Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 30.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Lee Westwood 8 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.69% 2.45% -5.24% 70
2 BEL Thomas Detry 12 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.33% 2.36% -2.97% MC
3 NZL Ryan Fox 28 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.39% 2.51% 0.12% T8
4 ENG Ross Fisher 28 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.39% 2.29% -0.1% MC
5 SWE Marcus Kinhult 28 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.39% 1.09% -1.3% T38
6 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.39% 0.81% -1.58% T35
7 ESP Adria Arnaus 28 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.39% 0.51% -1.88% T60
8 ENG Eddie Pepperell 28 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.39% 0.25% -2.14% T47
9 FIN Mikko Korhonen 33 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.04% 1.36% -0.68% T29
10 FIN Kalle Samooja 35 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.92% 2.16% 0.24% MC 8.43
11 ENG Andy Sullivan 35 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.92% 0.89% -1.04% T4
12 SCO Marc Warren 45 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.51% 3.91% 2.41% MC 6.6
13 RSA Brandon Stone 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% 2.4% 0.89% 68 6.6
14 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% 1.86% 0.36% T21 6.6
15 RSA Justin Harding 45 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% 0.84% -0.67% 3
16 ENG Matthew Jordan 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% 0.78% -0.72% T17
17 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% 0.26% -1.24% T53
18 ENG Andrew Johnston 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.51% 0.25% -1.26% MC
19 SCO Connor Syme 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.36% 1.61% 0.25% MC 5.95
20 ITA Guido Migliozzi 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 1.36% 0% T60
21 SCO Richie Ramsay 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.36% 1.03% -0.33% T38
22 FRA Alexander Levy 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.36% 0.5% -0.86% MC
23 DEN Jeff Winther 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.24% 2.05% 0.81% T14 5.42
24 SWE Alexander Bjork 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.24% 1.54% 0.3% T47 5.42
25 ENG Chris Paisley 55 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.24% 1.06% -0.17% MC
26 SCO Scott Jamieson 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.24% 0.93% -0.3% T47
27 ITA Renato Paratore 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.14% 0.71% -0.43% 1
28 AUS Minwoo Lee 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% 2.7% 1.66% MC 4.53
29 FRA Adrien Saddier 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.03% 2.66% 1.63% MC 4.53
30 ESP Alejandro Canizares 66 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.03% 1.54% 0.5% MC 4.53
31 FRA Matthieu Pavon 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.03% 1.37% 0.33% T26 4.53
32 RSA Zander Lombard 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.03% 0.92% -0.11% MC
33 ENG Sam Horsfield 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.03% 0.56% -0.47% T10
34 SCO Grant Forrest 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 1.1% 0.13% T65 4.28
35 ENG Marcus Armitage 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 1.05% 0.08% MC
36 AUS Jason Scrivener 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.84% -0.13% T29
37 ENG Aaron Rai 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.72% -0.25% T21
38 USA Julian Suri 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.25% -0.73% MC
39 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.85% 1.82% 0.96% T38 3.75
40 RSA Dean Burmester 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% 1.3% 0.44% MC 3.75
41 ENG Jack Senior 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.85% 1.2% 0.35% T21 3.75
42 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.85% 0.5% -0.35% MC
43 ZIM Scott Vincent 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% 0.28% -0.58% T60
44 IRL Paul Dunne 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.85% 0.25% -0.61% T38
45 FRA Antoine Rozner 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.76% 1.08% 0.32% T60 3.34
46 SWE Rikard Karlberg 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.69% 0.84% 0.15% T26 3.01
47 NED Wil Besseling 110 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.62% 2% 1.38% MC 2.74
48 ENG James Morrison 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.89% 0.27% MC 2.74
49 ITA Andrea Pavan 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.28% -0.34% T38
50 ENG Ashley Chesters 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.27% -0.35% T14
51 ESP Nacho Elvira 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.26% -0.36% T29
52 USA Johannes Veerman 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.25% -0.37% T17
53 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.25% 0.7% MC 2.41
54 ENG Steven Brown 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.03% 0.48% MC 2.41
55 NED Darius Van Driel 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1% 0.45% MC 2.41
56 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% 0.73% 0.18% MC 2.41
57 USA Sean Crocker 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.65% 0.1% T60
58 ESP Adrian Otaegui 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% 0.5% -0.05% T35
59 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.45% -0.1% MC
60 NIR Cormac Sharvin 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.27% -0.28% MC
61 ITA Edoardo Molinari 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.26% -0.29% MC
62 ENG David Horsey 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.26% -0.29% T14
63 ENG Robert Rock 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.26% -0.29% T4
64 ENG Jack Singh Brar 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.26% -0.29% T17
65 SCO Calum Hill 125 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% 0.26% -0.29% T26
66 USA Sihwan Kim 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.25% -0.29% MC
