Betting Market Analysis for Houston Open
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 4 years ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 11/1 | 5.44% | -3.09% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 26/1 | 2.71% | -1% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 26/1 | 1.1% | -2.61% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 1.84% | -1.44% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 1.11% | -2.17% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 35/1 | 1.15% | -1.6% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 39/1 | 1.68% | -0.83% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 1.71% | -0.37% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 47/1 | 1.26% | -0.82% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 53/1 | 1.99% | 0.14% | |
| 11 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 53/1 | 1.38% | -0.47% | |
| 12 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 53/1 | 0.65% | -1.2% | |
| 13 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 59/1 | 2.12% | 0.44% | |
| 14 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 59/1 | 1.58% | -0.09% | |
| 15 |
| Bud Cauley | 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.67% ≈ 59/1 | 1.37% | -0.3% | |
| 16 |
| Sam Ryder | 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.67% ≈ 59/1 | 1.01% | -0.66% | |
| 17 |
| Beau Hossler | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.67% ≈ 59/1 | 0.74% | -0.93% | |
| 18 |
| Lanto Griffin | 60 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.4% ≈ 71/1 | 2.48% | 1.08% | |
| 19 |
| Bronson Burgoon | 60 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.4% ≈ 71/1 | 1.25% | -0.15% | |
| 20 |
| Nick Watney | 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 2.13% | 0.86% | |
| 21 |
| Carlos Ortiz | 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 1.41% | 0.14% | |
| 22 |
| Robby Shelton | 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 1.28% | 0.01% | |
| 23 |
| Martin Laird | 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 1.24% | -0.03% | |
| 24 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 0.92% | -0.35% | |
| 25 |
| Richy Werenski | 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 0.8% | -0.48% | |
| 26 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 66 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 0.74% | -0.53% | |
| 27 |
| Kevin Chappell | 70 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.2% ≈ 82/1 | 0.61% | -0.59% | |
| 28 |
| Zhang Xinjun | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.95% | 0.89% | |
| 29 |
| Brice Garnett | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.11% | 0.06% | |
| 30 |
| Brian Gay | 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 1.01% | -0.04% | |
| 31 |
| Austin Cook | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 0.91% | -0.15% | |
| 32 |
| Tom Lewis | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 0.84% | -0.22% | |
| 33 |
| Scott Stallings | 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 1.05% ≈ 94/1 | 0.77% | -0.29% | |
| 34 |
| Tom Hoge | 90 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.94% ≈ 106/1 | 1.29% | 0.35% | |
| 35 |
| Andrew Landry | 90 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.94% ≈ 106/1 | 1.28% | 0.35% | |
| 36 |
| Peter Uihlein | 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.94% ≈ 106/1 | 0.92% | -0.02% | |
| 37 |
| Mark Hubbard | 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 1.95% | 1.11% | |
| 38 |
| Doc Redman | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 1.64% | 0.8% | |
| 39 |
| Sam Burns | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 1.55% | 0.71% | |
| 40 |
| Harry Higgs | 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 1.24% | 0.39% | |
| 41 |
| Roger Sloan | 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 1.23% | 0.38% | |
| 42 |
| Jason Dufner | 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 1.02% | 0.18% | |
| 43 |
| Lucas Bjerregaard | 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 0.98% | 0.14% | |
| 44 |
| Zac Blair | 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 0.82% | -0.02% | |
| 45 |
| Brendan Steele | 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 0.66% | -0.18% | |
| 46 |
| Patton Kizzire | 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.84% ≈ 117/1 | 0.65% | -0.19% | |
| 47 |
| Matt Every | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 1.78% | 1.01% | |
| 48 |
| Michael Thompson | 110 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.9% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 1.08% | 0.31% | |
| 49 |
| Sepp Straka | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 1.66% | 0.98% | |
| 50 |
| Scott Harrington | 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 1.25% | 0.58% | |
| 51 |
| Robert Streb | 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.75% | 0.07% | |
| 52 |
| Stewart Cink | 125 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.71% | 0.03% | |
| 53 |
| Kramer Hickok | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.67% | -0.01% | |
| 54 |
| Joseph Bramlett | 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.61% | -0.06% | |
| 55 |
| J.J Spaun | 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.55% | -0.13% | |
| 56 |
| Matthew NeSmith | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.46% | -0.22% | |
| 57 |
| Patrick Rodgers | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.68% ≈ 147/1 | 0.45% | -0.23% | |
| 58 |
| Shawn Stefani | 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 1.16% | 0.59% | |
| 59 |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 1.13% | 0.56% | |
| 60 |
| Peter Malnati | 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.99% | 0.43% | |
| 61 |
| Bill Haas | 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.83% | 0.27% | |
| 62 |
| Cameron Davis | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.83% | 0.26% | |
| 63 |
| Johnson Wagner | 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.8% | 0.24% | |
| 64 |
| Hank Lebioda | 150 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.76% | 0.19% | |
| 65 |
| Ryan Armour | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.62% | 0.05% | |
| 66 |
| Talor Gooch | 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.54% | -0.02% | |
| 67 |
| Grayson Murray | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.47% | -0.1% | |
| 68 |
| D.J. Trahan | 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.43% | -0.14% | |
| 69 |
| Dominic Bozzelli | 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.62% | 0.53% ≈ 188/1 | 0.85% | 0.32% | |
| 70 |
| Zack Sucher | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.48% ≈ 205/1 | 0.91% | 0.43% | |
| 71 |
| Doug Ghim | 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.48% ≈ 205/1 | 0.76% | 0.28% | |
