Betting Market Analysis for Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 6.31% 1.99%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 3.22% 0.39%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 3.02% -0.48%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 2.71% 0.91%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 90/1 2.47% 1.38%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 17/1 2.33% -3.32%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 2.3% 0.25%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 2.01% -0.03%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.94% -0.43%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 204/1 1.77% 1.28%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 1.63% -2.24%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.58% -0.58%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.57% -0.47%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 62/1 1.5% -0.1%
15 USA Chris Baker 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 1.48% 0.76%
16 USA Patrick Rodgers 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% ≈ 68/1 1.38% -0.07%
17 AUS Matt Jones 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 1.22% 0.01%
18 ARG Fabian Gomez 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 1.17% 0.8%
19 USA Brian Stuard 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% ≈ 68/1 1.16% -0.28%
20 CAN Michael Gligic 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 1.14% 0.77%
21 AUT Matthias Schwab 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% ≈ 55/1 1.14% -0.66%
22 USA Charley Hoffman 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% ≈ 55/1 1.13% -0.66%
23 USA Luke List 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% ≈ 55/1 1.13% -0.67%
24 USA Chase Seiffert 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 1.11% 0.7%
25 USA Vincent Whaley 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 1.1% 0.52%
26 ARG Emiliano Grillo 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% ≈ 38/1 1.09% -1.45%
27 CHN Zhang Xinjun 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% ≈ 68/1 1.08% -0.36%
28 USA Sam Ryder 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% ≈ 123/1 1.07% 0.27%
29 IRL Seamus Power 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 1.03% 0.12%
30 USA J.J Spaun 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.94% 0.36%
31 USA Kyle Stanley 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 0.93% -0.38%
32 USA Beau Hossler 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.92% 0.01%
33 USA Hank Lebioda 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.88% 0.39%
34 USA James Hahn 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% ≈ 123/1 0.85% 0.04%
35 USA Denny McCarthy 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% ≈ 48/1 0.85% -1.2%
36 USA Ryan Armour 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.83% 0.24%
37 USA Chris Stroud 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.8% 0.31%
38 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.78% 0.2%
39 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 0.77% 0.4%
40 USA Keith Mitchell 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.75% -0.35%
41 AUS Cameron Percy 90 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% ≈ 123/1 0.73% -0.08%
42 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.72% -0.01%
43 TPE C.T. Pan 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.71% 0.13%
44 USA Bo Hoag 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.7% -0.21%
45 USA Chris Kirk 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.68% -0.23%
46 USA Kevin Chappell 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.67% -0.06%
47 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 0.66% 0.29%
48 USA Doug Ghim 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.64% -0.27%
49 SWE Carl Pettersson 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 680/1 0.64% 0.49%
50 USA George McNeill 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.59% 0.34%
51 USA Michael Gellerman 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 680/1 0.59% 0.44%
52 AUS Rhein Gibson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 476/1 0.59% 0.38%
53 USA Brice Garnett 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 0.58% -0.62%
54 SWE Henrik Stenson 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% ≈ 48/1 0.58% -1.46%
55 RSA Branden Grace 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% ≈ 55/1 0.57% -1.22%
56 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% ≈ 68/1 0.57% -0.87%
57 USA Ricky Barnes 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 0.57% 0.2%
58 USA Zac Blair 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% ≈ 306/1 0.57% 0.24%
59 CAN David Hearn 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.55% 0.07%
60 IND Arjun Atwal 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 544/1 0.55% 0.36%
61 NIR Graeme McDowell 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.54% -0.36%
62 USA Robert Streb 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 476/1 0.54% 0.33%
63 USA Brandon Hagy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.54% 0.05%
64 AUS Aaron Baddeley 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.54% 0.05%
65 AUS John Senden 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1360/1 0.51% 0.43%
66 USA Josh Teater 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.51% 0.02%
67 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.51% -0.22%
68 USA D.J. Trahan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 0.51% 0.14%
69 ARG Nelson Ledesma 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 544/1 0.49% 0.31%
70 USA Mark Anderson 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.49% -0.09%
71 USA Kurt Kitayama 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.48% -0.43%
72 USA Peter Uihlein 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.47% -0.11%
73 USA Rob Oppenheim 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.47% -0.26%
74 ENG Benjamin Taylor 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.47% 0.23%
75 NZL Tim Wilkinson 150 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.45% -0.04%
76 CAN Roger Sloan 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.44% -0.14%
77 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 340/1 0.44% 0.15%
78 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 476/1 0.44% 0.23%