67 ENG Richard Bland 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.25% -0.3% T38
68 FRA Clement Sordet 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.49% 1.02% 0.53% T17
69 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 4.2% 3.74% MC
70 SWE Niklas Lemke 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 2.19% 1.73% T53
71 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 1% 0.54% MC
72 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 0.58% 0.12% MC
73 ENG Lee Slattery 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.29% -0.17% T53
74 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.26% -0.2% MC
75 DEN Joachim B Hansen 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.26% -0.2% T47
76 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.23% -0.22% MC
77 WAL Jamie Donaldson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% 0.26% -0.13% MC
78 ENG Oliver Fisher 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% 0.26% -0.13% 7
79 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% 0.26% -0.13% MC
80 ENG Matthew Southgate 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.39% 0.26% -0.13% T35
81 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% 2.69% 2.34% MC
82 AUS Jake McLeod 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.92% 0.58% 67
83 FRA Robin Roussel 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.69% 0.35% T21
84 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.68% 0.34% T47
85 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% 0.34% -0.01% 69
86 NED Daan Huizing 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.26% -0.05% T29
87 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 1.03% 0.76% MC
88 POL Adrian Meronk 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% T21
89 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% MC
90 AUS Scott Hend 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.28% 0% MC
91 AUS Maverick Antcliff 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.27% 0% MC
92 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.26% -0.01% MC
93 RSA Justin Walters 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.26% -0.01% MC
94 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.26% -0.02% MC
95 FRA Gregory Havret 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.25% -0.02% T38
96 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.25% -0.02% T29
97 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.25% -0.03% T38
98 SWE Joel Sjoholm 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.36% 0.17% MC
99 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.25% 0.06% T47
100 RSA Bryce Easton 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.29% 0.11% MC
101 ESP Carlos Pigem 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.29% 0.11% MC
102 ENG Ben Stow 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.28% 0.11% T10
103 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% T8
104 ESP Alvaro Quiros 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% T53
105 WAL Oliver Farr 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
106 ENG Graeme Storm 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% T10
107 ENG Laurie Canter 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% T29
108 SCO David Law 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% T38
109 ENG David Coupland 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.13% T53
110 ENG Garrick Porteous 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.13% T65
111 CAN Aaron Cockerill 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.13% T53
112 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
113 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
114 SCO Ewen Ferguson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
115 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
116 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
117 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
118 SCO Calum Fyfe 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
119 NED Lars Van Meijel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.11% T53
120 ENG David Howell 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.72% 0.61% MC
121 SWE Jens Fahrbring 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% T10
122 SCO Paul Lawrie 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.25% 0.14% MC
123 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
124 ENG Bailey Gill 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% MC
125 ENG Dale Whitnell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.2% T4
126 ENG Jason Levermore 1000 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
127 NZL Michael Campbell 1000 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
128 ENG Andrew Willey 1000 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
129 ENG Michael Bullen 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
130 IRL Gavin Moynihan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% 2
132 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 10 @ 1/5 69.6% 14.1%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 34.6% 20%
3 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 55.4% 25%
4 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 31.1%
5 VBet 5 @ 1/4 48.6% 32.5%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.3% 33.3%
7 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 47.4% 34.3%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 61.1% 34.9%
9 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 61.1% 34.9%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 37.5%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 37.7%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 37.7%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 38%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.3% 39.6%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 56.1% 42.3%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 56.1% 42.3%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 45.5%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.6% 46.3%