Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 47.0

Total Profit: -53.2

Mayakoba Golf Classic

14/11/2019 - 17/11/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% 2.89% -0.56% MC
2 USA Matt Kuchar 20 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% 1.29% -2.17% T14
3 AUS Jason Day 20 (Sportingbet: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% 0.96% -2.5% MC
4 USA Billy Horschel 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 5.12% 1.96% T8 (tied w/3) 14.32 +12.9
5 USA Tony Finau 22 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 2.18% -0.98% MC
6 CHI Joaquin Niemann 28 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 2.94% 0.44% MC 11.36
7 SCO Russell Knox 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 1.03% -1.47% T33
8 USA Charles Howell III 30 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.34% 2.31% -0.03% T20
9 MEX Abraham Ancer 30 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.34% 1.93% -0.41% T8
10 ARG Emiliano Grillo 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 1.04% -1.09% T41
11 USA Kevin Kisner 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% 1.21% -0.81% T76
12 USA Aaron Wise 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% 1.03% -0.98% MC
13 USA Keegan Bradley 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.14% -0.63% MC
14 USA Scottie Scheffler 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.77% 1.01% -0.76% T18
15 USA Harris English 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 0.97% -0.8% 5
16 USA Denny McCarthy 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 0.94% -0.64% T48
17 USA Lanto Griffin 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 2.68% 1.26% T76 6.46
18 USA Chez Reavie 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.88% 0.46% T26 6.46
19 USA JT Poston 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% 1.74% 0.32% T41 6.46
20 RSA Dylan Frittelli 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.63% 0.2% T11 6.46
21 NZL Danny Lee 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.16% -0.27% T26
22 USA Harold Varner III 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.14% -0.29% T58
23 USA Cameron Champ 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.03% -0.39% T33
24 SVK Rory Sabbatini 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.3% 2.7% 1.4% T33 5.89
25 USA Brian Harman 60 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 1.34% 0.15% T72 5.4
26 USA Pat Perez 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 0.68% -0.51% T8
27 MEX Carlos Ortiz 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.15% 0.06% T2
28 NIR Graeme McDowell 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.09% 0% T23
29 USA Brian Gay 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.86% -0.23% T14
30 USA Beau Hossler 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.76% -0.32% T41
31 USA Kevin Streelman 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.61% 0.72% MC 4.07
32 USA Cameron Tringale 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.04% 0.14% T66 4.07
33 USA Scott Piercy 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.78% -0.12% T26
34 KOR Siwoo Kim 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.62% -0.27% MC
35 USA Brice Garnett 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.58% -0.32% T11
36 USA Russell Henley 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.46% -0.44% MC
37 USA Zach Johnson 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.42% -0.47% T23
38 USA Harry Higgs 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 1.16% 0.36% T33 3.62
39 USA Bronson Burgoon 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.64% -0.16% T33
40 USA Brian Stuard 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.12% 0.4% T23 3.27
41 USA Wyndham Clark 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.1% 0.38% MC 3.27
42 CAN Nick Taylor 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.99% 0.27% T26 3.27
43 USA Adam Schenk 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.8% 0.08% MC
44 USA Nick Watney 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.74% 0.02% MC
45 USA Ryan Armour 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.67% -0.05% T33
46 USA Kyle Stanley 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.61% -0.11% MC
47 USA Talor Gooch 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.6% -0.12% T55
48 USA Charley Hoffman 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.48% -0.24% MC
49 SCO Martin Laird 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.42% -0.3% MC
50 USA Brendon Todd 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% 0.67% 0.01% 1
51 USA Kramer Hickok 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% 0.43% -0.22% MC
52 USA Mark Hubbard 125 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.5% 0.92% T58 2.62
53 USA Scott Harrington 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.33% 0.75% T72 2.62
54 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.02% 0.45% T2 (tied w/3) 2.62 +34.1
55 AUS Matt Jones 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 1.01% 0.43% T33 2.62
56 ARG Fabian Gomez 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.91% 0.34% MC 2.62
57 USA Doc Redman 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.73% 0.15% MC 2.62
58 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.71% 0.13% MC
59 USA Austin Cook 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.7% 0.12% MC
60 USA Joel Dahmen 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.7% 0.12% T6
61 USA Sam Ryder 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.67% 0.1% T66
62 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.66% 0.09% MC
63 CAN David Hearn 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.47% -0.11% T41
64 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.4% -0.18% T58
65 USA Luke List 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.36% -0.21% MC
66 SCO Calum Hill 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.09% 0.61% T48
67 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.91% 0.43% MC
68 USA Adam Long 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.9% 0.42% T2
