Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 28.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 100.3

Total Profit: +.2

ABERDEEN STANDARD INVESTMENTS SCOTTISH OPEN

08/07/2021 - 11/07/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 7 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.44% 4.75% -4.69% 7
2 USA Collin Morikawa 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.04% 4.16% -0.88% T71
3 USA Xander Schauffele 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.04% 2.52% -2.51% T10
4 NIR Rory McIlroy 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.98% 3.08% -0.9% MC
5 USA Justin Thomas 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.6% 2.49% -1.1% T8
6 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.28% 2.07% -1.21% T18
7 USA Scottie Scheffler 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.61% 2.68% 0.07% T12 11.63
8 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.44% 1.82% -0.62% T2
9 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.22% 1.33% -0.89% T26
10 CAN Corey Conners 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 2.35% 0.51% MC 8.23
11 USA Will Zalatoris 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 2% 0.15% T26 8.23
12 RSA Branden Grace 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 1.58% -0.26% T54
13 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 1.39% -0.45% T44
14 SCO Robert MacIntyre 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 1.36% -0.49% T18
15 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 0.86% -0.99% T26
16 USA Sam Burns 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 2.56% 1.07% T18 6.62
17 ITA Guido Migliozzi 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% 1.97% 0.49% T35 6.62
18 RSA Garrick Higgo 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.35% 1.67% 0.32% MC 6.03
19 ENG Ian Poulter 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.35% 1.54% 0.19% T4 (tied w/3) 6.03 +36.2
20 AUS Lucas Herbert 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.35% 0.8% -0.55% T4
21 GER Martin Kaymer 60 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.24% 0.8% -0.43% MC
22 ENG Andy Sullivan 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.24% 0.62% -0.62% MC
23 ENG Lee Westwood 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 1.52% 0.39% T35 5.04
24 BEL Thomas Pieters 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.81% -0.31% T35
25 ENG Matt Wallace 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.06% 1.21% 0.15% T26 4.75
26 ITA Francesco Molinari 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 1.04% -0.02% MC 4.75
27 ENG Andrew Johnston 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.49% -0.58% MC
28 USA Billy Horschel 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 2.25% 1.31% T54 4.17
29 USA Ryan Palmer 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.96% 0.03% T4 (tied w/3) 4.17 +29.2
30 ENG Sam Horsfield 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.82% -0.11% MC
31 ENG Aaron Rai 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.39% -0.44% T35
32 AUS Jason Scrivener 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.43% 0.68% MC 3.34
33 FRA Antoine Rozner 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.08% 0.33% T65 3.34
34 ENG Danny Willett 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.72% -0.03% MC
35 AUT Matthias Schwab 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% 1.03% 0.35% MC 3.04
36 RSA Justin Harding 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% 0.96% 0.27% MC 3.04
37 BEL Thomas Detry 110 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% 0.79% 0.1% T2 (tied w/2) 3.04 +35
38 ENG Richard Bland 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.04% 0.44% T15 2.68
39 FRA Victor Perez 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.72% 0.12% T59 2.68
40 FRA Victor Dubuisson 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.67% 0.07% WD 2.68
41 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.57% -0.03% MC
42 RSA Dean Burmester 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.96% 0.46% T35
43 NZL Ryan Fox 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.83% 0.33% T44
44 SCO Calum Hill 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.75% 0.25% MC
45 FIN Kalle Samooja 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.63% 0.13% MC
46 ENG Marcus Armitage 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.49% -0.01% T54
47 ENG Jordan L Smith 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.47% -0.03% MC
48 ENG Laurie Canter 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.41% -0.09% T59
49 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.4% -0.1% MC
50 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.32% -0.18% T26
51 ENG Eddie Pepperell 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.24% -0.26% MC
52 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.19% -0.31% T54
53 FIN Mikko Korhonen 175 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.88% 0.45% MC
54 RSA George Coetzee 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.66% 0.23% T26
55 NED Joost Luiten 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.63% 0.2% T69
56 SCO Richie Ramsay 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.52% 0.09% T15
57 IRL Padraig Harrington 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.5% 0.07% T18
58 USA Kurt Kitayama 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.72% 0.34% MC
59 ENG Matthew Southgate 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.62% 0.25% T26
60 SWE Henrik Stenson 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% MC
61 ESP Adria Arnaus 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.06% T75
62 AUS Minwoo Lee 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.42% 0.05% 1
63 USA John Catlin 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.37% 0% MC
64 SCO Grant Forrest 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.37% -0.01% T73
65 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.26% -0.11% T59
66 ENG Matthew Jordan 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.25% -0.12% T18
67 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.21% -0.13% T44
68 DEN Jeff Winther 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.85% 0.55% T44
69 WAL Jamie Donaldson 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.82% 0.52% T65
70 USA Jimmy Walker 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.67% 0.36% MC
71 RSA Brandon Stone 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% T75
72 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.53% 0.23% T18
73 THA Jazz Janewattananond 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.52% 0.21% MC
74 SCO Connor Syme 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% T35
75 POL Adrian Meronk 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% T59
76 ESP Jorge Campillo 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% MC
