Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 25.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 53.4

Total Profit: -46.7

D+D Real Czech Masters

19/08/2021 - 22/08/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Sam Horsfield 11 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 8.33% 6.61% 3.08% -3.53% T23
2 SVK Rory Sabbatini 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.28% 2.79% -2.49% T33
3 ENG Danny Willett 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.66% 2.54% -2.13% MC
4 RSA Dean Burmester 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.77% 2.7% -1.07% 6
5 NZL Ryan Fox 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.77% 1.5% -2.27% T29
6 ENG Callum Shinkwin 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.45% 1.44% -2% T33
7 USA Johannes Veerman 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.05% 1.72% -1.33% 1
8 RSA George Coetzee 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.05% 0.96% -2.08% MC
9 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.73% 4.72% 1.98% T7 (tied w/5) 12.01 +7.9
10 SWE Vincent Norrman 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.73% 1.71% -1.02% MC
11 ESP Adria Arnaus 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.73% 1.24% -1.49% T60
12 THA Jazz Janewattananond 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.56% 1.23% -1.33% T33
13 CHI Hugo Leon 33 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.33% 2.38% 0.05% MC 10.24
14 NED Joost Luiten 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.33% 1.22% -1.11% T12
15 RSA Darren Fichardt 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.2% 2.59% 0.39% T47 9.67
16 IRL Padraig Harrington 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.93% 1.77% -0.16% T33
17 SWE Henrik Stenson 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.93% 0.74% -1.2% T4
18 USA Sean Crocker 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.72% 0.93% -0.79% T2
19 GER Marcel Siem 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 1.95% 0.39% T12 6.83
20 POL Adrian Meronk 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 1.76% 0.21% T17 6.83
21 USA Sihwan Kim 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 1.23% -0.32% T23
22 AUS Maverick Antcliff 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 1.12% -0.43% T29
23 FIN Sami Valimaki 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 1.04% -0.52% MC
24 ITA Renato Paratore 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.42% 1.27% -0.15% T50
25 ENG Garrick Porteous 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.42% 1.08% -0.33% MC
26 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 60 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.3% 1.51% 0.21% T17 5.71
27 SWE Rikard Karlberg 60 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.3% 0.83% -0.47% MC
28 IRL Niall Kearney 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 1.51% 0.32% T29 5.2
29 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 66 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 1.47% 0.28% T2 (tied w/2) 5.2 +45.5
30 RSA Brandon Stone 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 1.2% 0.01% T12 5.2
31 RSA JC Ritchie 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% 1.09% -0.09% T39 5.2
32 ENG Richard Mansell 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.18% 0.95% -0.24% T39
33 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 0.94% -0.04% T60 4.3
34 RSA Louis de Jager 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 0.9% -0.08% MC 4.3
35 USA Paul Peterson 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.69% -0.29% T4
36 ITA Nino Bertasio 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.87% 1% 0.13% T29 3.83
37 SWE Joakim Lagergren 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.97% 0.18% T17 3.45
38 AUS Bryden MacPherson 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.66% -0.13% MC 3.45
39 GER Sebastian Heisele 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.64% -0.14% MC
40 FRA Julien Guerrier 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.89% 0.18% MC 3.14
41 WAL Rhys Enoch 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 1.11% 0.48% MC 2.77
42 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.59% -0.04% T33 2.77
43 RSA Bryce Easton 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.56% 1.35% 0.79% T55
44 ENG Toby Tree 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.82% 0.3% MC
45 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.75% 0.23% T17
46 ENG David Coupland 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.68% 0.16% T23
47 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.62% 0.09% T17
48 NZL Josh Geary 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.61% 0.09% T58
49 ENG Lee Slattery 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.54% 0.01% T45
50 KOR Yikeun Chang 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% 0.98% 0.49% T67
51 FRA Clement Sordet 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.49% 0.83% 0.34% T23
52 GER Marcel Schneider 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.88% 0.43% 65
53 NED Lars Van Meijel 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.72% 0.27% T58
54 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.4% -0.05% MC
55 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.06% 0.66% MC
56 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 1.02% 0.62% T50
57 ENG Ben Evans 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.63% 0.24% MC
58 USA Berry Henson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.6% 0.2% T39
59 KOR Taehee Lee 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.36% -0.03% T23
60 GER Bernd Ritthammer 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.13% 0.82% T50
61 ENG Matthew Baldwin 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.96% 0.64% T7
