Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 36.1

Total Profit: -63.9

ABERDEEN STANDARD INVESTMENTS SCOTTISH OPEN

12/07/2018 - 15/07/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Justin Rose 9 10% 7.88% 2.76% -5.12% T9
2 USA Rickie Fowler 10 9.09% 7.16% 2.14% -5.02% T6
3 USA Patrick Reed 19 5% 3.94% 3.42% -0.52% T23
4 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 21 4.55% 3.58% 1.56% -2.02% MC
5 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 21 4.55% 3.58% 1.4% -2.18% T9
6 SCO Russell Knox 23 4.17% 3.28% 1.87% -1.41% T49
7 ENG Andy Sullivan 25 3.85% 3.03% 1.11% -1.92% MC
8 USA Matt Kuchar 26 3.7% 2.92% 1.5% -1.41% MC
9 ENG Ian Poulter 27 3.57% 2.81% 2.34% -0.47% T30
10 USA Phil Mickelson 29 3.33% 2.63% 3.44% 0.81% MC 11.62
11 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 31 3.13% 2.46% 1.75% -0.71% MC
12 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 46 2.13% 1.68% 1.4% -0.28% T14
13 ENG Chris Wood 46 2.13% 1.68% 1.3% -0.37% MC
14 USA Peter Uihlein 49 2% 1.58% 1.13% -0.45% MC
15 NZL Ryan Fox 54 1.82% 1.43% 1.09% -0.34% T6
16 IRL Paul Dunne 57 1.72% 1.36% 0.99% -0.37% MC
17 ESP Jorge Campillo 58 1.69% 1.34% 1.28% -0.05% T32 5.91
18 SWE Alexander Bjork 59 1.67% 1.31% 0.93% -0.38% T19
19 USA Charley Hoffman 62 1.59% 1.25% 1.23% -0.02% T19 5.54
20 BEL Thomas Pieters 63 1.56% 1.23% 0.71% -0.52% T6
21 ENG Ross Fisher 66 1.49% 1.18% 1.15% -0.03% MC 5.2
22 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 68 1.45% 1.14% 1.29% 0.14% T42 5.05
23 RSA Dylan Frittelli 68 1.45% 1.14% 1.17% 0.03% T23 5.05
24 GER Martin Kaymer 68 1.45% 1.14% 0.9% -0.24% MC
25 NIR Graeme McDowell 71 1.39% 1.09% 1.29% 0.2% 63 4.84
26 ENG Lee Westwood 72 1.37% 1.08% 1.45% 0.37% T32 4.78
27 USA Julian Suri 83 1.19% 0.94% 1% 0.07% MC 4.15
28 ENG Danny Willett 90 1.1% 0.87% 0.92% 0.06% T19 3.83
29 FIN Mikko Ilonen 104 0.95% 0.75% 0.59% -0.16% MC 3.32
30 ENG Eddie Pepperell 108 0.92% 0.72% 0.49% -0.24% 2
31 USA Kevin Chappell 109 0.91% 0.72% 1.08% 0.36% MC 3.17
32 USA Luke List 109 0.91% 0.72% 1.02% 0.31% T3 (tied w/3) 3.17 +36.1
33 AUS Cameron Smith 109 0.91% 0.72% 0.75% 0.04% T42 3.17
34 ENG Matt Wallace 113 0.88% 0.69% 1.04% 0.35% MC 3.06
35 ESP Adrian Otaegui 113 0.88% 0.69% 0.96% 0.26% MC 3.06
36 ENG Matthew Southgate 113 0.88% 0.69% 0.51% -0.19% T23
37 IRL Padraig Harrington 113 0.88% 0.69% 0.34% -0.35% MC
38 RSA Erik van Rooyen 116 0.85% 0.67% 0.7% 0.03% MC 2.98
39 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.78% 0.13% MC 2.88
40 FRA Alexander Levy 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.76% 0.11% T55 2.88
41 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.65% 0% MC 2.88
42 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.58% -0.07% T42 2.88
43 SCO Martin Laird 130 0.76% 0.6% 1.14% 0.54% MC 2.66
44 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.68% 0.07% T42 2.66
45 BEL Thomas Detry 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.63% 0.03% T64 2.66
46 ENG Ashley Chesters 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.49% -0.11% MC 2.66
47 SCO Marc Warren 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.37% -0.24% MC
48 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.84% 0.32% T49
49 SWE Joakim Lagergren 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.68% 0.16% T23
50 RSA George Coetzee 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.64% 0.12% MC
51 ENG Jordan L Smith 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.63% 0.11% T32
52 RSA Dean Burmester 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.55% 0.06% T9
53 ENG Aaron Rai 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.58% 0.14% T9
54 FRA Matthieu Pavon 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.28% -0.15% T42
55 IND Shubhankar Sharma 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.86% 0.45% MC
56 ENG Sam Horsfield 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.53% 0.12% T23
57 ENG Robert Rock 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.49% 0.07% T49
58 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.55% 0.16% MC
59 ENG David Horsey 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.51% 0.12% MC
60 ESP Nacho Elvira 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.43% 0.04% MC
61 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.71% 0.34% MC
62 SCO Richie Ramsay 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.6% 0.23% MC
63 RSA Richard Sterne 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% T14
64 ENG Chris Paisley 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% MC
65 ENG Callum Shinkwin 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.33% -0.02% MC
66 ENG Oliver Fisher 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% T32
67 KOR Jeunghun Wang 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.69% 0.37% MC
68 WAL Bradley Dredge 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.44% 0.12% MC
69 AUS Scott Hend 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.35% 0.04% T14
70 AUS Wade Ormsby 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% MC
71 GER Maximilian Kieffer 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% MC
72 JPN Hideto Tanihara 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% T58
73 ITA Matteo Manassero 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.49% 0.21% MC
74 RSA Zander Lombard 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.26% -0.02% MC
75 SCO Stephen Gallacher 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.53% 0.26% T9
76 WAL Jamie Donaldson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.83% 0.57% MC
77 USA David Lipsky 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.73% 0.47% MC
78 SWE Jonas Blixt 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.7% 0.44% MC
79 RSA Justin Walters 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.57% 0.31% T23
