Key


Odds: The odds available before the event started.

Implied: The implied probability of the odds from the bookies.

Margin: The overround on the market, this is why the bookies always make money. More info.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: Predicted - Normalised. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Position: The actual position the golfer finished in.

Green Row: This highlights our advised tips, see the Tips page for info on advised stake.


# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Finishing Position Pos.
1 Phil Mickelson 83 1.19% 0.92% 2.06% 1.14% 115
2 Zach Johnson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.92% 0.84% 19
3 Bubba Watson 54 1.82% 1.4% 2.15% 0.74% 138
4 Alexander Noren 57 1.72% 1.33% 1.99% 0.66% 94
5 Chris Kirk 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.92% 0.65% 31
6 Emiliano Grillo 190 0.52% 0.4% 1.01% 0.61% 31
7 Jorge Campillo 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.8% 0.6% 153
8 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.95% 0.6% 122
9 Mikko Korhonen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.74% 0.58% 105
10 Byeong Hun An 120 0.83% 0.64% 1.16% 0.53% 56
11 Rafael Cabrera Bello 150 0.66% 0.51% 1.02% 0.51% 10
12 Ian Poulter 101 0.98% 0.76% 1.24% 0.48% 31
13 Charley Hoffman 120 0.83% 0.64% 1.11% 0.48% 108
14 Alexander Bjork 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.65% 0.46% 128
15 Adrian Otaegui 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.64% 0.45% 65
16 Matt Wallace 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.63% 0.43% 19
17 Adam Hadwin 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.71% 0.43% 114
18 Shane Lowry 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.81% 0.39% 12
19 Kevin Na 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.86% 0.38% 19
20 Jason Kokrak 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% 19
21 Satoshi Kodaira 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% 59
22 Jhonattan Vegas 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.61% 0.36% 59
23 Andrew Putnam 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.65% 0.34% 59
24 Stewart Cink 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.6% 0.34% 4
25 Matthew Fitzpatrick 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.81% 0.33% 102
26 Danny Willett 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.63% 0.33% 121
27 Charles Howell III 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.65% 0.32% 71
28 Jimmy Walker 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.72% 0.31% 42
29 Russell Knox 180 0.55% 0.43% 0.71% 0.29% 35
30 J.J Spaun 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.47% 0.28% 35
31 Brian Harman 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.66% 0.27% 71
32 Tyrrell Hatton 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.91% 0.27% 10
33 Webb Simpson 59 1.67% 1.28% 1.55% 0.27% 19
34 Ollie Schniederjans 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.53% 0.25% 59
35 Jim Furyk 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% 71
36 Andy Sullivan 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% 120
37 Cameron Smith 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.54% 0.24% 56
38 Paul Dunne 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% 132
39 Ryan Armour 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.42% 0.23% 97
40 Ryan Fox 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.56% 0.22% 27
41 Scott Brown 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% 80
42 Ross Fisher 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.52% 0.21% 65
43 Andrew Landry 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% 50
44 Dylan Frittelli 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% 31
45 Y.E. Yang 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 133
46 Julian Suri 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.44% 0.19% 19
47 Shubhankar Sharma 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% 110
48 Jordan L Smith 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% 101
49 Eddie Pepperell 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.57% 0.18% 59
50 Chris Stroud 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% 65
51 Chris Wood 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.44% 0.18% 123
52 Luke List 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.82% 0.18% 84
53 Jason Dufner 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.58% 0.18% 117
54 Meenwhee Kim 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% 103
55 Peter Uihlein 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.48% 0.17% 93
56 J.B. Holmes 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.54% 0.17% 83
57 Brian Gay 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.42% 0.17% 79
