Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 23.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 112.8

Total Profit: +12.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 12 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.22% 1.5% -4.72% T9
2 RSA Branden Grace 16 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.76% 2.81% -1.95% T12
3 ENG Sam Horsfield 18 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.26% 2.46% -1.79% T64
4 BEL Thomas Detry 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.85% 1.62% -2.23% T4
5 RSA Dean Burmester 22 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.52% 2.84% -0.68% MC
6 USA Johannes Veerman 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.11% 2.54% -0.57% T6
7 NED Joost Luiten 25 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.11% 1.66% -1.45% MC
8 ENG Andrew Johnston 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.79% 2.54% -0.25% MC 12.42
9 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.79% 2.45% -0.34% MC
10 RSA Justin Harding 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 2.3% -0.07% T9 10.59
11 SVK Rory Sabbatini 33 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 2.1% -0.28% T50
12 IND Shubhankar Sharma 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.38% 1.4% -0.98% T27
13 NED Wil Besseling 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.25% 1.17% -1.08% MC
14 GER Marcel Siem 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 1.38% -0.59% T15
15 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 1.17% -0.8% T15
16 DEN Joachim B Hansen 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 1.12% -0.86% T22
17 RSA George Coetzee 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.97% 0.9% -1.08% T50
18 ENG David Horsey 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.59% 1.44% -0.15% T19 7.06
19 THA Jazz Janewattananond 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.59% 1.18% -0.41% T9
20 SWE Joakim Lagergren 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.44% 0.99% -0.46% MC
21 RSA Brandon Stone 55 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.44% 0.71% -0.73% T32
22 SCO David Law 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 1.72% 0.52% T38 5.38
23 GER Maximilian Kieffer 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 1.6% 0.4% T15 5.38
24 NIR Graeme McDowell 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 0.97% -0.23% T22 5.38
25 USA Paul Peterson 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 0.92% -0.29% MC
26 ENG Richard Mansell 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.57% -0.64% T6
27 POR Ricardo Gouveia 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.27% -0.94% T58
28 ITA Renato Paratore 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 1.3% 0.3% MC 4.45
29 AUS Maverick Antcliff 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.91% -0.09% T27 4.45
30 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1% 0.89% -0.11% MC 4.45
31 ENG Ashley Chesters 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.87% -0.13% MC 4.45
32 WAL Oliver Farr 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.77% -0.22% T62 4.45
33 GER Matthias Schmid 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.76% -0.24% 2 4.45 +37.8
34 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.67% -0.32% MC
35 FRA Romain Langasque 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 0.59% -0.41% T22
36 IRL Niall Kearney 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 0.96% 0.07% T12 3.96
37 ESP Jorge Campillo 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.89% 0.71% -0.18% MC 3.96
38 NED Darius Van Driel 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.91% 0.11% T4 (tied w/2) 3.57 +37.5
39 ESP Alejandro Canizares 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.88% 0.08% 3 3.57 +37.5
40 RSA Wilco Nienaber 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.66% -0.14% T22 3.57
41 ENG Lee Slattery 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.27% -0.53% T38
42 ENG Jack Senior 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.61% 0.97% T32 2.86
43 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.26% 0.62% T12 2.86
44 ENG Garrick Porteous 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.08% 0.44% MC 2.86
45 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.39% -0.25% MC
46 SCO Craig Howie 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.57% 1.14% 0.56% MC
47 FRA Clement Sordet 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 1.08% 0.55% T32
48 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.72% 0.19% T50
49 NZL Josh Geary 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.57% 0.03% MC
50 FRA Adrien Saddier 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.56% 0.02% T15
51 SWE Rikard Karlberg 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.52% -0.02% T69
52 ENG Steven Brown 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.42% -0.11% T47
53 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.35% -0.19% T38
54 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.5% 1.34% 0.84% T38
55 ENG David Coupland 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.5% 0.66% 0.16% MC
56 MAS Gavin Green 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% MC
57 CAN Aaron Cockerill 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% 0.66% 0.2% T19
58 ENG Chris Wood 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 2.12% 1.72% T32
59 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.92% 0.52% T38
60 GER Max Schmitt 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% T58
61 ENG Matthew Baldwin 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.59% 0.18% MC
62 ENG Ben Evans 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% T50
63 NED Daan Huizing 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.27% -0.13% T69
64 SCO David Drysdale 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.36% 0.78% 0.42% T27
65 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.18% 0.86% T32
66 ESP Pep Angles Ros 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.86% 0.53% MC
67 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.84% 0.52% T69
68 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.6% 0.28% MC
69 USA Berry Henson 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.6% 0.28% T50
70 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.54% 0.22% MC
