Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 14.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 100.3

Total Profit: +.2

D+D Real Czech Masters

18/08/2022 - 21/08/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 7 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 10.21% 0.66% -9.55% T8
2 FRA Victor Perez 16 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.8% 0.55% -4.25% T23
3 ENG Richard Mansell 25 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.14% 1.56% -1.58% T23
4 ENG Eddie Pepperell 25 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.14% 0.36% -2.78% T8
5 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 25 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.14% 0.3% -2.84% T57
6 RSA Wilco Nienaber 28 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.82% 1.16% -1.65% T8
7 RSA Thriston Lawrence 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.82% 0.47% -2.34% T8
8 USA Sean Crocker 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.82% 0.32% -2.5% T41
9 ENG Laurie Canter 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.82% 0.16% -2.66% T23
10 USA John Catlin 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.4% 1.31% -1.09% T47
11 USA Johannes Veerman 33 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.4% 0.95% -1.45% T51
12 SVK Rory Sabbatini 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.4% 0.17% -2.23% T13
13 FRA Julien Brun 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.4% 0.17% -2.23% T33
14 ENG Ian Poulter 34 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.8/1) 2.86% 2.33% 0.23% -2.11% T23
15 ENG Paul Waring 35 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.27% 0.21% -2.06% MC
16 FRA Antoine Rozner 35 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.27% 0.15% -2.12% T13
17 FRA Victor Dubuisson 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.99% 0.14% -1.86% WD
18 ITA Renato Paratore 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.6% 2.62% 1.02% T13 7.04
19 SWE Jens Dantorp 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.6% 1.09% -0.51% T33 7.04
20 NED Wil Besseling 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.6% 0.38% -1.22% MC
21 ENG Ross Fisher 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.6% 0.16% -1.44% T33
22 SWE Marcus Kinhult 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.38% 1.51% 0.12% T23 6.09
23 FIN Kalle Samooja 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.38% 0.36% -1.03% T30
24 MAS Gavin Green 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.34% 0.11% -1.23% 2
25 NOR Espen Kofstad 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.28% 0.3% -0.98% 5.61
26 GER Maximilian Kieffer 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.28% 0.23% -1.04% 1
27 FRA Matthieu Pavon 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.28% 0.17% -1.11% MC
28 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 0.18% -1.04% MC
29 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.18% 0.39% -0.79% MC 5.2
30 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.15% 0.16% -0.99% T13 5.06
31 SCO Scott Jamieson 70 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.15% 0.14% -1.01% T33
32 FRA Frederic LaCroix 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.05% 0.24% -0.8% T33 4.6
33 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.05% 0.11% -0.94% MC 4.6
34 GER Marcel Schneider 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.01% 0.42% -0.59% T6 4.43
35 NED Daan Huizing 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.3% -0.71% T33 4.43
36 NED Joost Luiten 80 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.01% 0.1% -0.91% T41 4.43
37 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.08% -0.92% 5 4.43 +37.7
38 ENG Jack Senior 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 0.98% 2.63% 1.65% T13 4.33
39 SCO Grant Forrest 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 0.98% 0.18% -0.8% T23 4.33
40 ENG Garrick Porteous 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.18% -0.63% MC 3.56
41 SWE Joakim Lagergren 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.17% -0.64% T41 3.56
42 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.76% 0.16% -0.59% T3 (tied w/2) 3.33 +32.1
43 ITA Nino Bertasio 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.74% 0.08% -0.65% T41 3.24
44 WAL Oliver Farr 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.69% 2.63% 1.94% T30 3.05
45 SCO Craig Howie 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.69% 2.39% 1.69% MC 3.05
46 ENG Tom Lewis 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.69% 0.19% -0.5% T13 3.05
47 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.64% 2.6% 1.95% T57 2.83
48 RSA Louis de Jager 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.64% 0.95% 0.31% T3 (tied w/2) 2.83 +30.5
49 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.6% 0.91% 0.31% T61
50 ENG Lee Slattery 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 2.21% 1.67% T13
51 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.46% 1.94% 1.48% T51
52 POR Ricardo Gouveia 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.44% 0.17% -0.27% MC
53 USA Aman Gupta 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.06% -0.3% MC
54 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.16% -0.19% T51
55 ESP Alvaro Quiros 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.11% -0.24% MC
56 ESP Pep Angles Ros 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% 0.08% -0.25% T13
57 ENG Steven Brown 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.31% 2.12% 1.82% WD
58 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.08% -0.23% MC
59 ITA Andrea Pavan 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.13% -0.16% T57
60 SWE Niklas Lemke 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.3% 2.02% 1.72% MC
61 AUS Jake McLeod 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 2.82% 2.55% T6
62 CHI Hugo Leon 300 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 1.43% 1.16% 50
63 ENG Oliver Wilson 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.12% -0.15% T33
64 RSA Thomas Aiken 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.26% 2.6% 2.34% T64
65 IRL David Carey 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.24% 2.7% 2.46% 69
66 FRA Robin Roussel 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.14% -0.1% MC
67 RSA Haydn Porteous 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 2.14% 1.91% MC
68 ENG David Dixon 400 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 3.34% 3.14% MC
69 AUS Zach Murray 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 2.75% 2.55% T41
70 ENG Ross McGowan 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% MC
71 SCO Stephen Gallacher 400 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.15% -0.05% T30
