Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 26.9

Total Profit: -73.2

ISPS HANDA World Invitational

11/08/2022 - 14/08/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Jordan L Smith 11 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 8.33% 7.38% 2.89% -4.49% T7
2 USA John Catlin 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.66% 1.06% -3.6% T13
3 SCO Connor Syme 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.85% 2.46% -1.39% T2
4 ENG Richard Mansell 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.85% 1.55% -2.3% T4
5 ESP Santiago Tarrio 22 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.85% 0.4% -3.45%
6 SCO Ewen Ferguson 25 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.41% 2.27% -1.14% 1
7 USA Johannes Veerman 26 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.6/1) 3.7% 3.28% 0.77% -2.51% T39
8 SWE Jens Dantorp 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.05% 1.98% -1.07% T26
9 SCO David Law 30 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.86% 1.73% -1.13% T39
10 SWE Marcus Kinhult 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.6% 1.88% -0.72% T39
11 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.6% 1.07% -1.54% T4
12 ENG Richard Bland 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.6% 1.03% -1.57% T56
13 ENG Dale Whitnell 35 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.46% 1.91% -0.54% T28 10.57
14 RSA Wilco Nienaber 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.16% 1.38% -0.78% T23
15 ENG Jack Senior 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.16% 0.59% -1.57% T13
16 ENG Todd Clements 44 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.22% 1.97% 1.64% -0.32% MC 8.46
17 ITA Guido Migliozzi 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.81% 1.12% -0.69% T18
18 RSA Deon Germishuys 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.58% 0.47% -1.11% T39
19 NIR Tom McKibbin 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.58% 0.43% -1.15% T10
20 IRL Niall Kearney 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.45% 1.15% -0.3% MC 6.24
21 IRL John Murphy 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.45% 0.42% -1.03% T39
22 ENG James Morrison 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.38% 1.71% 0.32% MC 5.95
23 USA Chase Hanna 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.38% 1.35% -0.03% MC 5.95
24 RSA JC Ritchie 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.38% 0.97% -0.42% WD 5.95
25 ITA Francesco Laporta 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.38% 0.52% -0.87% MC
26 ENG Matthew Baldwin 66 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 2.36% 1.04% T7 (tied w/3) 5.68 +26.9
27 ENG Ashley Chesters 66 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.32% 0.75% -0.57% T39
28 ENG David Horsey 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.28% 0.89% -0.39% T50 5.52
29 WAL Oliver Farr 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.2% 0.93% -0.26% T18 5.15
30 RSA Louis de Jager 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.14% 1% -0.13% MC 4.88
31 SCO Craig Howie 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 0.85% -0.24% T13 4.7
32 FRA Adrien Saddier 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1.01% 0.76% -0.24% T39 4.33
33 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 90 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.97% 1.53% 0.56% T13 4.19
34 RSA Bryce Easton 90 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.97% 0.46% -0.51% T39 4.19
35 ENG Daniel Gavins 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.9% 1% 0.09% MC 3.89
36 ENG Ben Stow 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.9% 0.7% -0.2% T39 3.89
37 ENG Lee Slattery 100 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 2.33% 1.45% MC 3.77
38 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.9% 0.02% MC 3.77
39 SWE Rikard Karlberg 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.41% -0.3% MC 3.02
40 WAL Stuart Manley 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.6% 2.43% 1.83% MC
41 SWE Niklas Lemke 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.77% 0.18% MC
42 AUS Maverick Antcliff 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.43% -0.16% MC
43 NIR Dermot McElroy 150 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.4% -0.18% MC
44 ENG Steven Brown 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.55% 0.65% 0.1% T32
45 ITA Renato Paratore 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 1.28% 0.78% T4
46 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 1.28% 0.77% T23
47 BEL Christopher Mivis 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 0.42% -0.09% T39
48 SWE Jens Fahrbring 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.5% 0.41% -0.09% T20
49 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 0.4% -0.1% MC
50 CHI Hugo Leon 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.5% 0.4% -0.1% MC
51 ENG Marco Penge 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.45% 0.41% -0.04% MC
52 FRA Victor Riu 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.43% 0.4% -0.03% T50
53 ITA Filippo Celli 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.39% 2.05% 1.66% T7
54 IRL Gary Hurley 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.39% 0.4% 0.01% T50
55 SCO Ryan Lumsden 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.39% 0.4% 0.01% 38
56 ENG Andrew Wilson 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.38% 0.77% 0.39% MC
57 SWE Robin Petersson 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 2.66% 2.3% T10
58 ENG Barclay Brown 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.6% 0.24% MC
59 SWE Joakim Wikstrom 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.4% 0.05% T34
60 IRL Conor Purcell 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.4% 0.05% MC
61 ENG OJ Farrell 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.4% 0.05% MC
62 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.4% 0.06% MC
63 ENG Jonathan Thomson 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.66% 0.34% T56
64 SWE Christopher Feldborg Nielsen 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.4% 0.08% 62
65 USA Julian Suri 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.32% 0.61% 0.29% MC
66 SCO David Drysdale 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.92% 0.62% T58
67 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.69% 0.39% MC