62 FRA Robin Roussel 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.71% 0.39% T39
63 ESP Pep Angles Ros 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.29% 0.72% 0.44% T47
64 ENG Oliver Fisher 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.85% 0.59% T12
65 GER Max Schmitt 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.63% 0.36% T50
66 MAS Gavin Green 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.59% 0.33% MC
67 ITA Andrea Pavan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.39% 0.17% T70
68 FRA Romain Wattel 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% MC
69 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.31% 0.08% MC
70 ENG David Howell 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.78% 0.59% MC
71 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% T7
72 ENG Steven Tiley 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% T39
73 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.21% T60
74 CZE Stanislav Matus 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
75 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.87% 0.72% T55
76 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.68% 0.52% MC
77 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.66% 0.5% MC
78 CZE Ondrej Lieser 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.59% 0.43% T60
79 IND Shiv Kapur 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.47% 0.31% T55
80 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.44% 0.28% WD
81 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.26% T39
82 FRA Damien Perrier 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% T7
83 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.24% T50
84 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% MC
85 CZE Jakub Bares 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.2% MC
86 IMN Tom Gandy 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.68% 0.55% MC
87 USA Tyler Koivisto 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.62% 0.48% MC
88 SWE Philip Eriksson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.47% 0.34% T33
89 ENG Ross McGowan 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.46% 0.33% T23
90 FRA Gary Stal 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.39% 0.26% T60
91 CZE Ales Korinek 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% T70
92 SVK Tadeas Tetak 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% MC
93 ENG David Dixon 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% 72
94 IRL Gavin Moynihan 600 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% T67
95 AUS Jake McLeod 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% T47
96 SCO Daniel Young 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.41% 0.31% T17
97 CZE Jan Cafourek 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% MC
98 ENG Joshua Grenville-Wood 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% MC
99 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% MC
100 ENG Liam Robinson 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.4% 0.32% MC
101 FRA Adrien Pendaries 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.4% 0.32% MC
102 SWE Jesper Sandborg 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.31% MC
103 ENG Gary King 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
104 CZE Filip Mruzek 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% T12
105 CZE Michal Pospisil 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
106 ITA Aron Zemmer 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.55% 0.49% MC
107 FIN Janne Kaske 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.44% 0.39% 66
108 CZE Simon Zach 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.38% 0.33% MC
109 SVK Pavol Mach 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.36% 0.3% MC
110 CZE Jiri Zuska(AM) 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.36% 0.3% MC
111 CZE Lukas Tintera 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.36% 0.33% MC
112 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T45
113 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 0% 0% 0% 0% T7
114 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
115 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
116 IRL Michael Young 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
117 CZE Matyas Zapletal 0% 0% 0% 0% T67
118 CZE Gordan Brixi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
119 USA Michael Feuerstein 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
120 CZE Matej Baca 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
121 CZE Maximilian Jelinek 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
122 CZE Krystof Strycek 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
123 CZE Stepan Danek 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
124 SVK Sebastian Vida 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 36% 21.3%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 46% 22.4%
3 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 46% 22.4%
4 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 38.2% 23.3%
5 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 23.9%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 23.9%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 23.9%
8 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.9% 23.9%
9 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 38.3% 26.1%
10 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 52.7% 28%
11 VBet 5 @ 1/4 43.8% 28.3%
12 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 28.6%
13 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 43.6% 30.9%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 48.4% 35.3%
15 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 35.5%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 50.3% 37%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.2% 37.9%