68 CHN Wu Ashun 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.9% 0.58%
69 DEN Jeff Winther 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.59% 0.28% T8
70 GER Marcel Siem 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% T50
71 ENG Dale Whitnell 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.76% 0.45% T26
72 ARG Daniel Vancsik 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.01% -0.29%
73 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 1% 0.72% T30
74 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.96% 0.68% T50
75 RSA Zander Lombard 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.94% 0.66% T39
76 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 1% 0.75% T30
77 AUT Lukas Nemecz 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.81% 0.56% T30
78 THA Jazz Janewattananond 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.6% 0.35% T13
79 USA Chase Hanna 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.62% 0.38% MC
80 RSA Darren Fichardt 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.99% 0.76% MC
81 NED Darius Van Driel 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.62% 0.38% T45
82 ITA Renato Paratore 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.88% 0.66% MC
83 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.89% 0.67% T20
84 DEN Thomas Bjorn 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.87% 0.65% MC
85 WAL Oliver Farr 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.65% 0.44% MC
86 IND Shubhankar Sharma 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.96% 0.75% MC
87 ENG Ross McGowan 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.95% 0.75% MC
88 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.87% 0.67% T20
89 ENG Ashley Chesters 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.74% 0.55% MC
90 ENG Daniel Gavins 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.85% 0.67% MC
91 FRA Adrien Saddier 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.45% 0.26% T68
92 SCO Stephen Gallacher 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 1% 0.83% MC
93 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.97% 0.8% MC
94 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.92% 0.75% T50
95 AUS Maverick Antcliff 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.91% 0.74% MC
96 ESP Alejandro Canizares 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.78% 0.61% MC
97 ENG Steven Brown 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.76% 0.59% MC
98 ENG Garrick Porteous 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.9% 0.74% MC
99 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.8% 0.63% T26
100 SWE Joakim Lagergren 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.94% 0.78% 76
101 ESP Alvaro Quiros 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.94% 0.79% T50
102 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.96% 0.82% 75
103 SCO Marc Warren 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.9% 0.76% T39
104 ENG Richard McEvoy 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.77% 0.63% MC
105 GER Sebastian Heisele 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% MC
106 RSA Richard Sterne 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.85% 0.72% MC
107 FRA Benjamin Hebert 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.95% 0.82% MC
108 FRA Robin Roussel 675 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.94% 0.81% MC
109 ENG Andrew Wilson 675 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.7% 0.58% T26
110 USA Julian Suri 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.91% 0.79% T13
111 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.81% 0.69% T60
112 AUS Scott Hend 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.94% 0.83% T60
113 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.91% 0.8% T72
114 SCO David Drysdale 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.83% 0.72% MC
115 CAN Aaron Cockerill 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.51% 0.4% MC
116 ESP Pep Angles Ros 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.97% 0.86% WD
117 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% T13
118 SWE Niklas Lemke 881 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.2/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.88% 0.79% T39
119 FRA Gregory Havret 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 1.02% 0.93% MC
120 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.9% 0.82% T39
121 AUS Zach Murray 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.89% 0.81% MC
122 ENG Chris Paisley 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.89% 0.8% MC
123 ENG Chris Wood 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.85% 0.76% MC
124 ENG Matt Ford 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.78% 0.69% MC
125 ENG David Coupland 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.63% 0.54% MC
126 FRA Gregory Bourdy 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.59% 0.5% MC
127 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.48% 0.4% MC
128 FRA Damien Perrier 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.37% 0.29% MC
129 FRA Mathieu Decottignies Lafon 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% T65
130 FRA Joel Stalter 1500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.68% 0.62% MC
131 CZE Ondrej Lieser 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.41% 0.35% MC
132 ENG Oliver Fisher 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.92% 0.88% MC
133 ENG Jack Singh Brar 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.74% 0.69% MC
134 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.53% 0.49% MC
135 POR Pedro Figueiredo 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.01% -0.03% MC
136 CHN Zhang Huilin 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.93% 0.9% T72
137 RSA Haydn Porteous 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.89% 0.85% MC
138 NIR Cormac Sharvin 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.84% 0.8% MC
139 ENG David Howell 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.61% 0.58% MC
140 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 RSA Louis de Jager 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T50
144 CHI Hugo Leon 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 IRL Niall Kearney 0% 0% 0% 0% T72
147 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
148 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
149 FRA Pierre Pineau 0% 0% 0% 0% T50
150 FRA Thomas Levet 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 SWE Jesper Kennegard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 RSA Wilco Nienaber 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 FRA Jeremy Gandon 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 FRA Tom Vaillant 0% 0% 0% 0% T45
155 FRA Julien Sale 0% 0% 0% 0% T26
156 FRA Oihan Guillamoundeguy 0% 0% 0% 0% T45
157 Martin Couvra 0% 0% 0% 0% T45
158 Nathan Legendre 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 Hugo Le Goff 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 5.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 49% 13.4%
2 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 33.8% 17.8%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 34.2% 18.2%
4 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 59.2% 21.1%
5 Coral 8 @ 1/5 59.2% 21.1%
6 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 47.6% 21.5%
7 Betway 8 @ 1/5 60.4% 22%
8 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 53.8% 26.6%
9 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 68.5% 28.3%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.5% 29.1%
11 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 48% 30.5%
12 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 48% 30.5%
13 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 51.6% 33.6%
14 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 34.2%
15 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 52.2% 36.6%
16 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 67.5% 38%
17 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 55.9% 40%
18 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 73.5% 42.8%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 43.3%