Key


Odds: The odds available before the event started.

Implied: The implied probability of the odds from the bookies.

Margin: The overround on the market, this is why the bookies always make money. More info.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: Predicted - Normalised. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Position: The actual position the golfer finished in.

Green Row: This highlights our advised tips, see the Tips page for info on advised stake.


# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Finishing Position Pos.
1 Jason Day 500 0.2% 0.17% 2.31% 2.15% 58
2 Tommy Fleetwood 36 2.7% 2.25% 4.02% 1.77% 39
3 Francesco Molinari 130 0.76% 0.64% 2.3% 1.66% 58
4 Bill Haas 180 0.55% 0.46% 1.8% 1.34% 3
5 Matthew Fitzpatrick 200 0.5% 0.41% 1.74% 1.33% 17
6 Brandt Snedeker 108 0.92% 0.76% 1.91% 1.14% 17
7 Ross Fisher 270 0.37% 0.31% 1.32% 1.02% 5
8 Hideki Matsuyama 27 3.57% 2.98% 3.98% 1% 51
9 Sergio Garcia 41 2.38% 1.98% 2.94% 0.96% 30
10 Yuta Ikeda 180 0.55% 0.46% 1.33% 0.87% 51
11 Webb Simpson 290 0.34% 0.29% 1.14% 0.85% 58
12 Charles Howell III 210 0.47% 0.4% 1.21% 0.82% 9
13 Kevin Kisner 200 0.5% 0.41% 1.23% 0.81% 17
14 Lee Westwood 210 0.47% 0.4% 1.18% 0.79% 17
15 Thongchai Jaidee 300 0.33% 0.28% 1.06% 0.78% 39
16 Jhonattan Vegas 250 0.4% 0.33% 1.04% 0.7% 17
17 Byeong Hun An 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.98% 0.69% 58
18 Jim Furyk 120 0.83% 0.69% 1.37% 0.68% 30
19 Danny Willett 250 0.4% 0.33% 1.01% 0.68% 39
20 Jeunghun Wang 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.94% 0.66% 58
21 Zach Johnson 190 0.52% 0.44% 1.06% 0.63% 9
22 Jimmy Walker 210 0.47% 0.4% 1.02% 0.62% 39
23 Emiliano Grillo 160 0.62% 0.52% 1.05% 0.54% 51
24 Brendan Steele 103 0.96% 0.8% 1.32% 0.52% 30
25 Matt Kuchar 71 1.39% 1.16% 1.65% 0.49% 30
26 Scott Piercy 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.78% 0.48% 58
27 Joost Luiten 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.79% 0.47% 39
28 Martin Kaymer 44 2.22% 1.85% 2.32% 0.47% 17
29 Jordan Spieth 23 4.17% 3.47% 3.9% 0.43% 30
30 Andy Sullivan 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.69% 0.41% 58
31 Bubba Watson 44 2.22% 1.85% 2.16% 0.31% 9
32 Jason Dufner 90 1.1% 0.92% 1.17% 0.26% 51
33 Pat Perez 60 1.64% 1.37% 1.48% 0.11% 17
34 Ryan Moore 83 1.19% 0.99% 1.08% 0.09% 30
35 Gary Woodland 37 2.63% 2.19% 2.27% 0.07% 39
36 Soren Kjeldsen 71 1.39% 1.16% 1.18% 0.03% 5
37 J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 1.28% 0% 51
38 Chris Wood 0% 0% 1.13% 0% 39
39 K.T. Kim 0% 0% 0.66% 0% 17
40 Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0.43% 0% 30
41 Kevin Chappell 150 0.66% 0.55% 0.49% -0.06% 39
42 Hideto Tanihara 103 0.96% 0.8% 0.73% -0.07% 4
43 Justin Thomas 25 3.85% 3.21% 3.08% -0.13% 39
44 William McGirt 86 1.15% 0.96% 0.8% -0.16% 9
45 Bernd Wiesberger 49 2% 1.67% 1.5% -0.17% 17
46 Alexander Noren 42 2.33% 1.94% 1.67% -0.26% 5
47 Kevin Na 57 1.72% 1.44% 1.15% -0.29% 9
48 Shane Lowry 59 1.67% 1.39% 1.02% -0.37% 51
49 Brooks Koepka 42 2.33% 1.94% 1.41% -0.53% 9
50 Daniel Berger 46 2.13% 1.77% 1.07% -0.7% 39
51 Jon Rahm 23 4.17% 3.47% 2.7% -0.77% 2
52 Branden Grace 37 2.63% 2.19% 1.31% -0.88% 39
53 Patrick Reed 47 2.08% 1.74% 0.85% -0.88% 51
54 Russell Knox 42 2.33% 1.94% 1.04% -0.9% 39
55 Rory McIlroy 18 5.26% 4.39% 3.43% -0.96% 30
56 Tyrrell Hatton 26 3.7% 3.09% 2.03% -1.06% 17
57 Charl Schwartzel 36 2.7% 2.25% 1.15% -1.1% 17
58 Rafael Cabrera Bello 30 3.23% 2.69% 1.57% -1.12% 17
59 Marc Leishman 32 3.03% 2.53% 1.38% -1.14% 9
60 Louis Oosthuizen 25 3.85% 3.21% 1.69% -1.51% 17
61 Phil Mickelson 27 3.57% 2.98% 1.45% -1.52% 5
62 Thomas Pieters 23 4.17% 3.47% 0.87% -2.61% 30
63 Paul Casey 18 5.26% 4.39% 1.64% -2.75% 9
64 Dustin Johnson 5 16.67% 13.89% 3.73% -10.16% 1