Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 14.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 63.5

Total Profit: -36.7

Made in HimmerLand

01/09/2022 - 04/09/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Matt Wallace 22 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.52% 0.26% -3.25% MC
2 ENG Richard Mansell 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.79% 1.54% -1.25% T35
3 RSA Thriston Lawrence 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.79% 0.52% -2.27% MC
4 ESP Adria Arnaus 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.79% 0.39% -2.4% MC
5 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.79% 0.32% -2.47% T12
6 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 0.34% -2.04% T22
7 SWE Alexander Bjork 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 0.32% -2.06% T18
8 ENG Eddie Pepperell 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 0.24% -2.14% T18
9 RSA Justin Harding 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 0.07% -2.31% T66
10 USA John Catlin 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 0.9% -1.07% T22
11 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 0.69% -1.28% T8
12 SCO Connor Syme 40 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.6/1) 2.44% 1.97% 0.4% -1.57% MC
13 FRA Romain Langasque 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 0.36% -1.62% MC
14 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 0.12% -1.85% MC
15 SCO Ewen Ferguson 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 1.22% -0.54% 2 7.74 +38.7
16 SCO Richie Ramsay 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 0.41% -1.35% T41
17 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 0.38% -1.38% T12
18 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 45 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.76% 0.08% -1.67% T22
19 GER Marcel Schneider 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.59% 0.93% -0.65% MC
20 ENG Marcus Armitage 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% 0.35% -1.23% MC
21 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.59% 0.25% -1.34% MC
22 RSA George Coetzee 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.44% 0.24% -1.21% T22
23 ITA Guido Migliozzi 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.33% 1.1% -0.22% T35 5.84
24 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 1% -0.21% MC 5.31
25 SCO David Law 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.41% -0.8% T66
26 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.31% -0.9% T22
27 RSA Oliver Bekker 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.31% -0.9%
28 SCO Grant Forrest 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% 0.35% -0.79% T62
29 SVK Rory Sabbatini 75 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.06% 0.72% -0.35% T41 4.69
30 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 75 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.06% 0.3% -0.77% T22
31 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1% 1.07% 0.07% MC 4.4
32 ITA Edoardo Molinari 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.39% -0.61% T52 4.4
33 RSA Wilco Nienaber 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 0.97% 1.38% 0.4% MC 4.29
34 ENG Paul Waring 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 0.97% 0.4% -0.58% T69 4.29
35 ENG Ross Fisher 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 0.97% 0.18% -0.79% MC
36 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 0.02% -0.87% 3
37 ITA Renato Paratore 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.87% 1.44% 0.57% T52 3.83
38 MAS Gavin Green 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.87% 1.06% 0.19% T47 3.83
39 ENG Andy Sullivan 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.87% 0.32% -0.55% T22 3.83
40 SWE Jens Dantorp 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.83% 1.05% 0.22% MC 3.64
41 ESP Nacho Elvira 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.83% 0.27% -0.56% T41 3.64
42 NED Daan Huizing 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 1% 0.2% T8 (tied w/4) 3.53 +9.3
43 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.99% 0.19% T41 3.53
44 ENG Dale Whitnell 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.57% -0.23% MC 3.53
45 FRA Victor Dubuisson 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.31% -0.49% MC 3.53
46 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 100 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.12% -0.69% 72
47 WAL Jamie Donaldson 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.07% -0.74% T69
48 FRA Julien Guerrier 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.75% 0.36% -0.39% MC 3.3
49 RSA Justin Walters 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.75% 0.08% -0.67% T8
50 ENG Jack Senior 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.69% 0.86% 0.17% T18 3.02
51 ENG Matthew Jordan 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.69% 0.39% -0.29% T4 (tied w/4) 3.02 +15.5
52 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1% 0.35% MC 2.83
53 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.68% 0.04% T41 2.83
54 USA Chase Hanna 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.52% -0.12% MC 2.83
55 CHN Wu Ashun 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.26% -0.38% T35 2.83
56 NOR Espen Kofstad 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.04% -0.6% MC 2.83
57 RSA Brandon Stone 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.04% -0.6% MC 2.83
58 ENG Luke Donald 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.03% -0.61% MC
59 ARG Daniel Vancsik 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.64% 0.02% -0.62%
60 FRA Frederic LaCroix 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% 0.24% -0.35% T62
61 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 1.13% 0.6% T4
62 RSA Zander Lombard 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.92% 0.39% T18
63 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.45% -0.08% MC
64 AUT Lukas Nemecz 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.29% -0.25% WD
65 GER Marcel Siem 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.27% -0.27% T35
66 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.2% -0.34% T52
67 ENG Tom Lewis 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.52% 1.1% 0.59% T12
68 ENG Matthew Southgate 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.52% 0.73% 0.21% T4
69 ESP Santiago Tarrio 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.48% 0.02% -0.47%
70 ENG David Horsey 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.46% 1.2% 0.74% MC
71 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.46% 0.96% 0.5% T41
72 ENG Garrick Porteous 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.46% 0.62% 0.16% 61
73 SWE Joakim Lagergren 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.41% 1.07% 0.66% MC
74 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.41% 0.8% 0.39%
75 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 1.33% 0.93% MC
76 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.95% 0.55% MC
77 RSA Darren Fichardt 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.64% 0.24% T35
78 DEN Jeff Winther 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.26% -0.14% T15
79 ENG James Morrison 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.37% 1.14% 0.76% T22
80 SCO Craig Howie 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.37% 0.95% 0.58% T22