71 AUS Elvis Smylie 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.29% -0.03% MC
72 ENG Ben Stow 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.27% -0.05% T50
73 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% T50
74 FRA Robin Roussel 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% T27
75 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.58% 0.31% MC
76 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.42% 0.15% MC
77 CZE Ondrej Lieser 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% T19
78 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.83% 0.6% T47
79 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.46% 0.23% 1
80 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.26% 0.03% T47
81 SWE Joel Sjoholm 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.25% 0.02% MC
82 ENG Oliver Fisher 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.69% 0.49% MC
83 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% MC
84 FRA Damien Perrier 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.55% 0.35% MC
85 SCO Daniel Young 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
86 GER Frederik Schott 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.04% MC
87 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 450 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.18% 0.36% 0.18% T58
88 ENG Matt Ford 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.58% 0.42% 75
89 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.54% 0.38% T69
90 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.47% 0.31% 77
91 NIR Cormac Sharvin 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% T64
92 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% WD
93 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
94 NED Kiet Van Der Weele 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
95 FRA Romain Wattel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.1% MC
96 POR Ricardo Santos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.41% 0.28% T6
97 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.39% 0.26% T38
98 ENG Steven Tiley 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.15% MC
99 NED Dario Antonisse 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% MC
100 IRL Paul Dunne 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.52% 0.41% MC
101 SCO Euan Walker 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.43% 0.32% T38
102 AUS Deyen Lawson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.4% 0.29% MC
103 IMN Tom Gandy 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
104 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.36% 0.25% T22
105 SWE Philip Eriksson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
106 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.68% 0.6% MC
107 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.62% 0.53% MC
108 AUS Jake McLeod 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.56% 0.48% MC
109 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.56% 0.48% MC
110 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.35% MC
111 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
112 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
113 SCO Liam Johnston 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
114 IRL Gavin Moynihan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
115 IRL James Sugrue 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% 73
116 ENG Angus Flanagan 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% T64
117 SWE Jens Fahrbring 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T64
118 SWE Robin Petersson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
119 NED Max Albertus 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
120 NED Sven Maurits 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T27
121 NED Koen Kouwenaar 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% 76
122 NED Mike Toorop 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T50
123 NED Philip Bootsma 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T38
124 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
125 SWE Jesper Sandborg 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
126 SWE Peter Hanson 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.4% 0.35% T32
127 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.4% 0.34% MC
128 NED Maarten Lafeber 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
129 ITA Aron Zemmer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.4% 0.36% MC
130 NED Ralph Miller 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.23% MC
131 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T62
134 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
135 NED Lars Van Meijel 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
136 NED Davey Porsius 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 NED Lars Keunen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 NED Rowin Caron 0% 0% 0% 0% T38
140 NED Nordin Van Tilburg 0% 0% 0% 0% 74
141 NED Stan Kraai 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 NED Wouter De Vries 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 NED Lars Van Der Vight 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 NED Felix van Dijk 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 23.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.6 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.3% 23.3%
2 VBet 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 29.2%
3 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 30.9%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 31.6%
5 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 31.6%
6 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.9% 34.8%
7 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 36.8%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 37.2%
9 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 37.2%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 38%
11 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 38.8%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.9% 39%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 55.9% 39%
14 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.9% 39%
15 Betway 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 40.6%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 41.8%
17 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 70.3% 42.7%