Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 29.7

Total Profit: -70.3

Cazoo Open

04/08/2022 - 07/08/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Jordan L Smith 14 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.8% 3.88% -1.92% MC
2 BEL Thomas Detry 21 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.8/1) 4.55% 3.96% 1.58% -2.38% T12
3 ENG Callum Shinkwin 22 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.78% 0.91% -2.88% 1
4 GER Hurly Long 28 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3% 2.27% -0.73% MC
5 USA Sean Crocker 30 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.81% 1.26% -1.55% MC
6 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 30 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.81% 1.25% -1.56% T59
7 FIN Mikko Korhonen 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.56% 1.04% -1.52% T15
8 ENG Eddie Pepperell 33 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.56% 0.96% -1.6% T20
9 RSA Oliver Bekker 35 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.42% 1.8% -0.62% MC
10 SWE Jens Dantorp 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.12% 1.38% -0.75% T67
11 ENG Richard Mansell 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.12% 1.36% -0.76% T20
12 ENG Marcus Armitage 46 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.4/1) 2.13% 1.85% 0.98% -0.87% T9
13 ESP Jorge Campillo 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.71% 1.87% 0.16% T40 7.49
14 ITA Edoardo Molinari 50 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.71% 0.95% -0.76% MC
15 ENG Matthew Jordan 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.71% 0.87% -0.83% MC
16 USA John Catlin 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.71% 0.77% -0.94% 54
17 USA Johannes Veerman 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.71% 0.76% -0.95% T20
18 SCO Connor Syme 50 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.71% 0.68% -1.02% 2
19 SCO David Law 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.61% 1.49% -0.12% T43 7.07
20 RSA Wilco Nienaber 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.43% 0.9% -0.53% MC
21 SCO Grant Forrest 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.43% 0.76% -0.67% MC
22 GER Maximilian Kieffer 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.3% 1.26% -0.04% T57 5.7
23 ENG Paul Waring 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.3% 0.86% -0.44% 8
24 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.3% 0.67% -0.63% T43
25 ENG Andy Sullivan 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.3% 0.61% -0.69% T3
26 USA Chase Hanna 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.23% 1.02% -0.2% T40 5.38
27 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.23% 0.84% -0.39% MC 5.38
28 ENG Ross Fisher 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.18% 0.74% -0.44% T49
29 FRA Victor Dubuisson 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.18% 0.72% -0.46% WD
30 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.12% 2.94% 1.83% MC 4.9
31 GER Marcel Schneider 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.07% 1.64% 0.57% WD 4.72
32 FRA Julien Guerrier 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.07% 1.11% 0.03% T3 (tied w/5) 4.72 +29.7
33 NOR Espen Kofstad 80 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.07% 0.93% -0.14% T25 4.72
34 SCO Ewen Ferguson 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.81% -0.27% T12 4.72
35 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.56% -0.52% MC
36 ESP Nacho Elvira 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.49% -0.58% T12
37 RSA JC Ritchie 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.38% -0.7% MC
38 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.35% -0.72% MC
39 RSA Brandon Stone 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.94% 0.51% -0.43% MC
40 WAL Jamie Donaldson 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.89% 0.85% -0.04% MC 3.9
41 NZL Daniel Hillier 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 1.47% 0.61% T35 3.78
42 FRA Frederic LaCroix 100 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 0.66% -0.2% T25 3.78
43 ENG Garrick Porteous 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 0.61% -0.26% T35 3.78
44 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 0.56% -0.3% WD 3.78
45 ENG James Morrison 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 0.55% -0.32% MC 3.78
46 WAL Oliver Farr 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 0.53% -0.34% T35 3.78
47 ENG Jack Senior 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.81% 0.6% -0.21% T49 3.54
48 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.91% 0.22% MC 3.03
49 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 0.86% 0.17% T18 3.03
50 ENG Dale Whitnell 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.76% 0.07% T18 3.03
51 IRL Niall Kearney 125 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 0.69% 0% T59 3.03
52 SCO Craig Howie 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.63% -0.06% MC 3.03
53 ITA Francesco Laporta 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.59% 0.47% -0.13% T55
54 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.87% 0.3% MC
55 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.73% 0.16% T40
56 THA Jazz Janewattananond 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% 0.54% -0.04% T9
57 GER Marcel Siem 150 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.54% -0.04% MC
58 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.58% 0.51% -0.07% MC
59 ENG Matthew Baldwin 175 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.49% 1.25% 0.76% T15
60 NED Daan Huizing 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.92% 0.42% T15
61 ENG Ashley Chesters 175 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.49% 0.45% -0.05% T25
62 POR Ricardo Gouveia 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.86% 0.41% MC
63 CAN Aaron Cockerill 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 1.13% 0.69% MC
64 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.76% 0.33% WD
65 ESP Alvaro Quiros 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.39% 0.66% 0.27% MC
66 RSA Darren Fichardt 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.69% 0.34% T49
67 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.5% 0.14% MC
68 DEN Jeff Winther 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.35% -0.01% T57
69 WAL Stuart Manley 250 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 1.51% 1.17% T63
70 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.42% 0.08% MC
71 ENG Daniel Gavins 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.48% 0.17% MC
72 ENG Robert Rock 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.72% 0.43% T20
73 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% T3
74 RSA Bryce Easton 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.22% -0.08% T35
75 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
76 SWE Jens Fahrbring 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.28% -0.01% MC
77 ITA Filippo Celli 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.28% 1.45% 1.17% MC
78 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% MC
79 SWE Robin Petersson 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% 4.55% 4.33% MC
80 CHI Hugo Leon 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.31% 0.09% MC