79 USA Scott Brown 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 0.42% 0.05%
80 USA Ryan Brehm 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 0.41% 0.05%
81 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.41% -0.07%
82 USA Tyler McCumber 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.39% 0.15%
83 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1360/1 0.39% 0.32%
84 USA Michael Kim 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1020/1 0.39% 0.29%
85 USA Matt Every 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.39% 0.14%
86 USA Joseph Bramlett 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.36% -0.22%
87 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.36% -0.23%
88 USA Shawn Stefani 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 476/1 0.35% 0.14%
89 USA Zack Sucher 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.35% 0.11%
90 USA Johnson Wagner 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.35% 0.11%
91 USA Ryan Blaum 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.35% 0.11%
92 USA Dominic Bozzelli 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.35% 0.11%
93 USA Wes Roach 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 170/1 0.35% -0.23%
94 USA Scott Harrington 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.34% -0.14%
95 USA Bill Haas 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 0.32% -0.04%
96 USA Ben Martin 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.31% -0.42%
97 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 0.31% -0.11%
98 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.31% -0.18%
99 USA Peter Malnati 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.31% -0.18%
100 USA Grayson Murray 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 0.3% -0.12%
101 KOR Joohyung Kim 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.3% -0.43%
102 ARG Andres Romero 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.3% 0.06%
103 USA Eric Axley 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2721/1 0.28% 0.24%
104 ENG Brian Davis 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2040/1 0.28% 0.23%
105 USA John Rollins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2040/1 0.28% 0.23%
106 USA Jason Bohn 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1360/1 0.28% 0.21%
107 PUR Rafael Campos 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 680/1 0.28% 0.13%
108 CAN Graham Delaet 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 476/1 0.28% 0.07%
109 USA Sean O'Hair 300 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.28% 0.03%
110 USA Kelly Kraft 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 272/1 0.28% -0.09%
111 SCO Martin Laird 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.28% -0.21%
112 USA Benjamin Cook 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1020/1 0.27% 0.17%
113 USA Kevin Tway 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 0.27% -0.15%
114 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1360/1 0.27% 0.2%
115 USA Ted Purdy 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2040/1 0.27% 0.22%
116 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1360/1 0.27% 0.19%
117 SWE Daniel Chopra 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 816/1 0.27% 0.14%
118 USA Robert Garrigus 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 680/1 0.27% 0.12%
119 USA John Merrick 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 680/1 0.27% 0.12%
120 PAR Carlos Franco 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3401/1 0.27% 0.24%
121 DOM Hiram Silfa 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3401/1 0.27% 0.24%
122 SWE Richard S. Johnson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1360/1 0.27% 0.19%
123 ARG Sebastian Saavedra 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1360/1 0.27% 0.19%
124 MEX Isidro Benitez 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1360/1 0.27% 0.19%
125 DOM Julio Santos 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1360/1 0.27% 0.19%
126 ARG Tommy Cocha 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 816/1 0.27% 0.14%
127 USA Gavin Hall 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 544/1 0.27% 0.08%
128 USA Alex Smalley 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 408/1 0.27% 0.02%
129 MEX Roberto Diaz 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 340/1 0.27% -0.03%
130 SWE David Lingmerth 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 544/1 0.27% 0.08%
131 USA Parker McLachlin 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2040/1 0.26% 0.21%
132 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 680/1 0.26% 0.11%
133 GER Alex Cejka 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 680/1 0.26% 0.11%
134 USA Tommy Gainey 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 680/1 0.26% 0.11%
135 USA Jamie Lovemark 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 340/1 0.26% -0.03%
136 USA J.J. Henry 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1020/1 0.25% 0.15%
137 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
138 DOM Guillermo Pumarol 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
139 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
140 USA Michael Kartrude 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
141 USA Luke Graboyes 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
142 DOM Juan Jose Guerra 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
143 USA Matthew Oshrine 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
144 DOM Marcel Olivares 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 49.4% 15.5%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 27.9%
3 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.2% 29.9%
4 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 44.8% 31.9%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 70.7% 32.1%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 32.8%
7 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.7% 32.8%
8 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 33.4%
9 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
10 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 48.3% 35.2%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 35.8%
15 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 38%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 40.5%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 45.5%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 59.6% 45.5%