81 IND Shubhankar Sharma 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.37% 0.24% -0.14% T52
82 ENG Lee Slattery 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 1.39% 1.07% MC
83 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.02% 0.7% MC
84 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.97% 0.65% 1
85 ENG Robert Rock 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.05% -0.27% MC
86 RSA Thomas Aiken 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 1.46% 1.19% T52
87 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 1.14% 0.87% MC
88 CAN Aaron Cockerill 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% DQ
89 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 1.37% 1.14% T8
90 ESP Pep Angles Ros 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 1.03% 0.8% MC
91 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.22% 1.31% 1.09% T15
92 POR Ricardo Gouveia 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.22% 1.1% 0.88% T35
93 FRA Benjamin Hebert 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 1.09% 0.89% T22
94 FRA Robin Roussel 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% MC
95 AUS Maverick Antcliff 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.88% 0.67% MC
96 ENG Daniel Gavins 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.2% 1.18% 0.97% MC
97 USA Jamie Lovemark 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.68% 0.48% T47
98 RSA Richard Sterne 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.03% -0.18% MC
99 DEN Lasse Jensen 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.02% -0.18% MC
100 ENG Andrew Wilson 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.62% 0.44% MC
101 SCO David Drysdale 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 1.17% 1.01% T47
102 USA Julian Suri 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.34% 1.18% T47
103 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 500 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 1.1% 0.94% MC
104 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.01% 0.85% T52
105 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.92% 0.76%
106 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.9% 0.74% T4
107 RSA Tristen Strydom 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.6% 0.44% MC
108 SCO Marc Warren 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
109 IND Shiv Kapur 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.02% -0.15%
110 DEN Nicolai Tinning 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.02% -0.15% MC
111 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.02% -0.15%
112 DEN Jeppe Kristian Andersen 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.02% -0.15% MC
113 ENG Steven Brown 548 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.8/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.9% 0.75%
114 SCO Stephen Gallacher 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.96% 0.83% T52
115 USA Aman Gupta 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.73% 0.6% T66
116 DEN Sebastian Friedrichsen 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.02% -0.12% MC
117 AUS Zach Murray 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 1.41% 1.27% MC
118 ENG Richard McEvoy 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.81% 0.67% T22
119 DEN Thomas Bjorn 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.02% -0.12% MC
120 POR Ricardo Santos 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.98% 0.86% T62
121 AUS Scott Hend 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.6% 0.48% MC
122 SWE Rikard Karlberg 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 1.19% 1.07% T15
123 SWE Niklas Lemke 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 1.39% 1.28% T22
124 IMN Tom Gandy 750 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.92% 0.81%
125 SWE Anton Karlsson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.02% -0.08% T22
126 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.02% -0.09% MC
127 IRL Paul Dunne 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 1.49% 1.39% 73
128 ESP Carlos Pigem 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.38% 1.3% MC
129 AUS Elvis Smylie 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.08% 1% MC
130 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.05% 0.97% MC
131 SWE Joel Sjoholm 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.76% 0.67% MC
132 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.72% 0.63% MC
133 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.61% 0.53% T52
134 ENG Chris Paisley 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.6% 0.52% MC
135 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 1.35% 1.27% MC
136 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 1.31% 1.23% MC
137 FRA Gregory Havret 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 1.03% 0.95% T47
138 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.98% 0.9% MC
139 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.95% 0.87% MC
140 ENG Jack Singh Brar 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.93% 0.85% MC
141 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.9% 0.82% MC
142 ENG Chris Wood 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.02% -0.06% MC
143 FRA Jerome Lando-Casanova 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.02% -0.07%
144 DEN Christian Jacobsen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.02% -0.07% T69
145 ITA Aron Zemmer 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.02% -0.07%
146 ENG Harley Smith 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.02% -0.07% MC
147 SWE Jesper Kennegard 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 1.33% 1.28% MC
148 ENG Matt Ford 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 1.28% 1.23% T52
149 IRL Gavin Moynihan 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.77% 0.73% MC
150 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.63% 0.59% MC
151 CHN Zhang Huilin 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 1.39% 1.36% MC
152 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% 65
155 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 14.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 55.3% 18.1%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 20.3% 20.3%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40% 23.4%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 40.2% 23.6%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 42.2% 25.3%
6 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 42.2% 25.3%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 43.2% 26.2%
8 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 72% 30.9%
9 Coral 8 @ 1/5 72% 30.9%
10 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 33.1%
11 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 61.8% 33.3%
12 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 75.4% 33.5%
13 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 64.4% 35.5%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 37.6%
15 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 37.6%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 53.2% 37.6%
17 Betway 7 @ 1/5 67.7% 38.2%
18 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 71.4% 41.2%
19 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 71.4% 41.2%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.1% 43.8%
21 VBet 5 @ 1/4 63.7% 44.3%
22 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 64.6% 45.1%