Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 314.1

Total Profit: +214

THE PLAYERS Championship

10/05/2018 - 13/05/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUS Jason Day 16 5.88% 4.52% 2.89% -1.64% T5
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 16 5.88% 4.52% 2.86% -1.66% MC
3 USA Jordan Spieth 16 5.88% 4.52% 1.98% -2.54% T41
4 USA Justin Thomas 17 5.56% 4.27% 1.74% -2.53% T11
5 USA Dustin Johnson 19 5% 3.84% 2.13% -1.72% T17
6 USA Rickie Fowler 21 4.55% 3.49% 1.67% -1.83% MC
7 ESP Jon Rahm 26 3.7% 2.85% 2.44% -0.41% T63
8 SWE Henrik Stenson 28 3.45% 2.65% 1.33% -1.33% T23
9 ENG Justin Rose 29 3.33% 2.56% 1.5% -1.06% T23
10 USA Patrick Reed 35 2.78% 2.14% 1.92% -0.22% T41
11 USA Tiger Woods 38 2.56% 1.97% 1.94% -0.03% T11 8.55
12 USA Phil Mickelson 38 2.56% 1.97% 1.8% -0.17% MC
13 ESP Sergio Garcia 38 2.56% 1.97% 1.5% -0.47% 70
14 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 43 2.27% 1.75% 0.91% -0.83% MC
15 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 56 1.75% 1.35% 1.5% 0.15% T7 (tied w/4) 5.85 +8.9
16 USA Patrick Cantlay 56 1.75% 1.35% 0.65% -0.7% T23
17 ITA Francesco Molinari 57 1.72% 1.33% 1.12% -0.21% MC
18 USA Bryson DeChambeau 58 1.69% 1.3% 1.8% 0.5% T37 5.65
19 USA Zach Johnson 58 1.69% 1.3% 1.35% 0.05% T75 5.65
20 USA Billy Horschel 60 1.64% 1.26% 0.76% -0.5% T37
21 USA Bubba Watson 64 1.54% 1.18% 1.66% 0.48% T57 5.13
22 SWE Alexander Noren 66 1.49% 1.15% 1.31% 0.16% T17 4.98
23 USA Matt Kuchar 67 1.47% 1.13% 1.12% -0.01% T17 4.91
24 ENG Ian Poulter 69 1.43% 1.1% 0.85% -0.25% T11
25 AUS Cameron Smith 70 1.41% 1.08% 0.86% -0.23% MC
26 ARG Emiliano Grillo 70 1.41% 1.08% 0.81% -0.27% T37
27 USA Webb Simpson 71 1.39% 1.07% 1.64% 0.57% 1 4.63 +201.9
28 AUS Marc Leishman 72 1.37% 1.05% 1.06% 0.01% T63 4.57
29 USA Brooks Koepka 73 1.35% 1.04% 0.63% -0.41% T11
30 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 73 1.35% 1.04% 0.6% -0.43% MC
31 USA Tony Finau 81 1.22% 0.94% 0.88% -0.05% T57
32 USA Kevin Kisner 81 1.22% 0.94% 0.76% -0.18% MC
33 RSA Branden Grace 90 1.1% 0.84% 0.69% -0.16% T46
34 USA Luke List 97 1.02% 0.78% 0.98% 0.2% MC 3.41
35 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 99 1% 0.77% 0.81% 0.04% MC 3.34
36 USA Brian Harman 100 0.99% 0.76% 1.06% 0.3% MC 3.3
37 CAN Adam Hadwin 103 0.96% 0.74% 0.96% 0.22% T57 3.21
38 USA Kyle Stanley 104 0.95% 0.73% 1.07% 0.33% MC 3.18
39 KOR Siwoo Kim 105 0.94% 0.73% 0.73% 0.01% T63 3.15
40 AUS Adam Scott 105 0.94% 0.73% 0.71% -0.01% T11 3.15
41 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 106 0.93% 0.72% 0.57% -0.15% T17
42 USA Daniel Berger 107 0.93% 0.71% 0.84% 0.13% T57 3.09
43 USA Kevin Chappell 113 0.88% 0.67% 0.94% 0.27% MC 2.93
44 USA Russell Henley 113 0.88% 0.67% 0.59% -0.09% MC
45 USA Chesson Hadley 115 0.86% 0.66% 0.72% 0.06% T11 2.88
46 USA Ryan Moore 116 0.85% 0.66% 0.89% 0.23% T30 2.85
47 RSA Charl Schwartzel 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.68% 0.04% T2 (tied w/3) 2.76 +34.5
48 USA Charley Hoffman 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.67% 0.03% MC 2.76
49 USA Pat Perez 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.6% -0.04% MC
50 USA Brandt Snedeker 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.52% -0.12% MC
51 USA Nick Watney 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.83% 0.24% T37 2.55
52 USA Xander Schauffele 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.78% 0.2% T2 (tied w/3) 2.55 +34.4
53 USA Jimmy Walker 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.71% 0.13% T2 (tied w/3) 2.55 +34.4
54 USA Brendan Steele 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.6% 0.01% T79 2.55
55 KOR Byeong Hun An 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.5% -0.09% T30
56 USA Kevin Streelman 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.46% -0.13% MC
57 SCO Martin Laird 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.57% 0.06% T57
58 USA Jason Dufner 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.53% 0.02% T5
59 USA Chris Kirk 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.74% 0.26% T46
60 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.6% 0.13% T46
61 USA Beau Hossler 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.55% 0.08% T46
62 USA Ollie Schniederjans 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% T75
63 USA Kevin Na 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.45% -0.03% T46
64 USA Gary Woodland 180 0.55% 0.42% 1.12% 0.69% MC
65 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.68% 0.25% T30
66 IRL Shane Lowry 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.67% 0.25% T46
67 GER Martin Kaymer 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.92% 0.52% MC
68 USA Charles Howell III 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.8% 0.39% T17
69 USA J.B. Holmes 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.71% 0.31% MC
70 SCO Russell Knox 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.49% 0.09% MC
71 USA Keegan Bradley 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% T7
72 USA Lucas Glover 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.39% 0.01% T72
73 FRA Alexander Levy 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.64% 0.28% MC
74 USA Steve Stricker 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.51% 0.14% T23
75 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.65% 0.3% MC
76 USA Scott Piercy 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% MC
