Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 14.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 72.0

Total Profit: -28.1

Omega European Masters

25/08/2022 - 28/08/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NZL Ryan Fox 16 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.87% 0.49% -4.38% MC
2 POL Adrian Meronk 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.94% 0.49% -3.46% T38
3 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.86% 0.09% -2.77% 77
4 RSA Thriston Lawrence 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.44% 0.67% -1.76% 1
5 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.44% 0.15% -2.29% T9
6 FRA Romain Langasque 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.44% 0.14% -2.29% MC
7 ENG Richard Mansell 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.02% 1.57% -0.45% 3 8.95 +40.3
8 FRA Victor Perez 40 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.6/1) 2.44% 2.02% 0.81% -1.2% MC
9 USA Sean Crocker 40 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.02% 0.49% -1.53% MC
10 SCO Robert MacIntyre 40 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.6/1) 2.44% 2.02% 0.16% -1.86% MC
11 ENG Danny Willett 40 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.02% 0.15% -1.87% T9
12 SWE Alexander Bjork 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.02% 0.13% -1.89% T16
13 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.02% 0.09% -1.93% T16
14 SCO Richie Ramsay 44 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.1/1) 2.22% 1.84% 0.16% -1.68% T44
15 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.62% 0.62% -1.01% MC
16 FRA Antoine Rozner 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.62% 0.58% -1.04% T4
17 FRA Julien Brun 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.62% 0.54% -1.09% T16
18 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.62% 0.48% -1.15% T29
19 FIN Mikko Korhonen 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.62% 0.17% -1.45% T29
20 ENG Andy Sullivan 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.62% 0.14% -1.48% T65
21 ENG Matt Wallace 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.62% 0.12% -1.5% 2
22 ENG Marcus Armitage 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.53% 0.16% -1.37% T55
23 ITA Renato Paratore 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.4% 1.55% 0.15% T29 6.22
24 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 1.79% 0.55% T44 5.48
25 SWE Marcus Kinhult 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 1.65% 0.42% T23 5.48
26 GER Marcel Schneider 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.75% -0.48% T7 5.48
27 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.54% -0.7% T16
28 ITA Guido Migliozzi 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 0.42% -0.82% T38
29 RSA Oliver Bekker 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.19% -1.04% T62
30 RSA George Coetzee 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.04% -1.2% T16
31 FRA Julien Guerrier 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.17% 0.17% -0.99% MC
32 MAS Gavin Green 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.06% 0.99% -0.08% T38 4.71
33 FIN Kalle Samooja 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.06% 0.59% -0.47% MC 4.71
34 SVK Rory Sabbatini 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.06% 0.44% -0.62% MC 4.71
35 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.85% -0.17% T14 4.53
36 SCO Scott Jamieson 80 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.56% -0.47% T4 (tied w/3) 4.53 +31.7
37 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.52% -0.5% T55 4.53
38 FRA Victor Dubuisson 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.43% -0.59% 4.53
39 ITA Edoardo Molinari 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.11% -0.92% T29
40 ESP Jorge Campillo 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.91% 0.08% -0.83% T4
41 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.84% 0.06% -0.78% T29
42 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.45% -0.37% T55 3.64
43 CHN Wu Ashun 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.09% -0.73% MC
44 AUT Lukas Nemecz 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.07% -0.75% T62
45 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 100 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.06% -0.76% T9
46 ESP Nacho Elvira 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.77% 0.07% -0.7% T9
47 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.75% 0.45% -0.29% MC 3.31
48 ENG Matthew Jordan 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.7% 0.05% -0.65% T44 3.11
49 FRA Adrien Saddier 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 1.2% 0.55% MC 2.92
50 ITA Nino Bertasio 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.97% 0.31% WD 2.92
51 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.84% 0.18% T29 2.92
52 ENG James Morrison 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.46% -0.19% T44 2.92
53 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.04% -0.62% MC 2.92
54 ARG Daniel Vancsik 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.03% -0.63% 2.92
55 ENG Lee Slattery 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.65% 1.46% 0.8% T44 2.89
56 NED Joost Luiten 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.65% 1.17% 0.51% T23 2.89
57 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.65% 0.07% -0.59% MC 2.89
58 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.6% 0.06% -0.55% T65
59 ESP Santiago Tarrio 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.56% 0.03% -0.54%
60 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.08% -0.47% T44
61 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.04% -0.5% T23
62 RSA Louis de Jager 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.47% 1.65% 1.18% T9
63 RSA Zander Lombard 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.47% 0.68% 0.21% MC
64 SWE Joakim Lagergren 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.47% 0.45% -0.02% MC
65 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 175 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.03% -0.44% MC
66 ENG Tom Lewis 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.45% 1.25% 0.8% T71
67 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 1.48% 1.07% MC
68 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 1.07% 0.66% T44
69 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 1.04% 0.63% T73
70 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.98% 0.57% MC
71 POR Ricardo Gouveia 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.61% 0.19% 78
72 ENG David Horsey 200 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.41% 0% MC
73 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.38% -0.03% T16
74 IND Shubhankar Sharma 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.05% -0.36% MC
75 NED Daan Huizing 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.4% 0.98% 0.57% T23
76 GER Marcel Siem 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.04% -0.31% T16
77 RSA Thomas Aiken 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 1.76% 1.43% T71
78 ENG Daniel Gavins 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.43% 0.1% MC
79 RSA Richard Sterne 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.06% -0.27%
80 DEN Jeff Winther 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.04% -0.29% T29
81 ENG Matthew Southgate 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.05% -0.27% T23
82 ITA Filippo Celli 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.31% 1.46% 1.14% MC
83 USA Jamie Lovemark 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.03% -0.29% MC
84 AUS Jake McLeod 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 1.74% 1.47% MC