58 Jamie Lovemark 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.48% 0.17% 129
59 Ryan Moore 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.76% 0.17% 59
60 Ryuko Tokimatsu 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% 118
61 Brandt Snedeker 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.67% 0.16% 42
62 John Daly 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% 109
63 Billy Horschel 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.56% 0.16% 35
64 Beau Hossler 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.56% 0.15% 119
65 Charl Schwartzel 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.63% 0.15% 42
66 Troy Merritt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% 89
67 Alexander Levy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.4% 0.15% 112
68 Austin Cook 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% 50
69 Pat Perez 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% 35
70 Adam Scott 109 0.91% 0.7% 0.84% 0.13% 3
71 Bill Haas 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.39% 0.13% 96
72 Kyle Stanley 87 1.14% 0.88% 1% 0.12% 82
73 Justin Harding 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% 95
74 Chesson Hadley 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.46% 0.12% 140
75 Patton Kizzire 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.11% 90
76 Seungsu Han 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.11% 50
77 Chez Reavie 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% 12
78 Nick Watney 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.46% 0.1% 71
79 Vijay Singh 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% 78
80 Davis Love III 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.1% 88
81 Yuta Ikeda 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% 65
82 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% 65
83 Scott Piercy 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.08% 130
84 Siwoo Kim 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.59% 0.08% 145
85 Brendan Steele 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.41% 0.07% 81
86 Sungjae Im 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.06% 42
87 Branden Grace 107 0.93% 0.71% 0.78% 0.06% 27
88 Matt Kuchar 73 1.35% 1.04% 1.1% 0.06% 85
89 Kevin Kisner 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.69% 0.05% 12
90 Brice Garnett 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% 50
91 Bryson DeChambeau 69 1.43% 1.1% 1.14% 0.04% 92
92 Martin Kaymer 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.32% 0.04% 42
93 Michael Kim 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% 147
94 James Hahn 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% 104
95 Gary Woodland 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.67% 0.03% 6
96 Brandon Stone 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% 12
97 Shugo Imahira 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% 91
98 Padraig Harrington 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.21% 0.01% 87
99 Daniel Berger 160 0.62% 0.48% 0.49% 0.01% 12
100 Kevin Streelman 0% 0% 0.5% 0% 98
101 Yusaku Miyazato 0% 0% 0.36% 0% 154
102 Li Haotong 0% 0% 0.67% 0%
103 Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.35% 0% 71
104 Kelly Kraft 0% 0% 0.49% 0% 126
105 Ben Kern 0% 0% 0.37% 0% 42
106 Omar Uresti 0% 0% 0.1% 0% 137
107 Anirban Lahiri 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.33% 0% 113
108 Keegan Bradley 130 0.76% 0.59% 0.59% 0% 42
109 Patrick Reed 44 2.22% 1.71% 1.67% -0.05% 111
110 Marc Leishman 59 1.67% 1.28% 1.23% -0.06% 71
111 Sergio Garcia 99 1% 0.77% 0.69% -0.08% 86
112 Russell Henley 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.56% -0.08% 50
113 Kevin Chappell 120 0.83% 0.64% 0.54% -0.1% 65
114 Thorbjorn Olesen 84 1.18% 0.91% 0.67% -0.24% 56
115 Aaron Wise 113 0.88% 0.68% 0.41% -0.27% 124
116 Joaquin Niemann 98 1.01% 0.78% 0.47% -0.31% 71
117 Thomas Pieters 110 0.9% 0.69% 0.37% -0.33% 6
118 Xander Schauffele 61 1.61% 1.24% 0.91% -0.33% 35
119 Paul Casey 54 1.82% 1.4% 1.05% -0.35% 139
120 Henrik Stenson 47 2.08% 1.61% 1.18% -0.42% 99
121 Patrick Cantlay 48 2.04% 1.57% 1.14% -0.43% 27
122 Tony Finau 44 2.22% 1.71% 1.18% -0.54% 42
123 Hideki Matsuyama 61 1.61% 1.24% 0.67% -0.57% 35
124 Francesco Molinari 31 3.13% 2.41% 1.63% -0.78% 6
125 Tiger Woods 27 3.57% 2.75% 1.69% -1.06% 2
126 Tommy Fleetwood 26 3.7% 2.86% 1.71% -1.15% 35
127 Rickie Fowler 23 4.17% 3.21% 1.9% -1.31% 12
128 Justin Rose 23 4.17% 3.21% 1.61% -1.6% 19
129 Brooks Koepka 22 4.35% 3.35% 1.65% -1.7% 1
130 Jon Rahm 26 3.7% 2.86% 1.04% -1.82% 4
131 Jordan Spieth 23 4.17% 3.21% 1.32% -1.89% 12
132 Jason Day 19 5% 3.85% 1.9% -1.96% 19
133 Justin Thomas 15 6.25% 4.82% 2.77% -2.05% 6
134 Rory McIlroy 13 7.14% 5.51% 2.07% -3.44% 50
135 Dustin Johnson 9 10% 7.71% 3.46% -4.25% 27