77 USA Jamie Lovemark 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.37% 0.03% T17
78 USA Bud Cauley 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.31% -0.04% MC
79 USA Bill Haas 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.46% 0.12% MC
80 ENG Ross Fisher 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.61% 0.3% 71
81 USA Chez Reavie 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.55% 0.25% T30
82 USA Austin Cook 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.43% 0.13% T46
83 USA Andrew Landry 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.76% 0.46% T67
84 USA Grayson Murray 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.54% 0.24% T30
85 USA Trey Mullinax 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% MC
86 USA James Hahn 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.61% 0.35% MC
87 SVK Rory Sabbatini 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.55% 0.28% T30
88 USA Ryan Palmer 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.29% 0.02% T23
89 USA Keith Mitchell 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.71% 0.46% T77
90 USA Patton Kizzire 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% MC
91 USA Patrick Rodgers 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.5% 0.24% MC
92 USA Jason Kokrak 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% T46
93 USA Harris English 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.2% MC
94 USA William McGirt 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.18% MC
95 SWE David Lingmerth 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.17% -0.08% MC
96 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.53% 0.34% T41
97 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% MC
98 TPE C.T. Pan 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% T46
99 USA John Huh 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.13% MC
100 USA Ben Martin 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% MC
101 IND Anirban Lahiri 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.3% 0.11% MC
102 USA Stewart Cink 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.29% 0.1% MC
103 USA Vaughn Taylor 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.56% 0.41% MC
104 USA Brian Gay 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% T72
105 USA J.J Spaun 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
106 USA Kelly Kraft 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
107 USA Brice Garnett 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.25% T41
108 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.24% T41
109 USA Scott Stallings 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.2% MC
110 USA Tom Hoge 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T72
111 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.11% MC
112 USA Kevin Tway 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T46
113 USA Wesley Bryan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
114 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.08% MC
115 USA Brandon Harkins 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T67
116 USA Ryan Armour 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
117 NZL Danny Lee 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% T7
118 USA Hudson Swafford 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% MC
119 USA Scott Brown 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% T23
120 USA Michael Thompson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.51% 0.38% MC
121 USA Chad Campbell 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.14% MC
122 USA Harold Varner III 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% T7
123 USA Chris Stroud 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% T46
124 USA Blayne Barber 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.09% MC
125 AUS Rod Pampling 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% MC
126 USA Derek Fathauer 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% MC
127 USA Dominic Bozzelli 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.28% 0.17% MC
128 USA Robert Garrigus 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.16% MC
129 KOR Meenwhee Kim 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.14% MC
130 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.12% 66
131 USA Richy Werenski 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% T23
132 ENG Danny Willett 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.1% MC
133 USA Martin Flores 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
134 USA Robert Streb 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.09% MC
135 CAN Nick Taylor 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.08% T79
136 USA Mackenzie Hughes 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.06% T57
137 USA Ryan Blaum 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% T77
138 USA Michael Kim 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.12% 0.02% MC
139 USA D.A. Points 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
140 USA Cody Gribble 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T30
141 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.63% 0% WD
142 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0.55% 0% MC
143 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.2% 0% T67

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...