Key


Odds: The odds available before the event started.

Implied: The implied probability of the odds from the bookies.

Margin: The overround on the market, this is why the bookies always make money. More info.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: Predicted - Normalised. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Position: The actual position the golfer finished in.

Green Row: This highlights our advised tips, see the Tips page for info on advised stake.


# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Finishing Position Pos. Exchange Odds Exch. Odds
1 Luke Donald 32 3.03% 2.71% 13.6% 10.89% 1
2 Matt Kuchar 45 2.17% 1.95% 5.54% 3.59% 3
3 Martin Kaymer 16 5.88% 5.27% 8.61% 3.34% 2
4 Bubba Watson 67 1.47% 1.32% 4.23% 2.91% 4
5 Miguel A Jimenez 92 1.08% 0.96% 2.96% 2% 5
6 Ryan Moore 67 1.47% 1.32% 2.71% 1.39% 5
7 Matteo Manassero 115 0.86% 0.77% 1.8% 1.02% 9
8 Jason Day 92 1.08% 0.96% 1.84% 0.87% 9
9 Ben Crane 67 1.47% 1.32% 1.77% 0.46% 9
10 Edoardo Molinari 92 1.08% 0.96% 1.04% 0.08% 17
11 Ryo Ishikawa 150 0.66% 0.59% 0.67% 0.07% 33
12 Seungyul Noh 150 0.66% 0.59% 0.65% 0.05% 33
13 Thomas Bjorn 0% 0% 1.03% 0% 17
14 Ryan Palmer 0% 0% 1.05% 0% 17
15 Charley Hoffman 0% 0% 0.63% 0% 33
16 J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 2.81% 0% 5
17 Yuta Ikeda 0% 0% 0.68% 0% 33
18 Hiroyuki Fujita 0% 0% 0.65% 0% 33
19 Richard Green 0% 0% 0.6% 0% 33
20 Bo Van Pelt 0% 0% 0.91% 0% 17
21 Anders Hansen 0% 0% 0.73% 0% 33
22 Jeff Overton 0% 0% 0.5% 0% 33
23 K.T. Kim 0% 0% 0.7% 0% 33
24 Brendan Jones 0% 0% 0.71% 0% 33
25 Jonathan Byrd 0% 0% 0.64% 0% 33
26 Heath Slocum 0% 0% 0.48% 0% 33
27 Mark Wilson 0% 0% 1.09% 0% 17
28 Y.E. Yang 0% 0% 2.78% 0% 5
29 Rickie Fowler 45 2.17% 1.95% 1.89% -0.06% 9
30 Justin Rose 57 1.72% 1.54% 1.34% -0.21% 17
31 Martin Laird 92 1.08% 0.96% 0.75% -0.21% 33
32 Zach Johnson 92 1.08% 0.96% 0.72% -0.24% 33
33 K.J. Choi 67 1.47% 1.32% 1.06% -0.26% 17
34 Peter Hanson 92 1.08% 0.96% 0.68% -0.28% 33
35 Louis Oosthuizen 92 1.08% 0.96% 0.68% -0.28% 33
36 Ross Fisher 57 1.72% 1.54% 1.18% -0.36% 17
37 Robert Karlsson 57 1.72% 1.54% 1.16% -0.38% 17
38 Henrik Stenson 92 1.08% 0.96% 0.55% -0.41% 33
39 Charl Schwartzel 57 1.72% 1.54% 1.13% -0.42% 17
40 Sean O'Hair 92 1.08% 0.96% 0.53% -0.43% 33
41 Adam Scott 67 1.47% 1.32% 0.86% -0.46% 33
42 Stewart Cink 57 1.72% 1.54% 1.01% -0.53% 17
43 Ernie Els 45 2.17% 1.95% 1.31% -0.64% 17
44 Francesco Molinari 57 1.72% 1.54% 0.85% -0.7% 33
45 Hunter Mahan 32 3.03% 2.71% 2.01% -0.7% 9
46 Camilo Villegas 67 1.47% 1.32% 0.58% -0.74% 33
47 Bill Haas 57 1.72% 1.54% 0.76% -0.78% 33
48 Robert Allenby 57 1.72% 1.54% 0.73% -0.81% 33
49 Retief Goosen 45 2.17% 1.95% 1.04% -0.91% 33
50 Padraig Harrington 57 1.72% 1.54% 0.61% -0.93% 33
51 Anthony Kim 57 1.72% 1.54% 0.59% -0.95% 33
52 Nick Watney 27 3.57% 3.2% 2.09% -1.11% 9
53 Geoff Ogilvy 27 3.57% 3.2% 1.98% -1.22% 9
54 Jim Furyk 45 2.17% 1.95% 0.72% -1.23% 33
55 Alvaro Quiros 45 2.17% 1.95% 0.7% -1.25% 33
56 Graeme McDowell 22 4.35% 3.89% 2.34% -1.56% 9
57 Dustin Johnson 32 3.03% 2.71% 0.84% -1.88% 33
58 Steve Stricker 32 3.03% 2.71% 0.79% -1.92% 33
59 Ian Poulter 27 3.57% 3.2% 0.87% -2.33% 33
60 Phil Mickelson 22 4.35% 3.89% 1.39% -2.51% 17
61 Lee Westwood 22 4.35% 3.89% 1.15% -2.74% 17
62 Paul Casey 16 5.88% 5.27% 1.56% -3.71% 17
63 Rory McIlroy 16 5.88% 5.27% 1.36% -3.91% 17
64 Tiger Woods 13 7.14% 6.4% 0.79% -5.61% 33