Betting Market Analysis for RBC Heritage

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 23 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 2.85% 0.43%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 2.66% 0.25%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 2.57% -0.31%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.43% -3.33%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 88/1 2.38% 1.26%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 2.32% 0.12%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 107/1 2.23% 1.31%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 80/1 2.22% 0.99%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 2.18% -2.23%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.17% -1.09%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.15% -3.6%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.15% -0.43%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 2% 0.17%
14 USA Billy Horschel 55 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 1.8% 0.46%
15 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 1.77% 0.3%
16 USA Collin Morikawa 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.56% ≈ 27/1 1.74% -1.83%
17 MEX Abraham Ancer 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.41% ≈ 40/1 1.72% -0.69%
18 ESP Sergio Garcia 40 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% ≈ 54/1 1.71% -0.12%
19 KOR Sungjae Im 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.08% ≈ 47/1 1.7% -0.38%
20 USA Kevin Kisner 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 88/1 1.68% 0.56%
21 IRL Shane Lowry 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% ≈ 60/1 1.63% 0%
22 USA Harris English 45 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% ≈ 60/1 1.59% -0.04%
23 MEX Carlos Ortiz 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 1.57% 0.83%
24 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.88% ≈ 34/1 1.51% -1.37%
25 ENG Lee Westwood 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 88/1 1.41% 0.3%
26 USA Russell Henley 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.34% ≈ 74/1 1.37% 0.04%
27 USA Brian Harman 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% ≈ 44/1 1.34% -0.86%
28 USA Charley Hoffman 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 1.33% 0.1%
29 KOR Siwoo Kim 45 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% ≈ 60/1 1.29% -0.34%
30 ENG Matt Wallace 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% ≈ 121/1 1.25% 0.43%
31 USA Matt Kuchar 66 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 88/1 1.14% 0.02%
32 USA Tom Hoge 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.97% 0.6%
33 USA Brendon Todd 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.95% 0.21%
34 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.95% 0.45%
35 USA Robert Streb 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.94% 0.8%
36 USA Patton Kizzire 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 234/1 0.88% 0.46%
37 USA Michael Thompson 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.88% 0.2%
38 ARG Emiliano Grillo 75 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.99% ≈ 101/1 0.83% -0.16%
39 USA Aaron Wise 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.82% 0.23%
40 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.78% 0.48%
41 USA Zach Johnson 110 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.76% 0.09%
42 USA Kyle Stanley 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.75% 0.45%
43 USA Sam Burns 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.72% 0.22%
44 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.71% 0.41%
45 RSA Dylan Frittelli 100 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.71% -0.03%
46 USA Lucas Glover 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.68% 0.08%
47 RSA Branden Grace 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.66% -0.27%
48 USA Jim Furyk 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.66% 0.29%
49 USA Andrew Putnam 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.65% 0.16%
50 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.63% 0.34%
51 USA Adam Long 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 234/1 0.63% 0.2%
52 USA Stewart Cink 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.61% 0.11%
53 USA Doug Ghim 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.59% 0%
54 USA JT Poston 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.58% -0.02%
55 CAN Adam Hadwin 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 147/1 0.57% -0.1%
56 USA Bo Hoag 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.57% 0.32%
57 USA Luke List 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 234/1 0.57% 0.14%
58 USA Kevin Streelman 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.56% -0.37%
59 USA Charles Howell III 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.54% -0.05%
60 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.54% 0.24%
61 TPE C.T. Pan 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.54% -0.06%
62 SVK Rory Sabbatini 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.52% 0.02%
63 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.51% 0.02%
64 SWE Alexander Noren 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.5% 0%
65 ENG Ian Poulter 70 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.5% -0.56%
66 USA Chase Seiffert 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.49% 0.12%
67 SCO Russell Knox 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 234/1 0.49% 0.06%
68 USA Denny McCarthy 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.48% -0.02%
69 USA Brice Garnett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.47% 0.09%
70 USA Andrew Landry 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.46% 0.31%
71 USA Matthew NeSmith 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.44% -0.05%
72 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.44% -0.15%
