Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 306.9

Total Profit: +206.8

BMW International Open

21/06/2018 - 24/06/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 7 12.5% 9.9% 3.83% -6.07% T59
2 ESP Sergio Garcia 14 6.67% 5.28% 2.58% -2.7% T12
3 ENG Andy Sullivan 17 5.56% 4.4% 2.01% -2.39% T9
4 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 25 3.85% 3.05% 1.01% -2.04% T2
5 BEL Thomas Pieters 30 3.23% 2.56% 1.25% -1.31% T18
6 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 38 2.56% 2.03% 1.32% -0.71% T5
7 FIN Mikko Korhonen 38 2.56% 2.03% 1.1% -0.93% T2
8 USA Julian Suri 38 2.56% 2.03% 0.89% -1.14% T51
9 ENG Chris Wood 42 2.33% 1.84% 1.09% -0.75% T33
10 GER Martin Kaymer 43 2.27% 1.8% 1.93% 0.13% T2 (tied w/3) 7.98 +38.3
11 ENG Matt Wallace 43 2.27% 1.8% 1.77% -0.03% 1 7.98 +213.9
12 SWE Alexander Bjork 44 2.22% 1.76% 1.04% -0.72% T33
13 ESP Adrian Otaegui 51 1.92% 1.52% 1.83% 0.31% T56 6.75
14 ESP Jorge Campillo 56 1.75% 1.39% 1.71% 0.33% T33 6.16
15 USA Seungsu Han 59 1.67% 1.32% 1.05% -0.27% MC
16 BEL Thomas Detry 59 1.67% 1.32% 0.61% -0.71% T18
17 ENG Eddie Pepperell 60 1.64% 1.3% 1.27% -0.03% DQ 5.76
18 ITA Matteo Manassero 64 1.54% 1.22% 0.93% -0.29% MC
19 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 67 1.47% 1.17% 1.19% 0.03% T63 5.17
20 ENG Chris Paisley 69 1.43% 1.13% 0.8% -0.34% T26
21 KOR Jeunghun Wang 70 1.41% 1.12% 1.15% 0.03% MC 4.95
22 AUT Matthias Schwab 72 1.37% 1.09% 0.97% -0.12% T40
23 ENG Sam Horsfield 79 1.25% 0.99% 0.71% -0.28% T59
24 ESP Nacho Elvira 81 1.22% 0.97% 0.85% -0.12% T9
25 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 83 1.19% 0.94% 0.85% -0.09% MC
26 ENG David Horsey 84 1.18% 0.93% 0.93% 0% T40 4.13
27 AUS Scott Hend 84 1.18% 0.93% 0.69% -0.25% T7
28 ENG Lee Slattery 85 1.16% 0.92% 0.85% -0.07% T45 4.09
29 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 87 1.14% 0.9% 1.3% 0.4% T7 (tied w/2) 3.99 +18.4
30 ITA Andrea Pavan 90 1.1% 0.87% 0.85% -0.02% T56 3.86
31 ENG Callum Shinkwin 90 1.1% 0.87% 0.72% -0.15% MC
32 THA Thongchai Jaidee 97 1.02% 0.81% 0.79% -0.02% MC 3.59
33 SCO Stephen Gallacher 99 1% 0.79% 1.34% 0.55% MC 3.51
34 USA David Lipsky 99 1% 0.79% 0.98% 0.19% T18 3.51
35 FRA Julien Guerrier 103 0.96% 0.76% 0.57% -0.19% MC
36 RSA Richard Sterne 108 0.92% 0.73% 0.53% -0.2% T51
37 AUS Marcus Fraser 109 0.91% 0.72% 0.84% 0.12% MC 3.2
38 ENG Aaron Rai 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.75% 0.1% T5 (tied w/2) 2.91 +36.4
39 ENG Oliver Fisher 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.73% 0.07% MC 2.91
40 FRA Sebastien Gros 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.63% -0.03% T26 2.91
41 SWE Peter Hanson 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.59% -0.06% T69 2.91
42 AUS Nick Cullen 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.58% -0.08% T45 2.91
43 GER Maximilian Kieffer 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.57% -0.08% T12 2.91
44 SWE Marcus Kinhult 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.93% 0.32% T59 2.68
45 RSA Thomas Aiken 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.89% 0.28% MC 2.68
46 RSA Justin Walters 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.87% 0.27% T9 2.68
47 AUS Lucas Herbert 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.41% -0.19% MC
48 RSA Brandon Stone 150 0.66% 0.52% 1.07% 0.54% MC
49 FRA Gregory Havret 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.58% 0.05% MC
50 CAN Austin Connelly 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.57% 0.05% T40
51 WAL Bradley Dredge 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.52% -0.01% T26
52 DEN Jeff Winther 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.44% -0.08% MC
53 WAL Jamie Donaldson 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.36% -0.16% WD
54 GER Stephan Jaeger 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.24% -0.29% MC
55 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.7% 0.21% T66
56 ESP Scott Fernandez 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.68% 0.19% MC
57 ESP Alejandro Canizares 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.67% 0.18% MC
58 RSA Louis de Jager 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.66% 0.17% MC
59 SWE Jens Dantorp 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.64% 0.15% MC
60 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.63% 0.13% T33
61 AUS Adam Bland 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.59% 0.1% MC
62 ENG Ashley Chesters 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.57% 0.07% T63
63 ITA Nino Bertasio 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.77% 0.33% MC
64 MAS Gavin Green 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.74% 0.31% 73
65 ENG Tom Lewis 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.56% 0.12% T26
66 USA Jake Knappe 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.13% -0.3% MC
67 DEN Anders Hansen 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.68% 0.26% MC
68 SCO Connor Syme 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.61% 0.2% T45
69 SCO Marc Warren 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.48% 0.07% MC
70 RSA Haydn Porteous 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.33% -0.09% T51
71 CHI Nicolas Geyger 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.96% 0.56% T18
72 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.66% 0.27% T16
73 ENG Richard Bland 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.5% 0.11% MC
74 AUS Wade Ormsby 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.25% -0.14% T16
75 SWE Robert Karlsson 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.63% 0.25% MC
76 USA Paul Peterson 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.61% 0.23% MC
77 GER Marcel Siem 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.51% 0.13% MC
78 ENG David Howell 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.68% 0.32% T26
