Key


Odds: The odds available before the event started.

Implied: The implied probability of the odds from the bookies.

Margin: The overround on the market, this is why the bookies always make money. More info.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Position: The actual position the golfer finished in.

Green Row: This highlights our advised tips, see the Tips page for info on advised stake.

Light Green Row: This player has high value but the odds are over 280, therefore our algorithm hasn't tipped it in order to increase our strike rate. Go for it if you like it though!


# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Finishing Position Pos.
1 Dustin Johnson 350 0.28% 0.2% 3.21% 3.01% 143
2 Matt Kuchar 1500 0.07% 0.05% 1.59% 1.55% 121
3 Bill Haas 634.88 0.16% 0.11% 1.58% 1.47% 56
4 Phil Mickelson 519.45 0.19% 0.14% 1.6% 1.46% 33
5 Rory McIlroy 400 0.25% 0.18% 1.63% 1.45% 92
6 Rafael Cabrera Bello 912.8 0.11% 0.08% 1.48% 1.4% 49
7 Kevin Chappell 750 0.13% 0.1% 1.47% 1.38% 108
8 Scott Piercy 500 0.2% 0.14% 1.49% 1.34% 95
9 Branden Grace 112.75 0.88% 0.63% 1.88% 1.25% 4
10 Danny Willett 913.8 0.11% 0.08% 1.32% 1.24% 79
11 Bubba Watson 555.81 0.18% 0.13% 1.33% 1.2% 60
12 Justin Rose 460.36 0.22% 0.16% 1.24% 1.08% 22
13 Charl Schwartzel 587.63 0.17% 0.12% 1.17% 1.05% 42
14 Jim Furyk 770.5 0.13% 0.09% 1.13% 1.04% 73
15 Tyrrell Hatton 258 0.39% 0.28% 1.31% 1.03% 10
16 Daniel Berger 811.5 0.12% 0.09% 1.11% 1.02% 73
17 Lee Westwood 739.87 0.13% 0.1% 1.11% 1.01% 85
18 Zach Johnson 125.31 0.79% 0.57% 1.51% 0.95% 33
19 Steve Stricker 300.21 0.33% 0.24% 1.18% 0.94% 42
20 Russell Knox 360.92 0.28% 0.2% 1.11% 0.91% 22
21 William McGirt 95.81 1.03% 0.74% 1.62% 0.88% 10
22 Kevin Na 560.9 0.18% 0.13% 1% 0.88% 22
23 Soren Kjeldsen 763.62 0.13% 0.09% 0.93% 0.83% 33
24 Alexander Noren 514.45 0.19% 0.14% 0.96% 0.82% 49
25 Thongchai Jaidee 914.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.89% 0.81% 73
26 Bernd Wiesberger 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.81% 0.78% 122
27 Charley Hoffman 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.8% 0.77% 112
28 Jhonattan Vegas 736 0.14% 0.1% 0.85% 0.75% 22
29 Billy Horschel 817.71 0.12% 0.09% 0.83% 0.74% 79
30 Andrew Johnston 679.33 0.15% 0.11% 0.83% 0.73% 60
31 Kyle Reifers 791.5 0.13% 0.09% 0.8% 0.71% 22
32 James Hahn 914.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.77% 0.7% 70
33 Tony Finau 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.74% 0.67% 128
34 Rikard Karlberg 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.7% 0.67% 102
35 Adam Scott 55.31 1.78% 1.27% 1.93% 0.66% 18
36 Joost Luiten 913.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.73% 0.65% 33
37 Jason Dufner 914.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.7% 0.63% 60
38 Francesco Molinari 913.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.68% 0.6% 22
39 Andy Sullivan 383.61 0.26% 0.19% 0.78% 0.59% 49
40 Colt Knost 913.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.67% 0.59% 70
41 Ryan Palmer 913.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.66% 0.58% 42
42 Anirban Lahiri 2000 0.05% 0.04% 0.6% 0.57% 120
43 Thomas Pieters 912.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.63% 0.55% 86
44 Nicolas Colsaerts 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.69% 0.55% 137
45 Chris Kirk 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.57% 0.54% 88
46 Louis Oosthuizen 156.18 0.64% 0.46% 0.98% 0.52% 22
47 Bryce Molder 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.69% 0.51% 115
48 Smylie Kaufman 1375 0.07% 0.05% 0.56% 0.51% 87
49 Matthew Fitzpatrick 913.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.58% 0.5% 49
50 Keegan Bradley 859.8 0.12% 0.08% 0.56% 0.47% 42
51 Brandt Snedeker 343.07 0.29% 0.21% 0.68% 0.47% 56
52 Jim Herman 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.49% 0.46% 133
53 Graeme McDowell 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.48% 0.46% 146
54 Jeunghun Wang 465.61 0.21% 0.15% 0.6% 0.45% 134
55 Danny Lee 646 0.15% 0.11% 0.55% 0.44% 56
56 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 775.71 0.13% 0.09% 0.52% 0.42% 66
57 Aaron Baddeley 838.42 0.12% 0.09% 0.5% 0.41% 49
58 Roberto Castro 912.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.49% 0.41% 66
59 Gary Woodland 110 0.9% 0.65% 1.04% 0.39% 109
60 Brendan Steele 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.57% 0.39% 100
61 David Lingmerth 286.14 0.35% 0.25% 0.64% 0.39% 22
62 Bradley Dredge 906 0.11% 0.08% 0.44% 0.36% 79
63 Ryan Moore 508.08 0.2% 0.14% 0.5% 0.36% 70