73 USA Brandon Hagy 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.43% 0.19%
74 USA Bo Van Pelt 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2004/1 0.43% 0.38%
75 USA Ben Martin 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.42% 0.17%
76 COL Camilo Villegas 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.42% 0.17%
77 ENG Danny Willett 175 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 234/1 0.4% -0.02%
78 USA Harold Varner III 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 167/1 0.4% -0.19%
79 PUR Rafael Campos 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 468/1 0.4% 0.18%
80 USA Patrick Rodgers 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 468/1 0.4% 0.18%
81 USA Robby Shelton 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.39% 0.24%
82 USA Brandt Snedeker 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 201/1 0.38% -0.12%
83 USA William Gordon 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.37% 0.12%
84 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.36% 0.11%
85 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.36% 0.11%
86 USA Brian Gay 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.35% 0.2%
87 USA Peter Malnati 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.35% 0.16%
88 USA Maverick McNealy 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.35% 0.05%
89 USA Ryan Armour 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.34% 0.19%
90 USA Chesson Hadley 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.34% 0.09%
91 KOR Byeong Hun An 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.34% 0.04%
92 USA Scott Brown 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 802/1 0.33% 0.2%
93 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.33% 0.14%
94 USA Troy Merritt 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.32% 0.14%
95 USA Scott Piercy 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.32% 0.07%
96 USA Pat Perez 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.31% 0.06%
97 USA Ted Potter-jr 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1002/1 0.3% 0.2%
98 USA Hudson Swafford 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.3% 0.15%
99 USA Jim Herman 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 802/1 0.29% 0.17%
100 USA Mark Hubbard 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.28% 0.09%
101 USA Brian Stuard 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.27% 0.02%
102 ENG Tom Lewis 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.27% -0.03%
103 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.26% -0.03%
104 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.26% 0.11%
105 USA Austin Cook 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1002/1 0.25% 0.15%
106 USA John Augenstein 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1336/1 0.25% 0.18%
107 USA Vaughn Taylor 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.25% 0.1%
108 SWE Henrik Norlander 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.25% -0.05%
109 USA Scott Stallings 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.24% -0.01%
110 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.24% 0.09%
111 NZL Danny Lee 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.23% 0.04%
112 USA Chez Reavie 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.21% -0.16%
113 NIR Graeme McDowell 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.2% -0.1%
114 USA Wesley Bryan 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.2% 0.05%
115 USA Jason Dufner 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 535/1 0.17% -0.01%
116 KOR K.J. Choi 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1002/1 0.17% 0.07%
117 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 802/1 0.16% 0.04%
118 USA Ryan Moore 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 234/1 0.16% -0.27%
119 USA Martin Trainer 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3340/1 0.16% 0.13%
120 USA Doc Redman 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 234/1 0.15% -0.28%
121 USA Hunter Mahan 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3340/1 0.14% 0.11%
122 USA Nick Watney 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1336/1 0.14% 0.07%
123 ENG Luke Donald 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 802/1 0.14% 0.02%
124 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1336/1 0.14% 0.06%
125 USA Beau Hossler 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.14% -0.01%
126 USA Davis Love III 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1336/1 0.11% 0.03%
127 USA Bill Haas 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 668/1 0.1% -0.05%
128 USA William McGirt 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1002/1 0.09% -0.01%
129 USA Kevin Tway 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1336/1 0.09% 0.02%
130 CHN Zhang Xinjun 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1002/1 0.09% -0.01%
131 USA Bryson Nimmer 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1336/1 0.09% 0.01%
132 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
133 COL Juan Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
134 USA Thomas Gibson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 53.8% 19.1%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 58.7% 22.9%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 58.9% 23.1%
4 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 51.8% 27.1%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44% 28.4%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 44.1% 28.5%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 32.4%
8 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 75.9% 36.3%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.1% 36.5%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 37.3%
11 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 37.7%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.4% 45.3%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 61.9% 47.6%