Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 252.7

Total Profit: +152.6



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 CHN Li Haotong 12 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.83% 2.51% -3.33% 4
2 USA Julian Suri 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.46% 1.51% -2.95% T19
3 ESP Jorge Campillo 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 3.99% 2.16% -1.83% 3
4 RSA Erik van Rooyen 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.61% 1.64% -1.97% T29
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.61% 1.52% -2.09% T5
6 FRA Alexander Levy 25 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.92% 0.81% -2.11% MC
7 BEL Thomas Detry 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.62% 1.69% -0.92% WD
8 SWE Alexander Bjork 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.62% 1.66% -0.95% T19
9 ENG Ross Fisher 28 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.62% 1.61% -1.01% MC
10 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.45% 1.8% -0.65% T43
11 ESP Nacho Elvira 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.45% 1.37% -1.08% T32
12 USA Kurt Kitayama 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 1.83% -0.4% MC
13 USA David Lipsky 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 1.49% -0.74% T5
14 USA Sean Crocker 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 1.34% -0.89% 10
15 FRA Victor Dubuisson 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 1.02% -1.21% T11
16 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.85% 0% MC 8.15
17 THA Jazz Janewattananond 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.24% -0.61% T19
18 AUS Scott Hend 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.32% -0.33% T65 7.27
19 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.58% 0.09% WD 6.56
20 IRL Paul Dunne 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.14% -0.35% WD 6.56
21 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 1.01% -0.47% T5
22 AUT Matthias Schwab 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.96% -0.53% MC
23 ENG Sam Horsfield 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 0.65% -0.84% T32
24 FRA Romain Langasque 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.35% 1.28% -0.07% T5 (tied w/5) 5.97 +14.3
25 FIN Mikko Korhonen 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.35% 1.05% -0.3% 1 5.97 +203
26 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.35% 0.5% -0.86% T14
27 AUS Minwoo Lee 60 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.24% 0.58% -0.66% T14
28 ITA Andrea Pavan 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1% -0.13% MC 4.99
29 FRA Benjamin Hebert 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.87% -0.26% 2 4.99 +35.4
30 ESP Adria Arnaus 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.99% 0.05% T29 4.13
31 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.83% -0.1% MC 4.13
32 MAS Gavin Green 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.6% -0.33% T19 4.13
33 THA Thongchai Jaidee 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 1.46% 0.62% MC 3.68
34 AUS Jason Scrivener 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.99% 0.16% T32 3.68
35 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.63% 0.88% T43 3.31
36 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.38% 0.63% T49 3.31
37 JPN Yuta Ikeda 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.3% 0.55% T11 3.31
38 AUS Wade Ormsby 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.22% 0.47% T60 3.31
39 SCO Scott Jamieson 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.94% 0.25% T51 3.02
40 DEN Joachim B Hansen 110 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.5% -0.19% T32 3.02
41 RSA Dean Burmester 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.94% 0.34% MC 2.66
42 USA Sihwan Kim 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.73% 0.13% MC 2.66
43 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.54% -0.06% T55 2.66
44 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.34% -0.26% T32 2.66
45 ENG Oliver Wilson 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.21% 0.71% DQ
46 AUS Jake McLeod 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.16% 0.65% MC
47 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1% 0.49% T32
48 AUS Marcus Fraser 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.86% 0.36% MC
49 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% T14
50 FRA Matthieu Pavon 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.76% 0.25% T40
51 USA Johannes Veerman 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.73% 0.23% MC
52 RSA Shaun Norris 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.72% 0.22% MC
53 JPN Hideto Tanihara 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.71% 0.21% MC
54 RSA Haydn Porteous 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% T32
55 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.62% 0.12% T51
56 AUS Zach Murray 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.55% 0.05% T60
57 USA Paul Peterson 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.51% 0% T32
58 ENG James Morrison 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.46% -0.04% T43
59 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.45% -0.05% T14
60 THA Sadom Kaewkanjana 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.44% -0.06% MC
61 RSA Danie van Tonder 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.47% 0.35% -0.12% T51
62 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.06% 0.63% MC
63 AUS Dimi Papadatos 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.85% 0.42% MC
64 ITA Renato Paratore 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.74% 0.31% MC
65 USA John Catlin 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1.3% 0.92% T19
66 THA Poom Saksansin 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.92% 0.55% MC
67 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.89% 0.51% T5
68 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.82% 0.44% WD
69 USA Berry Henson 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.6% 0.22% T19
70 KOR Jeunghun Wang 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% MC
71 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.53% 0.15% T40
72 ZIM Scott Vincent 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.53% 0.15% 67
73 FIN Kim Koivu 225 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.34% 0.64% 0.3% MC
74 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 225 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.34% 0.63% 0.3% MC
75 THA Panuphol Pittayarat 225 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.34% 0.43% 0.09% T19
76 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.85% 0.55% MC
77 BRA Adilson da Silva 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.68% 0.37% T14
78 IND Shiv Kapur 275 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.27% 0.7% 0.42% MC
79 JPN Kodai Ichihara 275 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.27% 0.54% 0.27% MC
80 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.81% 0.56% MC
81 CHN Liang Wen-chong 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.65% 0.4% T43
82 AUS Deyen Lawson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% MC
83 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% MC
84 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.18% T51
85 CHN Liu Yanwei 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% MC
86 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.08% MC
87 KOR Hyunwoo Ryu 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.96% 0.74% MC
88 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.69% 0.48% T19
89 SCO Liam Johnston 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.61% 0.4% MC
90 PHI Miguel Tabuena 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.51% 0.29% T19
91 CAN Richard T Lee 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.45% 0.23% T49
92 FRA Romain Wattel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.44% 0.23% T55
93 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.22% 0% T11
94 CHN Zhang Huilin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.18% -0.03% MC
95 AUS Sam Brazel 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.71% 0.53% T19
96 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% MC
97 CHN Jin Cheng 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% T40
98 MAS Nicholas Fung 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% MC
99 AUS Daniel Nisbet 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
100 AUS Brett Rumford 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% MC
101 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
102 WAL Stuart Manley 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% T55
103 USA Micah Shin 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T60
104 THA Tirawat Kaewsiribandit 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T43
105 CHN Huang Wenyi 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
106 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.61% 0.49% MC
107 ENG David Howell 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.59% 0.47% MC
108 TPE Lee Chieh-po 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.57% 0.45% MC
109 IND Khalin Joshi 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% 64
110 IND Viraj Madappa 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
111 CHN Luo Xuewen 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.19% 0.06% MC
112 SWE Malcolm Kokocinski 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T60
113 CHN Chen Zihao 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.08% MC
114 SWE Andreas Gronkvist 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% MC
115 TPE Chan Shih-chang 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.57% 0.5% MC
116 AUS David Gleeson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.35% MC
117 IND Jeev Milkha Singh 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.3% MC
118 ENG Daniel Gavins 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% WD
119 CHN Jin Daxing 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.15% MC
120 CHN Ouyang Zheng 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
121 CHN Wu Hongfu 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.13% T55
122 CHN Xiao Bowen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
123 CHN Zhang Jin 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.11% MC
124 CHN Chen Yilong 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.11% MC
125 CHN Wu Tuxuan 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
126 CHN Yuan Tian 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
127 CHN Chao Haimeng 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.15% MC
128 CHN He Zeming 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.15% MC
129 CHN Jia Zhang 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.15% MC
130 CHN Zhuang Zhu 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.18% 0.15% MC
131 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.66% 0% T65
132 CHI Hugo Leon 0% 0% 0.51% 0% MC
133 TPE Kao Shang-hung 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
134 CHN Chen Dinggen 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...