68 ENG Alfie Plant 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% MC
69 ESP Alejandro Canizares 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% MC
70 ENG David Coupland 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.54% 0.28% MC
71 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 350 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% T2
72 AUS Elvis Smylie 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.42% 0.18% MC
73 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.24% 1.83% 1.59% MC
74 ENG David Dixon 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 4.97% 4.75% T34
75 ESP Scott Fernandez 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.4% 0.19% MC
76 SCO Marc Warren 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21%
77 RSA Thomas Aiken 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% T20
78 IRL David Carey 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.83% 0.65% T34
79 AUS Jordan Zunic 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.4% 0.22% MC
80 AUS Jake McLeod 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 1.23% 1.05% T23
81 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.6% 0.42% MC
82 ENG Ryan Evans 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.44% 0.27% T20
83 ESP David Borda Antonana 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.4% 0.23% T28
84 ENG Mitch Waite 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.4% 0.23% MC
85 AUS Zach Murray 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% 0.39% 0.21% T32
86 FRA Joel Stalter 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.58% 0.41% MC
87 IRL Paul Dunne 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.69% 0.54% T58
88 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% T28
89 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 656 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.4/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.58% 0.45% T28
90 SCO Calum Fyfe 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.4% 0.28% T13
91 ENG Adam Keogh 750 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.55% 0.44% T39
92 IRL Simon Thornton 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.4% 0.29%
93 SWE Jesper Kennegard 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.57% 0.46% MC
94 ENG Frank Kennedy 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.43% 0.32% MC
95 ESP Carlos Pigem 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.64% 0.55% T50
96 ENG Matt Ford 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.54% 0.45% MC
97 FRA Gregory Bourdy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.46% 0.37% MC
98 IMN Tom Gandy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.46% 0.37% MC
99 SCO Euan Walker 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% MC
100 ENG Ben Evans 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
101 ENG Max Orrin 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
102 SWE Pelle Edberg 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
103 USA Samuel Del Val 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
104 FRA Mathieu Decottignies Lafon 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% 64
105 ISL Haraldur Magnus 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% T26
106 FIN Lauri Ruuska 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% T50
107 USA Josh Hill 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31%
108 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.47% 0.38% MC
109 RSA Ruan Conradie 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.47% 0.38% MC
110 CHN Zhang Huilin 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.43% 0.34% MC
111 IRL David Higgins 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% MC
112 SWE Philip Eriksson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% T50
113 ENG Tom Murray 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.32% T60
114 ENG Gary King 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.32% MC
115 SCO Bradley Neil 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.32% MC
116 IRL Tim Rice 1000 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.32% MC
117 ITA Edoardo Raffaele Lipparelli 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.32% MC
118 SWE Felix Palson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.32% 37
119 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.53% 0.46% MC
120 IRL Charlie Williams 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% 0.4% 0.37%
121 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
122 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% 63
123 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
124 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
125 GER Dennis Meyerrose 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
126 ENG Jamie Rutherford 0% 0% 0% 0% T10
127 IRL Simon Thornton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 ESP Jordi Garcia del Moral 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 NIR Josh Hill(Aug2003) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 Jack HEARN (AM) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 Bjarki Petursson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 Curtis Griffiths 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 Javier Otaegui 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 Robert Brazill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 11.3% 11.3%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.4% 19.3%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.4% 20.1%
4 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 36.5% 20.3%
5 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 62.7% 23.9%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 51.3% 24.6%
7 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 43.7% 26.6%
8 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 45.5% 28.2%
9 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 45.5% 28.2%
10 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 44% 29.2%
11 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.8% 29.9%
12 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 71.6% 30.7%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 31.3%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 32.4%
15 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 61.8% 33.2%
16 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 61.8% 33.2%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 38.6%
20 Betway 6 @ 1/5 55.6% 39.6%