Betting Market Analysis for Joburg Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 17/1 2.5% -3.09%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 1.84% -2.15%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.09% -1.13%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.94% -1.28%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.61% -1.61%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.48% -1.74%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 2.39% -0.5%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 0.99% -1.9%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.54% -1.17%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 3.48% 1.02%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 1.02% -1.45%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 0.91% -1.55%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.26% -1.07%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.77% -0.28%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.34% -0.7%
16 RSA Wilco Nienaber 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.04% ≈ 48/1 1.3% -0.74%
17 RSA MJ Daffue 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.82% ≈ 54/1 1.4% -0.42%
18 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.64% ≈ 60/1 2.82% 1.17%
19 FRA Antoine Rozner 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.64% ≈ 60/1 1.87% 0.22%
20 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.64% ≈ 60/1 1.37% -0.28%
21 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.64% ≈ 60/1 1.3% -0.35%
22 RSA Richard Sterne 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.64% ≈ 60/1 0.33% -1.31%
23 RSA Jaco Ahlers 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.64% ≈ 60/1 0.33% -1.31%
24 RSA Darren Fichardt 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.5% ≈ 66/1 0.33% -1.17%
25 ENG Richard Bland 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 2.02% 0.77%
26 FRA Alexander Levy 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 1.15% -0.11%
27 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% ≈ 79/1 1.04% -0.21%
28 ENG Steven Brown 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.75% 0.65%
29 FRA Adrien Saddier 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 1.59% 0.56%
30 RSA Bryce Easton 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 1.32% 0.29%
31 POL Adrian Meronk 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.83% ≈ 120/1 1.22% 0.39%
32 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% ≈ 120/1 1.1% 0.27%
33 USA Julian Suri 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.83% ≈ 120/1 0.51% -0.32%
34 RSA JC Ritchie 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.83% ≈ 120/1 0.45% -0.38%
35 RSA Jacques Blaauw 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% ≈ 120/1 0.33% -0.5%
36 RSA Martin Rohwer 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.83% ≈ 120/1 0.33% -0.5%
37 ENG Jack Senior 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.75% ≈ 131/1 0.74% -0.01%
38 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 149/1 1.54% 0.87%
39 SCO Grant Forrest 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 149/1 1.21% 0.54%
40 RSA Justin Walters 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 149/1 1.01% 0.34%
41 ZIM Scott Vincent 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 149/1 0.93% 0.26%
42 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 149/1 0.71% 0.05%
43 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 149/1 0.4% -0.27%
44 BRA Adilson da Silva 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 149/1 0.33% -0.33%
45 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% ≈ 149/1 0.33% -0.33%
46 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 179/1 1.39% 0.83%
47 ENG Ross McGowan 150 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 179/1 1.01% 0.45%
48 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 179/1 0.99% 0.43%
49 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 179/1 0.89% 0.34%
50 RSA Zander Lombard 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 179/1 0.49% -0.06%
51 RSA Keith Horne 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 179/1 0.33% -0.22%
52 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 179/1 0.33% -0.22%
53 RSA Thriston Lawrence 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% ≈ 179/1 0.33% -0.22%
54 RSA Neil Schietekat 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.33% -0.19%
55 RSA Oliver Bekker 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.52% ≈ 191/1 0.33% -0.19%
56 SCO David Law 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.25% -0.22%
57 ENG Dale Whitnell 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 239/1 1.61% 1.19%
58 SCO Ewen Ferguson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 239/1 0.85% 0.43%
59 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 239/1 0.45% 0.04%
60 RSA MJ Viljoen 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 239/1 0.33% -0.09%
61 KOR Yikeun Chang 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% ≈ 239/1 0.32% -0.1%
62 WAL Oliver Farr 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% ≈ 269/1 1.08% 0.71%
63 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% ≈ 269/1 0.33% -0.04%
64 GRE Peter Karmis 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% ≈ 269/1 0.33% -0.04%
65 NIR Cormac Sharvin 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.73% 0.39%
66 ENG Oliver Fisher 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.68% 0.35%
67 ENG Garrick Porteous 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.68% 0.34%
68 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.55% 0.22%
69 FRA Romain Wattel 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.52% 0.19%
70 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.47% 0.14%
71 RSA Haydn Porteous 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.44% 0.11%
72 RSA Hennie Otto 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.33% 0%
73 RSA Keenan Davidse 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% ≈ 299/1 0.33% 0%
74 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.3% ≈ 328/1 0.33% 0.03%
75 FRA Robin Roussel 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 358/1 1.11% 0.83%
76 ESP Alvaro Quiros 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 358/1 0.63% 0.35%
77 RSA Ruan Korb 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 358/1 0.33% 0.05%
78 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% ≈ 358/1 0.27% -0.01%
79 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 1.2% 0.96%
80 SWE Joel Sjoholm 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.76% 0.53%
81 GER Marcel Siem 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.7% 0.46%
82 NED Daan Huizing 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.63% 0.39%
