Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 260.8

Total Profit: +160.6

Volvo China Open

02/05/2019 - 05/05/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 CHN Li Haotong 12 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.87% 2.52% -3.36% 4
2 USA Julian Suri 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.49% 1.52% -2.97% T19
3 ESP Jorge Campillo 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.02% 2.17% -1.85% 3
4 RSA Erik van Rooyen 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.64% 1.64% -1.99% T29
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.64% 1.53% -2.1% T5
6 FRA Alexander Levy 25 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.94% 0.81% -2.13% MC
7 BEL Thomas Detry 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.63% 1.7% -0.93% WD
8 SWE Alexander Bjork 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.63% 1.67% -0.96% T19
9 ENG Ross Fisher 28 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.63% 1.62% -1.02% MC
10 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 30 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.46% 1.81% -0.66% T43
11 ESP Nacho Elvira 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.46% 1.37% -1.09% T32
12 USA Kurt Kitayama 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.25% 1.84% -0.4% MC
13 USA David Lipsky 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.25% 1.5% -0.75% T5
14 USA Sean Crocker 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.25% 1.35% -0.9% 10
15 FRA Victor Dubuisson 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 1.02% -1.22% T11
16 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 1.86% -0.01% MC 8.41
17 THA Jazz Janewattananond 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 1.24% -0.62% T19
18 AUS Scott Hend 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.66% 1.33% -0.33% T65 7.49
19 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 1.58% 0.09% WD 6.76
20 IRL Paul Dunne 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 1.15% -0.35% WD 6.76
21 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.5% 1.02% -0.48% T5
22 AUT Matthias Schwab 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 0.97% -0.53% MC
23 ENG Sam Horsfield 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 0.65% -0.84% T32
24 FRA Romain Langasque 55 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% 1.29% -0.08% T5 (tied w/5) 6.16 +14.8
25 FIN Mikko Korhonen 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% 1.06% -0.31% 1 6.16 +209.4
26 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.5% -0.87% T14
27 AUS Minwoo Lee 60 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.25% 0.58% -0.67% T14
28 ITA Andrea Pavan 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% 1.01% -0.13% MC 5.15
29 FRA Benjamin Hebert 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.88% -0.26% 2 5.15 +36.6
30 ESP Adria Arnaus 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.99% 0.05% T29 4.26
31 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.84% -0.11% MC 4.26
32 MAS Gavin Green 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.6% -0.34% T19 4.26
33 THA Thongchai Jaidee 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 1.46% 0.62% MC 3.79
34 AUS Jason Scrivener 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 0.99% 0.16% T32 3.79
35 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 1.63% 0.88% T43 3.42
36 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 1.39% 0.63% T49 3.42
37 JPN Yuta Ikeda 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.31% 0.55% T11 3.42
38 AUS Wade Ormsby 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.22% 0.47% T60 3.42
39 SCO Scott Jamieson 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 0.94% 0.25% T51 3.11
40 RSA Dean Burmester 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.95% 0.34% MC 2.74
41 USA Sihwan Kim 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.74% 0.13% MC 2.74
42 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% 0.54% -0.06% T55 2.74
43 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.34% -0.27% T32 2.74
44 ENG Oliver Wilson 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 1.22% 0.71% DQ
45 AUS Jake McLeod 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 1.16% 0.66% MC
46 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 1% 0.5% T32
47 AUS Marcus Fraser 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.87% 0.36% MC
48 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% 0.8% 0.3% T14
49 FRA Matthieu Pavon 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.76% 0.25% T40
50 USA Johannes Veerman 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.74% 0.23% MC
51 RSA Shaun Norris 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.73% 0.22% MC
52 JPN Hideto Tanihara 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.71% 0.21% MC
53 RSA Haydn Porteous 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.71% 0.2% T32
54 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.63% 0.12% T51
55 AUS Zach Murray 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.56% 0.05% T60
56 USA Paul Peterson 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.51% 0% T32
57 ENG James Morrison 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.46% -0.04% T43
58 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.45% -0.05% T14
59 THA Sadom Kaewkanjana 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.44% -0.06% MC
60 RSA Danie van Tonder 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.47% 0.35% -0.12% T51
61 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.07% 0.63% MC
62 AUS Dimi Papadatos 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.86% 0.42% MC