80 AUT Matthias Schwab 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% MC
81 ENG James Morrison 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.23% T32
82 FRA Romain Wattel 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.22% MC
83 CAN Austin Connelly 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% MC
84 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% T42
85 ITA Andrea Pavan 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.15% T14
86 ITA Nino Bertasio 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% MC
87 RSA Thomas Aiken 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.38% 0.12% MC
88 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% T55
89 ENG Lee Slattery 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% MC
90 SCO Scott Jamieson 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% MC
91 SCO David Drysdale 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% MC
92 THA Thongchai Jaidee 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% T32
93 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% MC
94 RSA Darren Fichardt 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% T42
95 SWE Peter Hanson 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% MC
96 ENG Paul Waring 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% MC
97 FRA Julien Guerrier 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% T55
98 FRA Gregory Bourdy 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.13% MC
99 ESP Alvaro Quiros 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.13% MC
100 SCO Connor Syme 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% T32
101 AUS Jason Scrivener 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% MC
102 FRA Adrien Saddier 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.3% 0.11% MC
103 RSA Haydn Porteous 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.05% MC
104 ENG David Howell 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% MC
105 ITA Edoardo Molinari 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.33% MC
106 MAS Gavin Green 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.45% 0.29% T19
107 AUS Brett Rumford 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.44% 0.28% MC
108 RSA Ernie Els 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.26% MC
109 FRA Gregory Havret 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.25% MC
110 SWE Jens Dantorp 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% T3
111 FRA Sebastien Gros 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
112 ENG Steven Brown 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.17% T32
113 RSA Brandon Stone 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.15% 1
114 ESP Pedro Oriol 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% T64
115 AUS Andrew Dodt 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.11% MC
116 ENG Richard Bland 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.1% MC
117 ITA Renato Paratore 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.07% MC
118 POR Ricardo Gouveia 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.04% T32
119 ENG Laurie Canter 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.16% 0.01% MC
120 SWE Robert Karlsson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.62% 0.49% T49
121 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% MC
122 AUS Adam Bland 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% 66
123 GER Marcel Siem 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% T14
124 ENG Daniel Brooks 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.23% 0.1% MC
125 ENG Ryan Evans 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% MC
126 KOR Jinho Choi 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.07% T49
127 KOR Soomin Lee 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.48% 0.38% MC
128 DEN Lasse Jensen 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.46% 0.36% MC
129 DEN Thomas Bjorn 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
130 ENG Chris Hanson 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.16% MC
131 AUS Sam Brazel 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.16% MC
132 FRA Clement Sordet 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.15% T58
133 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
134 WAL Oliver Farr 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.13% T49
135 ENG Charlie Ford 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.11% MC
136 ESP Scott Fernandez 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% T58
137 SCO Bradley Neil 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
138 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% T3
139 NIR Darren Clarke 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
140 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
141 USA Daniel Im 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
142 USA Chase Koepka 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
143 AUS Jason Norris 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
144 SCO Peter Whiteford 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
145 KOR Rakhyun Cho 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% T30
146 SCO Jamie McLeary 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.1% 0.02% T58
147 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 1.02% 0% T23
148 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.68% 0% T32
149 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0.66% 0% MC
150 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.6% 0% WD
151 DEN Jeff Winther 0% 0% 0.52% 0% MC
152 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.32% 0% MC
153 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC
154 ENG Matthew Baldwin 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
155 SCO Conor O'Neil 0% 0% 0.08% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...