Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Kurt Kitayama 18 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.93% 1.39% -2.54% 2
2 FIN Kalle Samooja 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.25% 1.76% -1.48% T12
3 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 1.32% -1.55% T52
4 RSA George Coetzee 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 1.83% -0.74% T16
5 ITA Guido Migliozzi 28 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.57% 1.34% -1.24% T12
6 ENG Aaron Rai 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.41% 3.98% 1.57% T24 10.66
7 WAL Jamie Donaldson 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.41% 1.7% -0.7% T16
8 ENG Chris Paisley 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.41% 1.55% -0.86% MC
9 NED Joost Luiten 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% 1.76% -0.44% T41
10 SWE Niklas Lemke 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% 1.49% -0.71% T33
11 RSA Justin Harding 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% 1.29% -0.91% 1
12 FRA Romain Langasque 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% 0.67% -1.52% T5
13 RSA Dean Burmester 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.17% -0.65% T8
14 USA Johannes Veerman 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.02% -0.8% T16
15 SCO Calum Hill 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% 1.4% -0.22% T8
16 RSA Garrick Higgo 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.62% 0.89% -0.73% T16
17 DEN Joachim B Hansen 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% 1.63% 0.16% T41 6.48
18 RSA Darren Fichardt 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.62% 0.16% T24 6.48
19 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 50 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% 1.48% 0.02% T24 6.48
20 RSA Wilco Nienaber 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.89% -0.58% T28
21 ENG Sam Horsfield 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.34% -1.12% T8
22 ESP Adrian Otaegui 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% 0.92% -0.42% T24
23 ENG Marcus Armitage 60 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.22% 1.36% 0.13% MC 5.42
24 FRA Victor Dubuisson 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.22% 1.3% 0.07% T16 5.42
25 ENG Jordan L Smith 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.22% 0.98% -0.24% T47
26 THA Jazz Janewattananond 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.22% 0.68% -0.54% MC
27 ENG Richard Bland 66 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 1.73% 0.62% T52 4.94
28 AUS Maverick Antcliff 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.46% 0.35% MC 4.94
29 NED Wil Besseling 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.95% -0.17% MC
30 RSA Louis de Jager 66 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 0.92% -0.19% T33
31 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 1.3% 0.25% MC 4.66
32 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 1.56% 0.64% T70 4.08
33 ENG Steven Brown 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 1.29% 0.37% MC 4.08
34 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 1.11% 0.19% MC 4.08
35 SWE Joakim Lagergren 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 1.01% 0.09% MC 4.08
36 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 80 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 0.64% -0.28% T16
37 ZIM Scott Vincent 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.63% -0.29% T62
38 USA John Catlin 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0.6% -0.32% T28
39 ESP Jorge Campillo 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 0.45% -0.47% MC
40 RSA JC Ritchie 80 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.92% 0.36% -0.56% T73
41 FRA Benjamin Hebert 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.79% -0.03% T70 3.63
42 SCO Grant Forrest 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.33% 0.59% T33 3.28
43 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.97% 0.23% MC 3.28
44 POL Adrian Meronk 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.95% 0.21% T47 3.28
45 USA Julian Suri 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.88% 0.15% MC 3.28
46 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.56% -0.18% MC
47 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.38% -0.36% 3
48 ENG Dale Whitnell 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 1.14% 0.46% T41 2.98
49 ITA Nino Bertasio 110 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% 0.77% 0.1% T12 2.98
50 ENG James Morrison 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0.66% -0.01% MC 2.98
51 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.57% -0.03% T33 2.63
52 CHN Li Haotong 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.39% -0.2% WD
53 ESP Pep Angles Ros 125 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.38% -0.21% T8
54 ENG Jack Senior 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.35% -0.24% T28
55 ENG Matt Ford 125 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.27% -0.32% T52
56 CZE Ondrej Lieser 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.27% -0.32% T33
57 ENG Richard Mansell 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.27% -0.32% MC
58 SCO Richie Ramsay 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.44% -0.09% T47
59 SWE Rikard Karlberg 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.02% 0.53% T65
60 ENG Richard McEvoy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.94% 0.44% T28
61 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.92% 0.43% T52
62 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.7% 0.2% T47
63 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.58% 0.09% MC
64 NIR Cormac Sharvin 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.58% 0.08% MC
65 MAS Gavin Green 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.58% 0.08% T41
66 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.51% 0.02% T47
67 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0% T62
68 RSA Justin Walters 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.65% 0.19% T12
69 NED Lars Van Meijel 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.96% 0.53% T65
70 FRA Clement Sordet 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.64% 0.21% MC
71 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.36% -0.07% MC
72 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.32% -0.11% T5
73 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.27% -0.15% T52
74 GER Max Schmitt 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.24% 0.87% MC
75 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.8% 0.43% MC
76 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.8% 0.43% MC
77 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.74% 0.37% T33
78 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% MC