79 WAL Oliver Farr 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.47% 0.11% MC
80 ITA Renato Paratore 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.44% 0.09% MC
81 POR Ricardo Gouveia 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.37% 0.02% MC
82 GER Florian Fritsch 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.27% -0.09% MC
83 SCO David Drysdale 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.53% 0.19% T40
84 DEN Lasse Jensen 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.51% 0.17% T45
85 SCO Scott Jamieson 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% T12
86 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.42% 0.08% T18
87 GER Sebastian Heisele 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.33% -0.01% MC
88 ENG Chris Hanson 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.32% -0.03% MC
89 KOR Jinho Choi 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.31% -0.03% MC
90 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.7% 0.39% MC
91 ENG Laurie Canter 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.44% 0.13% MC
92 KOR Soomin Lee 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.66% 0.36% MC
93 ARG Andres Romero 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.58% 0.28% T45
94 FRA Gregory Bourdy 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.54% 0.23% T33
95 FRA Adrien Saddier 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.41% 0.1% 74
96 GER Bernd Ritthammer 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% MC
97 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.31% 0% MC
98 RSA Ernie Els 280 0.36% 0.28% 1.09% 0.81% MC
99 CHI Felipe Aguilar 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.61% 0.32% T51
100 ENG Ross McGowan 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.5% 0.22% MC
101 GER Marcel Schneider 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% MC
102 ENG Steven Brown 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.39% 0.12% MC
103 ESP Pedro Oriol 290 0.34% 0.27% 0.25% -0.02% MC
104 ENG Matthew Baldwin 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.72% 0.46% MC
105 FRA Clement Sordet 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.71% 0.45% MC
106 FRA Victor Perez 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.7% 0.44% T66
107 ENG Charlie Ford 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% T66
108 ENG Mark Foster 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.47% 0.21% T12
109 FRA Julien Quesne 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.17% T40
110 CHI Mark Tullo 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.16% 72
111 ENG James Heath 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.16% T45
112 ESP Pep Angles Ros 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.14% MC
113 FRA Joel Stalter 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.35% 0.09% T56
114 KOR Rakhyun Cho 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% MC
115 SWE Henric Sturehed 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.07% T51
116 USA Chase Koepka 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.26% 0% T63
117 SCO Bradley Neil 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.74% 0.54% T33
118 ENG Daniel Brooks 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.57% 0.38% WD
119 RSA Zander Lombard 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.57% 0.37% MC
120 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% T26
121 NZL Josh Geary 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.15% MC
122 ENG Matthew Nixon 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% T18
123 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% T18
124 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.59% 0.43% T26
125 AUS Sam Brazel 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% MC
126 SWE Joel Sjoholm 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% MC
127 ENG Simon Khan 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.21% WD
128 USA Daniel Im 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% MC
129 GER Max Schmitt 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.18% MC
130 AUS Jason Norris 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.15% MC
131 ISL Birgir Hafthorsson 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% 71
132 SWE Johan Edfors 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
133 GER Christian Braeunig 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
134 SWE Pontus Widegren 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
135 BEL Christopher Mivis 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.1% T18
136 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.23% 0.08% MC
137 GER Jonas Kolbing 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.16% 0.01% T59
138 GER Michael Hirmer 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.13% 0% MC
139 ENG Jonathan Thomson 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% MC
140 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
141 GER Sean Einhaus 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.07% MC
142 GER Max Kramer 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.06% MC
143 GER Hinrich Arkenau 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.06% MC
144 GER Finn Fleer 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.06% MC
145 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 1.19% 0% T33
146 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0.78% 0% MC
147 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.64% 0% MC
148 ARG Rafael Echenique 0% 0% 0.37% 0% 75
149 AUS Jordan Zunic 0% 0% 0.3% 0% MC
150 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
151 NOR Eirik Tage Johansen 0% 0% 0.24% 0% T69
152 CHN Liu Yanwei 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC
153 AUT Julian Kunzenbacher 0% 0% 0.13% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...