Betting Market Analysis for THE PLAYERS Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 2.14% -3.01%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 2.21% -2.25%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 1.88% -2.05%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 1.54% -2.4%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.4% -0.78%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.52% -1.66%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.24% -1.94%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 2.26% -0.65%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 1.8% -1.11%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 1.69% -0.88%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 2.18% -0.13%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 0.86% -1.3%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 2.16% 0.2%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 50/1 1.04% -0.93%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 1.78% -0.08%
16 USA Daniel Berger 35 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.86% ≈ 53/1 1.58% -0.28%
17 AUS Jason Day 40 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.63% ≈ 60/1 0.77% -0.86%
18 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 45 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.45% ≈ 68/1 1.47% 0.02%
19 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.45% ≈ 68/1 1.13% -0.32%
20 USA Scottie Scheffler 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.45% ≈ 68/1 0.75% -0.71%
21 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1.68% 0.37%
22 AUS Cameron Smith 50 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1.54% 0.23%
23 KOR Sungjae Im 50 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1.08% -0.23%
24 ENG Paul Casey 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.4% 0.21%
25 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 66 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.35% 0.35%
26 USA Will Zalatoris 66 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% ≈ 99/1 1.22% 0.22%
27 AUS Adam Scott 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% ≈ 99/1 0.72% -0.28%
28 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 70 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.6% 0.65%
29 USA Jason Kokrak 70 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.47% 0.52%
30 ENG Lee Westwood 70 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.4% 0.46%
31 USA Billy Horschel 70 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.39% 0.45%
32 MEX Abraham Ancer 70 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.37% 0.43%
33 CAN Corey Conners 80 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.83% ≈ 120/1 0.81% -0.02%
34 ESP Sergio Garcia 90 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% ≈ 135/1 1.49% 0.75%
35 USA Kevin Na 90 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.73% ≈ 135/1 1.3% 0.56%
36 USA Russell Henley 100 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 1.36% 0.69%
37 USA Max Homa 100 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.66% ≈ 150/1 0.93% 0.26%
38 USA Ryan Palmer 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 1.43% 0.89%
39 MEX Carlos Ortiz 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 1.26% 0.73%
40 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.98% 0.45%
41 USA Cameron Tringale 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.94% 0.41%
42 USA Chris Kirk 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.93% 0.4%
43 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.86% 0.33%
44 USA Kevin Kisner 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.82% 0.29%
45 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.69% 0.16%
46 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.66% 0.13%
47 ENG Ian Poulter 125 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.65% 0.12%
48 AUS Marc Leishman 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.54% 0.01%
49 ITA Francesco Molinari 125 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.54% 0.01%
50 USA Sam Burns 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.45% -0.08%
51 USA Rickie Fowler 125 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.37% -0.16%
52 USA Talor Gooch 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.64% 0.19%
53 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.58% 0.14%
54 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.52% 0.07%
55 USA Keegan Bradley 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.44% 0%
56 USA Matt Kuchar 150 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.27% -0.17%
57 SCO Robert MacIntyre 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 1.13% 0.75%
58 USA Brendon Todd 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.65% 0.27%
59 USA Andrew Putnam 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.61% 0.23%
60 USA Brian Harman 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.56% 0.18%
61 USA Charley Hoffman 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.55% 0.17%
62 USA Kevin Streelman 175 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.42% 0.04%
63 KOR Byeong Hun An 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% ≈ 262/1 0.28% -0.1%
64 IRL Shane Lowry 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.87% 0.54%
65 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.8% 0.47%
66 USA Wyndham Clark 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.78% 0.45%
67 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.75% 0.42%
68 FRA Victor Perez 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.67% 0.34%
69 USA Zach Johnson 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.64% 0.31%
70 AUS Matt Jones 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.59% 0.25%
71 USA Richy Werenski 200 (William Hill: 9 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.58% 0.25%
72 USA Doug Ghim 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.45% 0.12%
73 SWE Alexander Noren 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.42% 0.09%
74 USA Brendan Steele 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.39% 0.05%
75 USA Maverick McNealy 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.38% 0.05%
76 USA Harold Varner III 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.37% 0.04%
77 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.34% 0%
78 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.27% -0.06%
79 USA Luke List 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.26% -0.07%
80 SCO Russell Knox 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.23% -0.1%
81 USA Gary Woodland 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% ≈ 300/1 0.16% -0.17%
82 USA Matthew NeSmith 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 374/1 0.55% 0.29%
83 USA JT Poston 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 374/1 0.47% 0.21%
84 USA Cameron Champ 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 374/1 0.44% 0.17%