63 ITA Renato Paratore 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.74% 0.31% MC
64 USA John Catlin 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1.3% 0.92% T19
65 THA Poom Saksansin 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.93% 0.55% MC
66 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.9% 0.52% T5
67 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.82% 0.44% WD
68 USA Berry Henson 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.6% 0.22% T19
69 KOR Jeunghun Wang 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% MC
70 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.53% 0.15% T40
71 ZIM Scott Vincent 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.53% 0.15% 67
72 FIN Kim Koivu 225 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.34% 0.64% 0.3% MC
73 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 225 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.34% 0.64% 0.3% MC
74 THA Panuphol Pittayarat 225 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.34% 0.43% 0.09% T19
75 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.85% 0.55% MC
76 BRA Adilson da Silva 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.68% 0.37% T14
77 IND Shiv Kapur 275 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% 0.7% 0.42% MC
78 JPN Kodai Ichihara 275 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% MC
79 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.82% 0.56% MC
80 CHN Liang Wen-chong 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.65% 0.4% T43
81 AUS Deyen Lawson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.5% 0.25% MC
82 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% MC
83 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.44% 0.18% T51
84 CHN Liu Yanwei 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% MC
85 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.08% MC
86 KOR Hyunwoo Ryu 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.96% 0.75% MC
87 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.7% 0.48% T19
88 SCO Liam Johnston 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.62% 0.4% MC
89 PHI Miguel Tabuena 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.51% 0.29% T19
90 CAN Richard T Lee 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.45% 0.23% T49
91 FRA Romain Wattel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.44% 0.23% T55
92 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.22% 0% T11
93 CHN Zhang Huilin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.18% -0.03% MC
94 AUS Sam Brazel 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.72% 0.53% T19
95 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.45% 0.26% MC
96 CHN Jin Cheng 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% T40
97 MAS Nicholas Fung 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% MC
98 AUS Daniel Nisbet 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
99 AUS Brett Rumford 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% MC
100 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
101 WAL Stuart Manley 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.22% T55
102 USA Micah Shin 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T60
103 THA Tirawat Kaewsiribandit 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T43
104 CHN Huang Wenyi 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
105 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.62% 0.49% MC
106 ENG David Howell 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.6% 0.47% MC
107 TPE Lee Chieh-po 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.58% 0.45% MC
108 IND Khalin Joshi 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% 64
109 IND Viraj Madappa 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
110 CHN Luo Xuewen 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.19% 0.06% MC
111 SWE Malcolm Kokocinski 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T60
112 CHN Chen Zihao 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.08% MC
113 SWE Andreas Gronkvist 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% MC
114 TPE Chan Shih-chang 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.58% 0.5% MC
115 AUS David Gleeson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.36% MC
116 IND Jeev Milkha Singh 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
117 ENG Daniel Gavins 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% WD
118 CHN Jin Daxing 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.15% MC
119 CHN Ouyang Zheng 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
120 CHN Wu Hongfu 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.13% T55
121 CHN Xiao Bowen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
122 CHN Zhang Jin 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.11% MC
123 CHN Chen Yilong 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.11% MC
124 CHN Wu Tuxuan 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
125 CHN Yuan Tian 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
126 CHN Chao Haimeng 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.15% MC
127 CHN He Zeming 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.15% MC
128 CHN Jia Zhang 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.15% MC
129 CHN Zhuang Zhu 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.18% 0.15% MC
130 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.66% 0% T65
131 CHI Hugo Leon 0% 0% 0.52% 0% MC
132 TPE Kao Shang-hung 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
133 CHN Chen Dinggen 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...