Betting Market Analysis for Commercial Bank Qatar Masters

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 1.54% -2.49%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 1.6% -2.05%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 3.19% -0.14%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 1.51% -1.43%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 1.2% -1.74%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 1.42% -1.22%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 3.02% 0.77%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 2.53% 0.28%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 1.75% -0.5%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 1.18% -1.07%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 1.46% -0.4%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 1.4% -0.47%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 0.82% -1.05%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 59/1 3.35% 1.69%
15 USA Sean Crocker 45 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.66% ≈ 59/1 1.39% -0.27%
16 RSA Justin Harding 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.66% ≈ 59/1 1.11% -0.55%
17 SCO Calum Hill 50 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.5% ≈ 66/1 1.68% 0.18%
18 ENG Matthew Jordan 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% ≈ 66/1 1.18% -0.32%
19 ENG Richard Bland 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 1.72% 0.58%
20 ENG Chris Paisley 66 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 1.36% 0.22%
21 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 0.86% -0.28%
22 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 0.83% -0.32%
23 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 0.62% -0.52%
24 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.47% 0.53%
25 ENG Marcus Armitage 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.4% 0.45%
26 WAL Jamie Donaldson 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.36% 0.42%
27 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.28% 0.34%
28 SCO Marc Warren 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.24% 0.3%
29 SCO Scott Jamieson 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.24% 0.29%
30 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.2% 0.26%
31 RSA Shaun Norris 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.16% 0.22%
32 SWE Niklas Lemke 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.13% 0.19%
33 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.11% 0.17%
34 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.78% -0.16%
35 THA Jazz Janewattananond 80 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.77% -0.17%
36 USA Johannes Veerman 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.77% -0.18%
37 ENG Jordan L Smith 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.62% -0.32%
38 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.53% -0.41%
39 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.32% -0.62%
40 DEN Jeff Winther 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1.25% 0.41%
41 ENG Eddie Pepperell 90 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.8% -0.04%
42 RSA Garrick Higgo 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 0.79% -0.06%
43 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.82% 0.06%
44 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.67% -0.09%
45 SCO Stephen Gallacher 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.54% -0.22%
46 MAS Gavin Green 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.53% -0.22%
47 FRA Benjamin Hebert 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.51% -0.25%
48 RSA Darren Fichardt 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.49% -0.27%
49 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.39% -0.36%
50 ESP Jorge Campillo 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% ≈ 131/1 0.34% -0.42%
51 AUS Maverick Antcliff 110 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.37% 0.68%
52 ENG Steven Brown 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 1.36% 0.67%
53 SWE Marcus Kinhult 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.63% ≈ 157/1 0.52% -0.11%
54 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 1.18% 0.57%
55 ENG Robert Rock 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 1.14% 0.53%
56 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 1.09% 0.48%
57 POL Adrian Meronk 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 0.94% 0.33%
58 USA John Catlin 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 0.77% 0.16%
59 SWE Joakim Lagergren 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 0.65% 0.04%
60 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 0.6% -0.01%
61 RSA Louis de Jager 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 0.6% -0.01%
62 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 0.32% -0.28%
63 CHN Li Haotong 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% ≈ 164/1 0.29% -0.32%
64 GER Sebastian Heisele 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% ≈ 183/1 0.38% -0.16%
65 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.68% 0.17%
66 ENG James Morrison 150 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.67% 0.16%
67 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.65% 0.14%
68 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.61% 0.1%
69 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.41% -0.1%
70 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.36% -0.15%
71 SCO Connor Syme 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.34% -0.16%
72 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% ≈ 196/1 0.29% -0.22%
73 SWE Rikard Karlberg 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.54% 0.07%
74 GER Maximilian Kieffer 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.46% -0.02%
75 FRA Clement Sordet 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.27% -0.21%
76 IND Shubhankar Sharma 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 229/1 0.98% 0.55%
77 NIR Cormac Sharvin 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 229/1 0.74% 0.31%
78 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 229/1 0.69% 0.26%
79 USA Julian Suri 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 229/1 0.45% 0.01%
80 FRA Matthieu Pavon 175 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 229/1 0.27% -0.16%
81 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.63% 0.25%
82 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.42% 0.04%
83 ENG David Coupland 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.39% 0.01%
84 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.31% -0.07%
85 KOR Kyongjun Moon 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.2% -0.18%
86 FRA Adrien Saddier 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 1.09% 0.75%
87 SCO David Drysdale 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.41% 0.07%
88 USA Sihwan Kim 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% ≈ 294/1 0.2% -0.14%
89 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 1.1% 0.8%
90 ENG Dale Whitnell 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 0.82% 0.51%
91 SCO Ewen Ferguson 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 0.8% 0.49%
92 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 0.35% 0.05%
93 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 0.28% -0.03%
94 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 0.2% -0.1%
95 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 0.19% -0.11%
96 ENG Jack Senior 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 0.17% -0.14%
97 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 327/1 0.16% -0.14%
98 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.24% -0.02%
99 KOR Taehee Lee 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.23% -0.02%
100 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.2% -0.06%
101 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 392/1 0.2% -0.06%
102 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.6% 0.38%
103 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.6% 0.38%
104 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.48% 0.27%
105 AUS Scott Hend 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.45% 0.23%
106 FRA Joel Stalter 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.44% 0.22%
107 FRA Robin Roussel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.35% 0.14%
108 ENG Chris Wood 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.28% 0.07%
109 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.27% 0.05%
110 NED Lars Van Meijel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.24% 0.02%
111 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.22% 0.01%
112 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.2% -0.02%
113 ITA Edoardo Molinari 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 458/1 0.19% -0.03%
114 ENG Oliver Wilson 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 523/1 0.33% 0.14%
115 SCO David Law 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 523/1 0.26% 0.07%
116 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.56% 0.41%
117 ENG Toby Tree 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.56% 0.41%
118 ENG Garrick Porteous 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.53% 0.38%
119 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.52% 0.37%
120 NED Daan Huizing 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.48% 0.33%
121 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.47% 0.32%
122 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.36% 0.2%
123 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.22% 0.07%
124 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.21% 0.06%
125 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.21% 0.06%
126 KOR Yikeun Chang 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.18% 0.03%
127 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 654/1 0.18% 0.03%
128 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 785/1 0.41% 0.28%
129 POR Ricardo Santos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 785/1 0.28% 0.15%
130 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 785/1 0.2% 0.07%
131 ENG David Howell 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1307/1 0.27% 0.19%
132 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1307/1 0.23% 0.16%
133 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1307/1 0.19% 0.11%
134 MAR Ayoub Lguirati 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2614/1 0.2% 0.16%
135 JOR Shergo Kurdi 3000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3921/1 0.21% 0.18%
136 QAT Saleh Musbah Al Kaabi 3000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3921/1 0.2% 0.17%
137 GER Bernd Ritthammer 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
138 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
139 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
140 QAT Ali Abdullah Al Bishi(am) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
141 RSA Ruan Jordaan 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
142 QAT Jaham Jassim Al Kuwari 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 53.5% 28.4%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 53.5% 28.4%
3 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 53.6% 28.5%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 54.3% 29.1%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 30.9%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 33%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.4% 33.1%
8 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 50.6% 34.2%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 51.4% 34.9%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 53.1% 36.4%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.5%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 36.6%
13 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.4%
14 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 42.3%