85 USA Patton Kizzire 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 374/1 0.32% 0.06%
86 USA Charles Howell III 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 374/1 0.3% 0.04%
87 USA Chez Reavie 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 374/1 0.18% -0.09%
88 SWE Henrik Stenson 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 374/1 0.17% -0.1%
89 USA Phil Mickelson 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 374/1 0.13% -0.14%
90 USA Ryan Moore 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% ≈ 374/1 0.1% -0.16%
91 USA James Hahn 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.74% 0.51%
92 SCO Martin Laird 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.57% 0.35%
93 CAN Nick Taylor 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.4% 0.18%
94 SVK Rory Sabbatini 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.4% 0.18%
95 CAN Adam Hadwin 300 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.35% 0.13%
96 USA Aaron Wise 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.3% 0.08%
97 USA Kyle Stanley 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.3% 0.08%
98 ENG Tom Lewis 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.23% 0.01%
99 USA Patrick Rodgers 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.23% 0.01%
100 USA Lucas Glover 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.23% 0%
101 USA Joel Dahmen 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.22% 0%
102 USA Adam Long 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.5% 0.3%
103 USA Peter Malnati 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.47% 0.28%
104 USA Tom Hoge 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.45% 0.26%
105 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.43% 0.24%
106 AUT Sepp Straka 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.38% 0.19%
107 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.3% 0.11%
108 USA Michael Thompson 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.28% 0.08%
109 RSA Dylan Frittelli 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.25% 0.06%
110 USA Brandt Snedeker 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.22% 0.03%
111 USA Scott Piercy 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.2% 0.01%
112 RSA Charl Schwartzel 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.17% -0.02%
113 USA Doc Redman 350 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.12% -0.07%
114 USA Keith Mitchell 350 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.12% -0.07%
115 USA Denny McCarthy 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.31% 0.14%
116 USA Mark Hubbard 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.29% 0.13%
117 USA Stewart Cink 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.29% 0.13%
118 USA Scott Stallings 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.21% 0.04%
119 AUS Cameron Percy 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.2% 0.03%
120 USA Pat Perez 400 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% ≈ 599/1 0.16% -0.01%
121 USA Andrew Landry 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.41% 0.27%
122 USA Bo Hoag 500 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.37% 0.24%
123 USA Brice Garnett 500 (Paddy Power: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.3% 0.17%
124 TPE C.T. Pan 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.29% 0.16%
125 USA Hudson Swafford 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.28% 0.15%
126 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.22% 0.08%
127 USA Adam Schenk 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.2% 0.07%
128 USA Troy Merritt 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.19% 0.06%
129 USA Jason Dufner 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.17% 0.03%
130 NIR Graeme McDowell 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.16% 0.03%
131 USA Brian Stuard 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.14% 0.01%
132 USA Vaughn Taylor 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.14% 0.01%
133 USA Sam Ryder 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.14% 0.01%
134 NZL Danny Lee 500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% ≈ 748/1 0.14% 0.01%
135 USA Robert Streb 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.52% 0.41%
136 USA Brian Gay 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.48% 0.37%
137 USA Austin Cook 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.37% 0.25%
138 USA Robby Shelton 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.31% 0.2%
139 USA Scott Brown 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.21% 0.1%
140 IND Anirban Lahiri 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.21% 0.09%
141 USA Harry Higgs 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.15% 0.04%
142 KOR Sunghoon Kang 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.12% 0.01%
143 USA Beau Hossler 600 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.11% ≈ 898/1 0.1% -0.01%
144 USA Ryan Armour 750 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1122/1 0.25% 0.16%
145 USA Tyler McCumber 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1122/1 0.22% 0.13%
146 USA Jim Herman 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1122/1 0.21% 0.12%
147 CHN Zhang Xinjun 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% ≈ 1122/1 0.1% 0.01%
148 USA Jimmy Walker 1000 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1496/1 0.17% 0.11%
149 USA Scott Harrington 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1496/1 0.13% 0.07%
150 USA Jerry Kelly 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1496/1 0.06% -0.01%
151 USA Steve Stricker 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
152 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
153 USA Kramer Hickok 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 44.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 10 @ 1/5 68.7% 13.7%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 10 @ 1/5 70.5% 14.9%
3 Paddy Power 10 @ 1/5 70.7% 15%
4 Bet365 8 @ 1/5 49.5% 15.8%
5 Betfred 10 @ 1/5 75% 17.9%
6 William Hill 9 @ 1/5 64.8% 18.6%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 80.1% 21.3%
8 VBet 8 @ 1/5 62.8% 26.1%
9 Betway 8 @ 1/5 70.3% 32%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 39.8%
11 Redzone 7 @ 1/5 67.5% 40.3%
12 SportPesa 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 41.6%
13 10Bet 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 41.6%
14 Sport Nation 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 41.6%
15 Mansion Bet 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 41.6%
16 Unibet 7 @ 1/5 70.8% 43.1%
17 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 74.1% 45.9%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 66% 48.1%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 72.9% 57.6%