Key


Odds: The odds available before the event started.

Implied: The implied probability of the odds from the bookies.

Margin: The overround on the market, this is why the bookies always make money. More info.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Position: The actual position the golfer finished in.

Green Row: This highlights our advised tips, see the Tips page for info on advised stake.


# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Finishing Position Pos.
1 Luke Donald 30 3.23% 2.62% 13.29% 10.67% 1
2 Martin Kaymer 15 6.25% 5.08% 8.51% 3.42% 2
3 Matt Kuchar 40 2.44% 1.98% 5.59% 3.61% 3
4 Bubba Watson 60 1.64% 1.33% 3.96% 2.63% 4
5 Miguel A Jimenez 80 1.23% 1% 3.01% 2% 5
6 J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 2.89% 0% 5
7 Y.E. Yang 0% 0% 2.79% 0% 5
8 Ryan Moore 60 1.64% 1.33% 2.78% 1.45% 5
9 Graeme McDowell 20 4.76% 3.87% 2.35% -1.53% 9
10 Nick Watney 25 3.85% 3.13% 2.16% -0.97% 9
11 Jason Day 80 1.23% 1% 1.99% 0.99% 9
12 Geoff Ogilvy 25 3.85% 3.13% 1.97% -1.16% 9
13 Hunter Mahan 30 3.23% 2.62% 1.95% -0.67% 9
14 Paul Casey 15 6.25% 5.08% 1.8% -3.28% 17
15 Rickie Fowler 40 2.44% 1.98% 1.8% -0.18% 9
16 Matteo Manassero 100 0.99% 0.81% 1.79% 0.98% 9
17 Ben Crane 60 1.64% 1.33% 1.67% 0.34% 9
18 Ernie Els 40 2.44% 1.98% 1.33% -0.65% 17
19 Phil Mickelson 20 4.76% 3.87% 1.32% -2.55% 17
20 Rory McIlroy 15 6.25% 5.08% 1.26% -3.82% 17
21 Justin Rose 50 1.96% 1.59% 1.21% -0.39% 17
22 Charl Schwartzel 50 1.96% 1.59% 1.18% -0.42% 17
23 Lee Westwood 20 4.76% 3.87% 1.18% -2.7% 17
24 Ross Fisher 50 1.96% 1.59% 1.18% -0.42% 17
25 Mark Wilson 0% 0% 1.17% 0% 17
26 K.J. Choi 60 1.64% 1.33% 1.11% -0.22% 17
27 Robert Karlsson 50 1.96% 1.59% 1.09% -0.5% 17
28 Edoardo Molinari 80 1.23% 1% 1.07% 0.07% 17
29 Ryan Palmer 0% 0% 1.05% 0% 17
30 Dustin Johnson 30 3.23% 2.62% 1.05% -1.57% 33
31 Stewart Cink 50 1.96% 1.59% 1.03% -0.56% 17
32 Thomas Bjorn 0% 0% 1.02% 0% 17
33 Francesco Molinari 50 1.96% 1.59% 0.97% -0.63% 33
34 Bo Van Pelt 0% 0% 0.91% 0% 17
35 Adam Scott 60 1.64% 1.33% 0.91% -0.43% 33
36 Retief Goosen 40 2.44% 1.98% 0.89% -1.1% 33
37 Ian Poulter 25 3.85% 3.13% 0.86% -2.27% 33
38 Bill Haas 50 1.96% 1.59% 0.84% -0.76% 33
39 Steve Stricker 30 3.23% 2.62% 0.82% -1.81% 33
40 Tiger Woods 12 7.69% 6.26% 0.79% -5.46% 33
41 Zach Johnson 80 1.23% 1% 0.75% -0.25% 33
42 Alvaro Quiros 40 2.44% 1.98% 0.72% -1.26% 33
43 Robert Allenby 50 1.96% 1.59% 0.71% -0.88% 33
44 Martin Laird 80 1.23% 1% 0.7% -0.3% 33
45 Anders Hansen 0% 0% 0.69% 0% 33
46 K.T. Kim 0% 0% 0.69% 0% 33
47 Ryo Ishikawa 125 0.79% 0.65% 0.69% 0.04% 33
48 Louis Oosthuizen 80 1.23% 1% 0.69% -0.32% 33
49 Richard Green 0% 0% 0.69% 0% 33
50 Jim Furyk 40 2.44% 1.98% 0.68% -1.3% 33
51 Seungyul Noh 125 0.79% 0.65% 0.68% 0.03% 33
52 Hiroyuki Fujita 0% 0% 0.66% 0% 33
53 Charley Hoffman 0% 0% 0.66% 0% 33
54 Brendan Jones 0% 0% 0.66% 0% 33
55 Padraig Harrington 50 1.96% 1.59% 0.65% -0.95% 33
56 Jonathan Byrd 0% 0% 0.65% 0% 33
57 Peter Hanson 80 1.23% 1% 0.64% -0.36% 33
58 Anthony Kim 50 1.96% 1.59% 0.6% -0.99% 33
59 Camilo Villegas 60 1.64% 1.33% 0.59% -0.74% 33
60 Yuta Ikeda 0% 0% 0.58% 0% 33
61 Henrik Stenson 80 1.23% 1% 0.56% -0.45% 33
62 Jeff Overton 0% 0% 0.52% 0% 33
63 Sean O'Hair 80 1.23% 1% 0.49% -0.51% 33
64 Heath Slocum 0% 0% 0.49% 0% 33
122.9 %