Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 249.6

Total Profit: +149.5

Cyprus Open

29/10/2020 - 01/11/2020

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Andy Sullivan 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.92% 4.67% -0.25% T58
2 BEL Thomas Detry 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.84% 1.59% -1.25% T10
3 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.84% 1.28% -1.56% T21
4 NED Joost Luiten 25 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.84% 1.16% -1.68% T53
5 SWE Marcus Kinhult 28 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% 2.08% -0.47% MC
6 FIN Sami Valimaki 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.38% 2.25% -0.13% T6
7 ENG Sam Horsfield 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.38% 0.87% -1.51% MC
8 ENG Laurie Canter 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.17% 3.72% 1.55% T41 9.63
9 USA Sean Crocker 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 1.32% -0.85% MC
10 FRA Antoine Rozner 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 1.16% -1.02% T21
11 SCO Robert MacIntyre 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.17% 1.05% -1.12% T3
12 MAS Gavin Green 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.17% 0.56% -1.61% MC
13 ENG Jordan L Smith 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.05% 1.76% -0.29% T21
14 RSA Garrick Higgo 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.8% 3.02% 1.22% T3 (tied w/3) 7.98 +43.9
15 ENG Matthew Jordan 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.8% 1.85% 0.05% T12
16 CHN Li Haotong 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.56% -0.24% MC
17 SWE Joakim Lagergren 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.48% -0.32% T41
18 RSA Wilco Nienaber 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.8% 1.34% -0.46% T53
19 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.8% 1.2% -0.6% T66
20 ENG Marcus Armitage 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.7% 0.1% T12 7.12
21 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.64% 0.03% T28
22 ENG Matthew Southgate 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.44% -0.16% T17
23 FRA Benjamin Hebert 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 0.94% -0.66% T41
24 ENG Paul Waring 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 0.55% -1.06% T21
25 NED Wil Besseling 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.32% 1.72% 0.4% T17 5.85
26 SCO Connor Syme 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.32% 1.22% -0.1% MC
27 ESP Jorge Campillo 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% 1.6% 0.39% T53 5.37
28 ENG David Horsey 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% 1.55% 0.34% T58 5.37
29 GER Sebastian Heisele 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.48% 0.38% T28 4.89
30 USA Johannes Veerman 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.22% 0.12% T34 4.89
31 SWE Alexander Bjork 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.08% -0.02% T34
32 ENG Chris Paisley 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.01% -0.09% MC
33 IND Shubhankar Sharma 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.85% -0.25% T14
34 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.72% -0.38% MC
35 ENG Ross Fisher 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.62% -0.48% MC
36 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.6% -0.5% MC
37 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 0.59% -0.52% T28
38 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.47% -0.63% T17
39 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.04% 1.29% 0.25% T34 4.61
40 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% 0.97% 0% T63
41 WAL Jamie Donaldson 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% 0.92% -0.05% T3
42 FIN Kalle Samooja 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% 0.64% -0.33% 2
43 ENG Ben Stow 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.29% 0.37% MC 4.04
44 SCO Calum Hill 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.92% 0.01% T41
45 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.82% -0.09% T49
46 POL Adrian Meronk 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.68% -0.23% MC
47 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 1.67% 0.86% MC 3.6
48 FRA Matthieu Pavon 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 1.13% 0.31% T49 3.6
49 AUS Jason Scrivener 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 1.05% 0.24% T6 3.6
50 FRA Alexander Levy 95 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.04% 0.77% 0.67% -0.1% MC
51 AUS Maverick Antcliff 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.29% 0.56% T41 3.24
52 FRA Adrien Saddier 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.09% 0.36% 9 3.24
53 ENG Richard Bland 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 1.06% 0.33% MC 3.24
54 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.88% 0.15% MC 3.24
55 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.86% 0.13% T34 3.24
56 ENG Jack Senior 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.68% -0.05% MC
57 SWE Rikard Karlberg 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.77% 0.11% MC 2.95
58 ENG Steven Brown 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 1.32% 0.73% MC 2.6
59 RSA Bryce Easton 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.86% 0.28% MC 2.6
60 SCO Ewen Ferguson 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.76% 0.17% MC 2.6
61 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.7% 0.11% 1 2.6 +205.7
62 USA Julian Suri 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.48% -0.11% T21
63 DEN Jeff Winther 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.66% 0.14% T14
64 ZIM Scott Vincent 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.53% 0.01% T49
65 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.79% 0.3% MC
66 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.71% 0.22% T41
67 ENG James Morrison 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.62% 0.13% T28
68 WAL Oliver Farr 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 1.02% 0.56% MC
69 GER Maximilian Kieffer 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.71% 0.25% T17
70 ENG Dale Whitnell 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 1.03% 0.62% T6
71 ENG Garrick Porteous 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.71% 0.29% MC
72 FRA Clement Sordet 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.69% 0.27% T41
73 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.68% 0.26% T58
74 SWE Joel Sjoholm 175 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.53% 0.11% T58
75 CAN Aaron Cockerill 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.5% 0.08% T14
76 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.49% 0.07% T58
77 SWE Niklas Lemke 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.42% 0% MC
78 ENG Toby Tree 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.27% -0.15% MC
79 ENG David Coupland 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.74% 0.37% T21
80 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.65% 0.28% 65
81 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.39% 0.03% T28
82 FRA Joel Stalter 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.7% 0.38% T41
83 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 1.22% 0.93% T66
84 FRA Damien Perrier 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.69% 0.4% MC
85 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.29% -0.01% T34
86 GER Bernd Ritthammer 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.87% 0.6% MC
87 NED Lars Van Meijel 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% MC
88 FRA Robin Roussel 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.12% MC
89 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.47% 0.26% T53
90 NIR Cormac Sharvin 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% T28
91 POR Pedro Figueiredo 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.51% 0.33% T53
92 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.4% 0.22% T34
93 FRA Gregory Havret 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.31% 0.12% T21
94 ENG Will Enefer 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.11% MC
95 ENG Mitch Waite 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.1% T34
96 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.67% 0.52% T68
97 SCO David Drysdale 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% T10
98 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T49
99 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.19% MC
100 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.15% T68
101 ENG Jack Harrison 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
102 ENG David Howell 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.38% 0.28% MC
103 NZL Michael Campbell 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.36% 0.29% MC
104 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
105 KOR Yikeun Chang 0% 0% 0% 0% T63

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40% 24.8%
2 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.1%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 59.6% 33.6%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 59.8% 33.8%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 60% 33.9%
6 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 47.4% 34.3%
7 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 51.8% 35.3%
8 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 54% 37.3%
9 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 54% 37.3%
10 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 54% 37.3%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 54% 37.3%
12 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 38%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 51.7% 38.2%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.3% 38.7%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.4% 43.4%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.4% 43.4%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 43.7%
18 Betway 6 @ 1/5 59.1% 45%