83 POR Ricardo Santos 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.44% 0.2%
84 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.43% 0.19%
85 WAL Rhys Enoch 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.39% 0.15%
86 RSA Alex Haindl 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.33% 0.09%
87 RSA Anthony Michael 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.33% 0.09%
88 RSA Daniel Greene 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.33% 0.09%
89 RSA Anton Haig 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.33% 0.09%
90 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.33% 0.09%
91 RSA Deon Germishuys 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.33% 0.09%
92 RSA Jbe Kruger 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% ≈ 418/1 0.32% 0.08%
93 SWE Philip Eriksson 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 478/1 0.81% 0.6%
94 ENG Jack Harrison 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 478/1 0.36% 0.15%
95 RSA Jean Hugo 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 478/1 0.33% 0.12%
96 POR Pedro Figueiredo 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% ≈ 478/1 0.31% 0.11%
97 ENG David Dixon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 1.72% 1.55%
98 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.81% 0.64%
99 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.54% 0.37%
100 NED Lars Van Meijel 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.44% 0.27%
101 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.38% 0.21%
102 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.33% 0.17%
103 RSA Merrick Bremner 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.33% 0.16%
104 RSA Christiaan Basson 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.33% 0.16%
105 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.33% 0.16%
106 CHI Matias Calderon 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.33% 0.16%
107 RSA Louis Albertse 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.33% 0.16%
108 RSA Jake Redman 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.33% 0.16%
109 SCO Ryan Lumsden 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.33% 0.16%
110 ITA Andrea Pavan 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% ≈ 597/1 0.29% 0.13%
111 FIN Janne Kaske 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 716/1 0.37% 0.24%
112 RSA Callum Mowat 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 716/1 0.33% 0.19%
113 RSA Ockie Strydom 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 716/1 0.33% 0.19%
114 RSA Michael Palmer 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% ≈ 716/1 0.33% 0.19%
115 RSA Jake Roos 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 895/1 0.33% 0.22%
116 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 895/1 0.33% 0.22%
117 ENG Steve Surry 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 895/1 0.33% 0.22%
118 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 895/1 0.33% 0.22%
119 RSA Luke Jerling 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% ≈ 895/1 0.33% 0.22%
120 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1194/1 0.62% 0.53%
121 ENG Jack Floydd 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1194/1 0.34% 0.26%
122 RSA Estiaan Conradie 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1194/1 0.33% 0.25%
123 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1194/1 0.33% 0.25%
124 RSA Dylan Naidoo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1194/1 0.33% 0.25%
125 RSA Andre Nel 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1790/1 0.33% 0.27%
126 RSA Ruan Conradie 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1790/1 0.33% 0.27%
127 RSA CJ du Plessis 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1790/1 0.33% 0.27%
128 POR Stephen Ferreira 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1790/1 0.32% 0.27%
129 RSA JJ Senekal 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2387/1 0.33% 0.29%
130 RSA Ruan de Smidt 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2387/1 0.33% 0.29%
131 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2387/1 0.33% 0.29%
132 RSA James Kingston 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 2984/1 0.33% 0.3%
133 RSA Thabiso Ngcobo 3000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3580/1 0.33% 0.3%
134 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
135 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
136 RSA Colin Nel 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
137 RSA Breyten Meyer 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
138 RSA Riekus Nortje 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
139 RSA Andre De Decker 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
140 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
141 RSA Toto Thimba 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
142 RSA Allister de Kock 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
143 RSA Desne van den Bergh 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
144 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
145 RSA Matthew Spacey 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
146 RSA Peetie Van der Merwe 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
147 RSA Makgetha Mazibuko 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
148 RSA Adriel Poonan 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
149 RSA Richard Joubert 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
150 RSA Nikhil Rama 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
151 ENG Sam Broadhurst 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
152 ENG Joe Long 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
153 RSA Hayden Griffiths 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 RSA Thanda Mavundla 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
155 RSA Evance Vukeya 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 18.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 49.4% 25%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 49.4% 25%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40.8% 25.6%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 29.2%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.3% 30%
6 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30.1%
7 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30.1%
8 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 43.1% 30.4%
9 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 69.2% 31.1%
10 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 32.8%
11 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 32.8%
12 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 49.5% 36.3%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.6%