72 AUS Maverick Antcliff 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.2% 2.33% 2.12% T61
73 USA Julian Suri 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 2.46% 2.26% MC
74 POR Ricardo Santos 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.15% -0.04% T41
75 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.1% -0.08% MC
76 FRA Benjamin Hebert 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.05% -0.13% T47
77 AUS Jordan Zunic 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 2.6% 2.43% 68
78 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 2.23% 2.06% MC
79 ENG Dan Bradbury 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.06% -0.1%
80 SVK Tadeas Tetak 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.06% -0.1% MC
81 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.08% -0.07% T64
82 FRA Damien Perrier 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.06% -0.09% MC
83 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.06% -0.09% MC
84 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.15% 0.06% -0.09% MC
85 IRL Paul Dunne 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 2.39% 2.25% MC
86 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 675 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 2.51% 2.39% MC
87 ESP Alejandro Canizares 675 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 2.2% 2.08% T47
88 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.06% -0.06% WD
89 AUS Elvis Smylie 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 2.75% 2.64% MC
90 AUS Austin Bautista 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.06% -0.05% MC
91 CZE Ondrej Lieser 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.05% -0.06% MC
92 ENG David Coupland 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 2.35% 2.25% MC
93 CZE Filip Mruzek 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.06% -0.04% MC
94 ENG Jack Singh Brar 920 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 100.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.1% 0.02% MC
95 FRA Gregory Bourdy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 2.71% 2.63% T51
96 FRA Gregory Havret 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.07% -0.01% T33
97 ENG Oliver Fisher 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.05% -0.03% MC
98 SWE Jesper Kennegard 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 2.43% 2.35% MC
99 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 2.16% 2.08% T8
100 ENG David Howell 1000 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.02% MC
101 ENG Laird Shepherd 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.08% -0.01% WD
102 USA Jordan Gumberg 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.06% -0.02% T51
103 GER Jannik De Bruyn 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.06% -0.02% T23
104 IRL Gavin Moynihan 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.07% 0% MC
105 CZE Stanislav Matus 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.06% 0.01% MC
106 USA Michael Feuerstein 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.06% 0.01% MC
107 CZE Maximilian Jelinek 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.06% 0.01% MC
108 USA Tyler Koivisto 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 2.61% 2.56% MC
109 NIR Cormac Sharvin 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 2.4% 2.35% T13
110 USA David Toms 2000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02%
111 CZE Ales Korinek 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% T61
112 CZE Michal Pospisil 2000 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
113 CZE Jan Cafourek 2000 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
114 CZE Simon Zach 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
115 ENG Liam Robinson 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02%
116 CZE Jakub Bares 2000 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
117 ENG Robin Williams 2000 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
118 CZE Gordan Brixi 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.02% MC
119 Javier Otaegui 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 2.6% 2.56% MC
120 CHN Zhang Huilin 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 2.29% 2.26% MC
121 CAN Lindsay Renolds 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
122 IRL Michael Young 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
123 CZE Matyas Zapletal 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
124 CZE Stepan Danek 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
125 SVK Sebastian Vida 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
126 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
127 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% T13
128 CAN Lindsay Renolds 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 AUT Uli Weinhandl 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
130 CZE Matej Baca 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
131 David Tomi 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
132 Sebastian Vida 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 Dominik Pavoucek 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 David Benak 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 Louis Klein 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 Anze Leskovar 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 14.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 33% 17.1%
2 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 18.5% 18.5%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 35.4% 19.3%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 35.7% 19.6%
5 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 35.7% 19.6%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 37.7% 21.3%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.9% 23.3%
8 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 62.5% 23.7%
9 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 44% 26.9%
10 Coral 8 @ 1/5 69% 28.8%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 46.2% 28.8%
12 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 69.5% 29.2%
13 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.8% 30%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 33%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 33%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.4% 34.1%
17 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 35.5%
18 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 55.4% 39.5%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.5% 43.2%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 43.3%
21 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 43.3%
22 VBet 5 @ 1/4 68.4% 48.5%