64 Justin Thomas 913.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.43% 0.35% 66
65 Marc Leishman 315.53 0.32% 0.23% 0.56% 0.34% 60
66 Troy Merritt 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.36% 0.33% 142
67 Shane Lowry 500 0.2% 0.14% 0.45% 0.3% 106
68 Luke Donald 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.37% 0.3% 93
69 James Morrison 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.33% 0.3% 154
70 Scott Hend 383.64 0.26% 0.19% 0.47% 0.29% 42
71 Thorbjorn Olesen 450 0.22% 0.16% 0.44% 0.29% 99
72 Webb Simpson 88.43 1.12% 0.8% 1.07% 0.26% 13
73 Jonas Blixt 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.29% 0.26% 123
74 Patton Kizzire 912.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% 49
75 Vijay Singh 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% 101
76 Byeong Hun An 175 0.57% 0.41% 0.62% 0.22% 96
77 Brandon Stone 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% 147
78 Paul Casey 126.31 0.79% 0.56% 0.77% 0.21% 10
79 Jon Curran 347.21 0.29% 0.21% 0.4% 0.19% 33
80 Greg Chalmers 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.18% 136
81 Kevin Streelman 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.46% 0.17% 114
82 Cameron Tringale 854.66 0.12% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% 84
83 Matt Jones 913.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.24% 0.17% 79
84 Daniel Summerhays 118.66 0.84% 0.6% 0.76% 0.16% 145
85 Fabian Gomez 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% 138
86 Younghan Song 949 0.11% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% 56
87 Harold Varner III 329.72 0.3% 0.22% 0.34% 0.12% 98
88 Jason Kokrak 913.8 0.11% 0.08% 0.19% 0.12% 49
89 David Toms 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.11% 129
90 Zac Blair 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.13% 0.1% 105
91 John Senden 304.42 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% 18
92 Ernie Els 906 0.11% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% 66
93 Ross Fisher 560.36 0.18% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% 42
94 Sergio Garcia 33 2.94% 2.11% 2.19% 0.08% 110
95 Hideto Tanihara 592.83 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% 33
96 Gregory Bourdy 250.93 0.4% 0.28% 0.36% 0.08% 18
97 Jamie Lovemark 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% 127
98 Russell Henley 758 0.13% 0.09% 0.16% 0.06% 22
99 Darren Clarke 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% 111
100 Peter Malnati 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% 117
101 George Coetzee 796.12 0.13% 0.09% 0.1% 0.01% 60
102 Vaughn Taylor 821.12 0.12% 0.09% 0.1% 0.01% 33
103 Jason Bohn 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.03% 0% 113
104 J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 1.42% 0% 104
105 K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0.21% 0% 22
106 Chris Wood 0% 0% 1.14% 0% 89
107 K.T. Kim 0% 0% 0.11% 0% 141
108 Y.E. Yang 0% 0% 0.06% 0% 94
109 Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0.61% 0% 97
110 Soomin Lee 0% 0% 0.2% 0% 125
111 James Sharp 0% 0% 0.02% 0% 148
112 Benjamin Polland 0% 0% 0.02% 0% 107
113 Justin Lower 0% 0% 0.02% 0% 150
114 Omar Uresti 0% 0% 0.03% 0% 149
115 Marcus Fraser 681.9 0.15% 0.11% 0.1% 0% 73
116 John Daly 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.02% 0% 130
117 Kevin Kisner 142.68 0.7% 0.5% 0.49% -0.01% 18
118 Kristoffer Broberg 2500 0.04% 0.03% 0.02% -0.01% 119
119 Brian Stuard 862.8 0.12% 0.08% 0.06% -0.03% 79
120 Yuta Ikeda 504.23 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03% 33
121 Billy Hurley III 232.78 0.43% 0.31% 0.27% -0.04% 22
122 Harris English 85.5 1.16% 0.83% 0.79% -0.04% 60
123 Mark Brown 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.02% -0.05% 124
124 Padraig Harrington 302.69 0.33% 0.24% 0.16% -0.07% 13
125 Jamie Donaldson 132.31 0.75% 0.54% 0.46% -0.08% 42
126 Victor Dubuisson 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.13% -0.15% 90
127 Hideki Matsuyama 36.56 2.66% 1.91% 1.02% -0.89% 4
128 Jordan Spieth 18.75 5.06% 3.63% 1.85% -1.78% 13
129 Brooks Koepka 19.93 4.78% 3.43% 1.29% -2.13% 4
130 Rickie Fowler 21.75 4.4% 3.15% 0.66% -2.5% 33
131 Martin Kaymer 17.25 5.48% 3.93% 1.23% -2.7% 7
132 Patrick Reed 16.81 5.61% 4.03% 1.04% -2.98% 13
133 Emiliano Grillo 14.87 6.3% 4.52% 0.79% -3.73% 13
134 Robert Streb 11.43 8.05% 5.77% 0.2% -5.57% 7
135 Jimmy Walker 6.56 13.23% 9.49% 1.04% -8.44% 1
136 Henrik Stenson 4 20% 14.34% 3.18% -11.17% 7
137 Jason Day 2 33.33% 23.9% 4.86% -19.04% 2
139.5 %