Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Magical Kenya Open presented by Johnnie Walker

18/03/2021 - 21/03/2021

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Kurt Kitayama 18 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.99% 1.41% -2.57% 2
2 FIN Kalle Samooja 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.29% 1.79% -1.5% T12
3 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.91% 1.34% -1.57% T52
4 RSA George Coetzee 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.61% 1.86% -0.75% T16
5 ITA Guido Migliozzi 28 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.61% 1.36% -1.25% T12
6 ENG Aaron Rai 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.44% 4.04% 1.6% T24 10.48
7 WAL Jamie Donaldson 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.44% 1.73% -0.71% T16
8 ENG Chris Paisley 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.44% 1.57% -0.87% MC
9 NED Joost Luiten 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 1.79% -0.44% T41
10 SWE Niklas Lemke 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 1.51% -0.72% T33
11 RSA Justin Harding 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 1.31% -0.92% 1
12 FRA Romain Langasque 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 0.68% -1.55% T5
13 RSA Dean Burmester 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.19% -0.66% T8
14 USA Johannes Veerman 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.03% -0.81% T16
15 SCO Calum Hill 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.43% -0.22% T8
16 RSA Garrick Higgo 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.65% 0.91% -0.74% T16
17 RSA Darren Fichardt 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.65% 0.16% T24 6.37
18 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 50 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 1.5% 0.02% T24 6.37
19 RSA Wilco Nienaber 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.9% -0.59% T28
20 ENG Sam Horsfield 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.35% -1.14% T8
21 ESP Adrian Otaegui 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.35% 0.93% -0.42% T24
22 ENG Marcus Armitage 60 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.24% 1.38% 0.14% MC 5.33
23 FRA Victor Dubuisson 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.24% 1.32% 0.08% T16 5.33
24 ENG Jordan L Smith 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.24% 1% -0.25% T47
25 THA Jazz Janewattananond 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.24% 0.69% -0.55% MC
26 ENG Richard Bland 66 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.76% 0.63% T52 4.85
27 AUS Maverick Antcliff 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 1.48% 0.35% MC 4.85
28 NED Wil Besseling 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.96% -0.17% MC 4.85
29 RSA Louis de Jager 66 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.94% -0.19% T33
30 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 1.32% 0.26% MC 4.58
31 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.59% 0.65% T70 4.01
32 ENG Steven Brown 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.31% 0.37% MC 4.01
33 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.13% 0.2% MC 4.01
34 SWE Joakim Lagergren 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.03% 0.09% MC 4.01
35 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 80 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.65% -0.29% T16
36 ZIM Scott Vincent 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.64% -0.29% T62
37 USA John Catlin 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.61% -0.33% T28
38 ESP Jorge Campillo 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.46% -0.48% MC
39 RSA JC Ritchie 80 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.36% -0.57% T73
40 FRA Benjamin Hebert 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.8% -0.03% T70 3.57
41 SCO Grant Forrest 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.35% 0.6% T33 3.22
42 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.99% 0.24% MC 3.22
43 POL Adrian Meronk 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.97% 0.22% T47 3.22
44 USA Julian Suri 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.9% 0.15% MC 3.22
45 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.57% -0.18% MC 3.22
46 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.39% -0.36% 3
47 ENG Dale Whitnell 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 1.15% 0.47% T41 2.93
48 ITA Nino Bertasio 110 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% 0.78% 0.1% T12 2.93
49 ENG James Morrison 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.67% -0.01% MC 2.93
50 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.57% -0.03% T33 2.58
51 CHN Li Haotong 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.4% -0.2% WD
52 ESP Pep Angles Ros 125 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.39% -0.22% T8
53 ENG Jack Senior 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.35% -0.25% T28
54 ENG Matt Ford 125 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.28% -0.32% T52
55 CZE Ondrej Lieser 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.28% -0.32% T33
56 ENG Richard Mansell 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.28% -0.32% MC
57 SCO Richie Ramsay 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.45% -0.09% T47
58 SWE Rikard Karlberg 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.04% 0.54% T65
59 ENG Richard McEvoy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.95% 0.45% T28
60 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.94% 0.44% T52
61 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.71% 0.21% T47
62 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% MC
63 NIR Cormac Sharvin 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% MC
64 MAS Gavin Green 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.08% T41
65 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.52% 0.02% T47
66 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.5% 0% T62
67 RSA Justin Walters 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.66% 0.19% T12
68 NED Lars Van Meijel 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.97% 0.54% T65
69 FRA Clement Sordet 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% MC
70 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.36% -0.07% MC
71 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.32% -0.11% T5
72 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.28% -0.15% T52
73 GER Max Schmitt 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1.26% 0.88% MC
74 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.82% 0.44% MC
75 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.81% 0.44% MC
76 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.75% 0.38% T33
77 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.67% 0.3% MC