69 USA Peter Malnati 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.81% 0.33% T58
70 USA Wes Roach 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.74% 0.26% T66
71 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.66% 0.18% MC
72 USA Shawn Stefani 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.57% 0.09% 79
73 USA Tom Hoge 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.57% 0.09% MC
74 USA Kevin Chappell 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.44% -0.04% T58
75 USA Brandon Wu 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.41% -0.07% T55
76 USA J.J Spaun 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.34% -0.15% T80
77 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.27% -0.21% T48
78 TPE C.T. Pan 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.6% 0.15% T11
79 CAN Roger Sloan 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.8% 0.39% MC
80 USA Brendan Steele 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% T41
81 AUS Aaron Baddeley 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.44% 0.03% T26
82 USA Maverick McNealy 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.43% 0.02% T26
83 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.58% 0.22% MC
84 USA James Hahn 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.47% 0.11% T58
85 USA Tyler Duncan 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.46% 0.1% T48
86 USA Zac Blair 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.4% 0.04% T14
87 USA Bo Hoag 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.4% 0.04% T20
88 USA Scott Brown 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.39% 0.03% T76
89 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.18% -0.18% T41
90 USA Chris Kirk 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.13% -0.23% T33
91 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.83% 0.54% MC
92 USA Robert Streb 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.6% 0.31% T14
93 USA Andrew Landry 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.56% 0.27% MC
94 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.41% 0.12% MC
95 ENG Luke Donald 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.33% 0.04% T72
96 USA Patrick Rodgers 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% T58
97 USA Ryan Brehm 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.18% -0.11% T72
98 USA Hudson Swafford 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.15% -0.13% T66
99 USA Tyler McCumber 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.17% -0.09% WD
100 USA Robby Shelton 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.6% 0.36% T6
101 MEX Roberto Diaz 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.53% 0.29% MC
102 PUR Rafael Campos 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% T66
103 AUS Rhein Gibson 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.43% 0.19% MC
104 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.42% 0.18% T80
105 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.39% 0.15% MC
106 USA Chris Stroud 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.36% 0.12% T18
107 USA Matthew NeSmith 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.57% 0.37% T48
108 USA Mark Anderson 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.47% 0.29% MC
109 ENG Benjamin Taylor 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.11% MC
110 CAN Michael Gligic 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% MC
111 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.17% -0.01% T66
112 USA Chris Baker 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.17% -0.01% T26
113 USA Chase Seiffert 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.17% -0.01% T41
114 USA Ben Martin 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.15% -0.04% T20
115 CAN Graham Delaet 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.14% -0.04% T58
116 CAN Benjamin Silverman 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% MC
117 USA Jim Herman 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T80
118 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.01% MC
119 USA William Gordon 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.14% -0.01% T55
120 USA Jimmy Stanger 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.13% -0.01% MC
121 ARG Nelson Ledesma 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% MC
122 USA Davis Love III 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
123 MEX Sebastian Vazquez 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.04% MC
124 USA D.A. Points 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% MC
125 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
126 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
127 MEX Efren Serna-Jr 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
128 MEX Alvaro Ortiz Becerra 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% T48
129 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.15% 0.12% MC
130 USA Rob Oppenheim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0% 0% T48

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 61.5% 24.9%
2 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 24.9%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 61.6% 25%
4 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 50.4% 25.8%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 64.4% 27.2%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 33%
7 Sportingbet 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 33.3%
8 Coral 7 @ 1/5 62.4% 35.8%
9 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 54.9% 38%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 39.3%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.2% 39.5%
12 Betway 6 @ 1/5 54.6% 40.8%
13 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 59.1% 41.7%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 59.9% 42.5%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 59.9% 42.5%
16 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 59.9% 42.5%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 59.9% 42.5%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 62.4% 48%