77 AUS Maverick Antcliff 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% MC
78 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% MC
79 RSA Wilco Nienaber 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% MC
80 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.35% 0.05% MC
81 SWE Alexander Bjork 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.31% 0.01% T26
82 ENG Ross Fisher 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.23% -0.07% T15
83 AUS Wade Ormsby 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.49% 0.24% T12
84 AUS Scott Hend 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.17% T44
85 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% T65
86 GER Maximilian Kieffer 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% MC
87 ENG Chris Paisley 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% MC
88 FRA Julien Guerrier 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% MC
89 FRA Benjamin Hebert 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.06% MC
90 ENG David Horsey 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.05% MC
91 ENG James Morrison 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
92 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% MC
93 FRA Romain Langasque 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% T44
94 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% MC
95 ENG Robert Rock 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.19% -0.06% MC
96 NIR Graeme McDowell 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.18% -0.07% MC
97 ENG Paul Waring 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.14% -0.11% MC
98 SWE Marcus Kinhult 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.12% -0.13% T59
99 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.49% 0.28% MC
100 SCO Scott Jamieson 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.38% 0.16% MC
101 ITA Renato Paratore 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.34% 0.12% T65
102 RSA Justin Walters 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% T18
103 ITA Nino Bertasio 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.3% 0.08% T44
104 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.24% 0.02% MC
105 NED Darius Van Driel 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% T54
106 ITA Francesco Laporta 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% T71
107 USA Julian Suri 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.51% 0.36% MC
108 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% MC
109 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.22% T35
110 IND Shubhankar Sharma 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
111 FRA Alexander Levy 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T26
112 FRA Matthieu Pavon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T12
113 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T69
114 ENG Jack Senior 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T10
115 GER Sebastian Heisele 500 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T44
116 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
117 ENG Callum Shinkwin 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
118 SCO David Law 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% T35
119 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
120 ENG Ashley Chesters 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% MC
121 SCO Stephen Gallacher 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% MC
122 ENG Chris Wood 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.2% 77
123 SCO David Drysdale 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.1% MC
124 SWE Joakim Lagergren 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% T35
125 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.19% 0.07% MC
126 CHN Li Haotong 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.05% MC
127 WAL Oliver Farr 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.17% 0.04% T59
128 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% MC
129 NIR Cormac Sharvin 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% T44
130 ENG Oliver Wilson 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.19% 0.09% MC
131 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
132 ESP Nacho Elvira 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
133 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
134 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.12% MC
135 ENG David Howell 1000 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.11% MC
136 ENG Richard McEvoy 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.08% MC
137 MAS Gavin Green 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.08% MC
138 RSA Thomas Aiken 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
139 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.06% MC
140 ESP Alvaro Quiros 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.06% T18
141 POR Ricardo Santos 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% MC
142 SCO Paul O'Hara 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
143 FRA Robin Roussel 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.03% MC
144 FRA Joel Stalter 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% T44
145 ITA Andrea Pavan 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.14% MC
146 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% T73
147 SWE Peter Hanson 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.11% 0.07% MC
148 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.21% MC
149 ENG Ross McGowan 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
150 DEN Thomas Bjorn 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Darren Fichardt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 SWE Rikard Karlberg 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Johannes Veerman 0% 0% 0% 0% T8
155 ENG Dale Whitnell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 28.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 46.9% 13.8%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.7% 19.3%
3 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 57% 21.9%
4 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 58.2% 22.8%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 61% 24.9%
6 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 90.8% 28.9%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.8% 32%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 60% 34.1%
9 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 36.3%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 49.5% 36.4%
11 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 36.4%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 36.4%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 36.4%
14 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 52.8% 36.4%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.1% 38.8%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62.3% 48.2%