79 FRA Romain Wattel 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.64% 0.26% T65
80 ENG David Coupland 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.47% 0.1% MC
81 WAL Rhys Enoch 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.43% 0.05% MC
82 NED Darius Van Driel 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% T52
83 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.34% -0.03% MC
84 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.33% -0.04% MC
85 GER Marcel Schneider 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.33% -0.04% T28
86 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.3% -0.07% MC
87 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.27% -0.1% MC
88 FRA Damien Perrier 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.68% 0.35% T52
89 SCO David Law 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.47% 0.14% MC
90 ENG Ashley Chesters 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.28% -0.05% T52
91 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.37% 1.07% T62
92 GER Hurly Long 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.81% 0.51% MC
93 FRA Joel Stalter 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.74% 0.44% MC
94 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.73% 0.43% MC
95 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 250 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.63% 0.33% MC
96 POR Pedro Figueiredo 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.52% 0.22% MC
97 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% 4
98 SWE Jens Fahrbring 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% T52
99 KOR Kyongjun Moon 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T73
100 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.27% -0.02% MC
101 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.27% -0.03% T65
102 KOR Yikeun Chang 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.49% 0.22% MC
103 POR Ricardo Santos 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% T33
104 ENG Garrick Porteous 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.68% 0.43% T16
105 SCO Ewen Ferguson 300 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.61% 0.36% MC
106 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.57% 0.32% T33
107 AUS Scott Hend 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.53% 0.28% T16
108 ENG Ben Evans 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% T41
109 SCO Liam Johnston 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% MC
110 ENG Toby Tree 350 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.77% 0.55% T65
111 NED Daan Huizing 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% MC
112 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.47% 0.25% WD
113 FRA Robin Roussel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% MC
114 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.39% 0.17% MC
115 USA Tyler Koivisto 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.06% MC
116 ENG Ross McGowan 400 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.8% 0.62% MC
117 FRA Gregory Havret 400 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% T70
118 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.16% MC
119 KOR Taehee Lee 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
120 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.63% 0.49% MC
121 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% T41
122 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T73
123 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% 76
124 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
125 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.17% MC
126 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
127 SWE Anton Karlsson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
128 KEN Greg Snow 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
129 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (GentingBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T5
130 IRL Gavin Moynihan 600 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% MC
131 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.25% 0.13% T52
132 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% MC
133 ENG David Howell 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
134 NIG Andrew Odoh 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.27% 0.21% MC
135 KEN Dismas Indiza 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
136 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
137 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 KEN Simon Ngigi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 KEN Samuel Chege 0% 0% 0% 0% 77
140 KEN Erick Ooko Obura 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 ZIM Robson Chinhoi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 RSA David Wakhu 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 KEN Anthony Juma 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 KEN Taimur Malik 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 KEN C John Wangai 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 KEN Jaydeep Singh Sandhu 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 KEN Justus Madoya 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 KEN Jacob Okello 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 KEN Edwin Inana Asuza 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 UGA Phillip Kasozi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 KEN Isaac Ogolla Makokha 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 TAN Victor Joseph 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 KEN Paul Musangi Njuguna 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 KEN Matthew Omondi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 KEN Rizwan Charania 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 KEN Adel Balala 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.1 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 54.5% 29.2%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 54.5% 29.2%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 30.9%
4 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 57.1% 31.4%
5 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 48% 31.9%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.7% 34.2%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 50.8% 34.3%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 47.6% 34.5%
9 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 49.5% 36.1%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 49.7% 36.3%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.7% 39.6%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 40%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54% 40.3%
14 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
15 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
18 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 58% 40.8%
19 GentingBet 5 @ 1/4 59.2% 41.8%