85 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 1.17% 0.89% MC
86 SCO Stephen Gallacher 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 1.13% 0.85% MC
87 ESP Alvaro Quiros 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 1.1% 0.83% T55
88 SWE Rikard Karlberg 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 1.08% 0.8% MC
89 CAN Aaron Cockerill 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.09% -0.19% T51
90 SUI Joel Girrbach 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.03% -0.25% T68
91 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.26% 1.21% 0.94% MC
92 AUS Maverick Antcliff 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 1.6% 1.36%
93 FRA Benjamin Hebert 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 1.08% 0.84% T68
94 ENG Ross McGowan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 1.05% 0.82% MC
95 POR Ricardo Santos 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.96% 0.72% T68
96 ESP Pep Angles Ros 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.92% 0.69% MC
97 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 1.42% 1.19% T65
98 ESP Alejandro Canizares 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 1.47% 1.26% T7
99 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 1.19% 0.98% MC
100 FRA Robin Roussel 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 1.01% 0.81% T55
101 GER Sebastian Heisele 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.03% -0.17% 79
102 RSA Tristen Strydom 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.03% -0.18% MC
103 ARG Andres Romero 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.03% -0.16% MC
104 AUS Zach Murray 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 1.71% 1.55% MC
105 USA Julian Suri 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 1.64% 1.48% MC
106 SWE Niklas Lemke 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 1.52% 1.35% MC
107 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 1.19% 1.02% MC
108 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 1.17% 1.01% T62
109 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 1.01% 0.84% 76
110 AUS Scott Hend 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.06% -0.11% T51
111 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 1.58% 1.47% T38
112 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.04% -0.07% MC
113 ENG Richard McEvoy 754 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 1.19% 1.08%
114 SUI Benjamin Rusch 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.03% -0.08% T23
115 ENG Alfie Plant 842 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 94.1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.78% 0.68% MC
116 SCO David Drysdale 920 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 100.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.96% 0.87% T29
117 FRA Gregory Bourdy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.77% 1.69% MC
118 IRL David Carey 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.73% 1.64% MC
119 RSA Haydn Porteous 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.5% 1.42% MC
120 CHI Hugo Leon 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.48% 1.4% T73
121 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.25% 1.16% T38
122 ENG Jack Singh Brar 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.1% 1.01% MC
123 FRA Gregory Havret 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.07% 0.99% MC
124 ITA Andrea Pavan 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.98% 0.89% MC
125 SCO Marc Warren 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.04% -0.04% WD
126 ENG Chris Wood 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.03% -0.05%
127 IRL Paul Dunne 1000 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 1.64% 1.55% MC
128 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 1.58% 1.5% MC
129 SWE Jesper Kennegard 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.56% 1.47% MC
130 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 1.52% 1.44%
131 CZE Stanislav Matus 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.15% 1.07%
132 SWE Joel Sjoholm 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.05% -0.03% T51
133 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.03% -0.05% MC
134 AUS Jordan Zunic 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 1.74% 1.67% MC
135 CZE Ondrej Lieser 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 1.01% 0.95% MC
136 SUI Nicola Gerhardsen 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.03% -0.03% MC
137 CHN Zhang Huilin 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 1.51% 1.47% MC
138 ENG Matt Ford 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 1.09% 1.05% MC
139 ENG David Howell 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 1.02% 0.98% MC
140 ENG Oliver Fisher 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 1.02% 0.98% MC
141 ENG Chris Paisley 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.04% 0% MC
142 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.03% -0.01% MC
143 SUI Luca Galliano 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.03% -0.01% MC
144 SUI Mathias Eggenberger 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.03% -0.01% MC
145 SUI Cedric Gugler 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.03% -0.01% MC
146 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T29
147 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
148 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T38
149 FRA Sebastien Gros 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 CZE Filip Mruzek 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
152 SCO Calum Fyfe 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
153 AUT Uli Weinhandl 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 ENG Robin Williams 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 IRL James Sugrue 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Jordan Gumberg 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Maximilien Sturdza 0% 0% 0% 0% T73
159 Marc Keller 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 Sven Cremer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 Aleksandar Radoicic 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 Loic Ettlin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 14.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 19.5% 19.5%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40.4% 23.8%
3 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 53.7% 26.6%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 67.6% 27.6%
5 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.8% 27.7%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 46.6% 29.3%
7 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 47.2% 29.8%
8 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 48.7% 31.1%
9 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 50.6% 32.8%
10 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 50.6% 32.8%
11 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 33.1%
12 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 74.8% 33.1%
13 Coral 8 @ 1/5 74.8% 33.1%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 67.9% 38.4%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 67.9% 38.4%
16 Betway 7 @ 1/5 69.3% 39.5%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.6% 39.8%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55.6% 39.8%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 56.6% 40.7%
20 VBet 5 @ 1/4 61.3% 42.3%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 64.2% 44.8%
22 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 64.9% 48.2%
23 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 65.4% 48.6%