81 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.62% 0.41% T43
82 USA Julian Suri 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.59% 0.38% MC
83 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.4% 0.18% T55
84 AUS Maverick Antcliff 400 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% WD
85 ENG Steven Brown 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.07% MC
86 FRA Benjamin Hebert 400 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% MC
87 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.24% 0.03% MC
88 ENG Andrew Wilson 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
89 NZL Josh Geary 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.37% 0.16% T49
90 SCO David Drysdale 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
91 AUS Elvis Smylie 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
92 ESP Pedro Oriol 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% MC
93 ESP Pep Angles Ros 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.37% 0.19% T25
94 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% MC
95 SCO Marc Warren 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% MC
96 ENG David Coupland 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.13% MC
97 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% MC
98 ENG Richard McEvoy 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.35% 0.18% MC
99 ENG Lee Slattery 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 1.1% 0.94% T25
100 ENG Jonathan Thomson 577 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.4/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% 69
101 SWE Joel Sjoholm 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% MC
102 SWE Jesper Svensson 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.63% 0.51% MC
103 SWE Henric Sturehed 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.49% 0.37% T25
104 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.24% 0.13% T25
105 FRA Joel Stalter 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.43% 0.32% MC
106 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.23% 0.12%
107 ENG Alfie Plant 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% T67
108 SWE Anton Karlsson 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.33% 0.23% T25
109 ITA Renato Paratore 891 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.32% 0.23% T3
110 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 1.25% 1.16% MC
111 ENG Jack Singh Brar 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.5% 0.41% MC
112 AUS Zach Murray 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% MC
113 AUS Jake McLeod 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
114 SWE Rikard Karlberg 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T43
115 SCO Stephen Gallacher 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% T43
116 AUS Scott Hend 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
117 WAL Archie Davies 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
118 RSA Jacques Blaauw 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% T59
119 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.45% 0.36% T25
120 ENG Adam Keogh 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
121 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.36% 0.27% MC
122 ENG Chris Wood 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% 66
123 FRA Damien Perrier 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
124 FRA Gregory Bourdy 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
125 CHN Zhang Huilin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
126 FRA Romain Wattel 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
127 ENG Ben Evans 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
128 SWE Philip Eriksson 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
129 SCO Greig Hutcheon 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.41% 0.35% 70
130 ENG Sam Hutsby 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.24% 0.19% MC
131 FRA Gregory Havret 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% T49
132 IRL Paul Dunne 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.36% 0.32% T20
133 RSA Haydn Porteous 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.34% 0.3% T43
134 ENG Oliver Fisher 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.29% MC
135 ENG Chris Paisley 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.28% MC
136 SWE Jesper Kennegard 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.31% 0.27%
137 ENG David Dixon 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.23% T3
138 IMN Tom Gandy 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.23% T63
139 WAL Stephen Dodd 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.22% MC
140 CAN Lindsay Renolds 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2%
141 WAL James Ashfield 2000 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% MC
142 ENG Matt Ford 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.21% 0.17% WD
143 ENG David Howell 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.35% 0.32% T25
144 USA Tyler Koivisto 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.33% 0.3% MC
145 NIR Cormac Sharvin 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.33% 0.3% MC
146 ENG Graeme Storm 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.3% 0.27% WD
147 WAL Phillip Price 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.21% MC
148 WAL Lee Rooke 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.21%
149 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T63
150 USA Matt Davidson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
152 CAN Lindsay Renolds 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 AUS Austin Bautista 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T9
155 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 ENG Barclay Brown 0% 0% 0% 0% T59
157 WAL Luke Harries 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 ENG Michael Farrier-Twist 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 16% 16%
2 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 36% 19.9%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 36.4% 20.3%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.8% 20.6%
5 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 36.8% 20.6%
6 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 37.3% 23.4%
7 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 50.1% 23.7%
8 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65% 25.7%
9 Coral 8 @ 1/5 65% 25.7%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.4%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 27.4%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.6% 30.2%
13 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 31.2%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 33.5%
15 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 33.5%
16 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.3% 33.8%
17 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 49.1% 34%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52% 34.1%
19 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 51.1% 35.8%
20 Spreadex 5 @ 1/4 54.9% 36.7%
21 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 69.2% 39.5%
22 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 69.2% 39.5%
23 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 83.1% 39.6%