78 FRA Romain Wattel 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.65% 0.27% T65
79 ENG David Coupland 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.48% 0.1% MC
80 WAL Rhys Enoch 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.06% MC
81 NED Darius Van Driel 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.05% T52
82 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.34% -0.03% MC
83 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.34% -0.04% MC
84 GER Marcel Schneider 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.34% -0.04% T28
85 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.3% -0.07% MC
86 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.28% -0.1% MC
87 FRA Damien Perrier 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.69% 0.36% T52
88 SCO David Law 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.48% 0.15% MC
89 ENG Ashley Chesters 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.29% -0.05% T52
90 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.39% 1.09% T62
91 GER Hurly Long 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.83% 0.52% MC
92 FRA Joel Stalter 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.75% 0.45% MC
93 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.74% 0.44% MC
94 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 250 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.64% 0.34% MC
95 POR Pedro Figueiredo 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.53% 0.22% MC
96 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% 4
97 SWE Jens Fahrbring 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.34% 0.03% T52
98 KOR Kyongjun Moon 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T73
99 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.28% -0.02% MC
100 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.27% -0.03% T65
101 KOR Yikeun Chang 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.49% 0.22% MC
102 POR Ricardo Santos 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% T33
103 ENG Garrick Porteous 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.69% 0.44% T16
104 SCO Ewen Ferguson 300 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.62% 0.37% MC
105 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.58% 0.33% T33
106 AUS Scott Hend 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.53% 0.28% T16
107 ENG Ben Evans 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.08% T41
108 SCO Liam Johnston 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% MC
109 ENG Toby Tree 350 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.78% 0.56% T65
110 NED Daan Huizing 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.57% 0.35% MC
111 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.47% 0.26% WD
112 FRA Robin Roussel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.4% 0.18% MC
113 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.39% 0.18% MC
114 USA Tyler Koivisto 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% MC
115 ENG Ross McGowan 400 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.82% 0.63% MC
116 FRA Gregory Havret 400 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% T70
117 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% MC
118 KOR Taehee Lee 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% MC
119 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.65% 0.49% MC
120 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.27% T41
121 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% T73
122 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% 76
123 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
124 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
125 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
126 SWE Anton Karlsson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
127 KEN Greg Snow 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
128 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T5
129 IRL Gavin Moynihan 600 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.14% MC
130 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% T52
131 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.23% 0.1% MC
132 ENG David Howell 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
133 NIG Andrew Odoh 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.28% 0.22% MC
134 KEN Dismas Indiza 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.28% 0.25% MC
135 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 KEN Simon Ngigi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 KEN Samuel Chege 0% 0% 0% 0% 77
139 KEN Erick Ooko Obura 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 ZIM Robson Chinhoi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 RSA David Wakhu 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 KEN Anthony Juma 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 KEN Taimur Malik 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 KEN C John Wangai 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 KEN Jaydeep Singh Sandhu 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 KEN Justus Madoya 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 KEN Jacob Okello 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 KEN Edwin Inana Asuza 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 UGA Phillip Kasozi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 KEN Isaac Ogolla Makokha 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 TAN Victor Joseph 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 KEN Paul Musangi Njuguna 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 KEN Matthew Omondi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 KEN Rizwan Charania 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 KEN Adel Balala 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 54.5% 29.2%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 54.5% 29.2%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 30.9%
4 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 31.4%
5 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 48% 31.9%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.7% 34.2%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 50.8% 34.3%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 47.6% 34.5%
9 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 49.5% 36.1%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 49.7% 36.3%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.7% 39.6%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 40%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54% 40.3%
14 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
15 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
18 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
19 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 59.2% 41.8%