| 72 |
| Roberto Castro | 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.48% ≈ 205/1 | 0.74% | 0.25% | |
| 73 |
| Tyler Duncan | 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.48% ≈ 205/1 | 0.53% | 0.05% | |
| 74 |
| Maverick McNealy | 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.48% ≈ 205/1 | 0.41% | -0.08% | |
| 75 |
| Chris Stroud | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.42% ≈ 235/1 | 0.85% | 0.42% | |
| 76 |
| Scott Brown | 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.42% ≈ 235/1 | 0.49% | 0.07% | |
| 77 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 225 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.44% | 0.38% ≈ 264/1 | 1.1% | 0.72% | |
| 78 |
| Ted Potter-jr | 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.44% | 0.38% ≈ 264/1 | 0.54% | 0.16% | |
| 79 |
| Rhein Gibson | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 293/1 | 1.11% | 0.77% | |
| 80 |
| Jim Herman | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 293/1 | 0.88% | 0.54% | |
| 81 |
| Bo Hoag | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 293/1 | 0.63% | 0.29% | |
| 82 |
| Seamus Power | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 293/1 | 0.41% | 0.07% | |
| 83 |
| Tyler McCumber | 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 293/1 | 0.22% | -0.12% | |
| 84 |
| Chase Seiffert | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 293/1 | 0.22% | -0.12% | |
| 85 |
| Henrik Norlander | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 293/1 | 0.21% | -0.13% | |
| 86 |
| Ryan Brehm | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.34% ≈ 293/1 | 0.21% | -0.13% | |
| 87 |
| Mark Anderson | 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 1.85% | 1.56% | |
| 88 |
| Josh Teater | 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 1.26% | 0.98% | |
| 89 |
| Wes Roach | 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 0.72% | 0.44% | |
| 90 |
| Sebastian Cappelen | 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.21% ≈ 469/1 | 0.22% | 0.01% | |
| 91 |
| Michael Gligic | 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.33% | 0.16% | |
| 92 |
| Graham Delaet | 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.23% | 0.06% | |
| 93 |
| Chandler Phillips | 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.23% | 0.06% | |
| 94 |
| Michael Gellerman | 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.22% | 0.05% | |
| 95 |
| Tommy Gainey | 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.17% ≈ 587/1 | 0.21% | 0.04% | |
| 96 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.14% ≈ 704/1 | 0.24% | 0.1% | |
| 97 |
| Nelson Ledesma | 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.14% ≈ 704/1 | 0.21% | 0.07% | |
| 98 |
| Martin Trainer | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.14% ≈ 704/1 | 0.2% | 0.06% | |
| 99 |
| John Rollins | 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.1% | 0.09% ≈ 1173/1 | 0.28% | 0.2% | |
| 100 |
| Daniel Chopra | 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.09% ≈ 1173/1 | 0.28% | 0.19% | |
| 101 |
| Rich Beem | 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.07% | 0.06% ≈ 1760/1 | 0.21% | 0.16% | |
| 102 |
| Omar Uresti | 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.04% | 0.03% ≈ 2933/1 | 0.18% | 0.15% | |
| 103 |
| Hunter Mahan | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 104 |
| Brendon Todd | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 105 |
| John Senden | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 106 |
| Sangmoon Bae | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 107 |
| Boo Weekley | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 108 |
| David Hearn | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 109 |
| Ben Crane | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 110 |
| David Lingmerth | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 111 |
| John Huh | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 112 |
| Dawie van der Walt | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 113 |
| Robert Garrigus | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 114 |
| Alex Cejka | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 115 |
| Robert Allenby | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 116 |
| Jonathan Byrd | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 117 |
| James Hahn | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 118 |
| Ricky Barnes | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 119 |
| D.A. Points | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 120 |
| J.J. Henry | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 121 |
| John Merrick | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 122 |
| Chad Campbell | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 123 |
| Arjun Atwal | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 124 |
| Derek Ernst | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 125 |
| Michael Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 126 |
| Tim Herron | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 127 |
| Rob Oppenheim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 128 |
| Rafael Campos | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 129 |
| Brandon Hagy | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 130 |
| Chris Baker | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 131 |
| Sebastian Munoz | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 132 |
| Vince Covello | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 133 |
| Benjamin Taylor | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 134 |
| George Cunningham | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 135 |
| Parker McLachlin | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 136 |
| George McNeill | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 137 |
| Andy Zhang | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 138 |
| Vincent Whaley | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 139 |
| Michael Perras | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 140 |
| Brandon Wu | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 141 |
| Braden Bailey | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 142 |
| Cole Hammer | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 143 |
| Jeremy Gandon | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 144 |
| Logan McCracken | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 14.5 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.7 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Sportsbook | 8 @ 1/5 | 44% | 11.4% |
| 2 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 47.4% | 14% |
| 3 | Paddy Power | 8 @ 1/5 | 47.4% | 14.1% |
| 4 | Marathon Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 28.6% | 14.6% |
| 5 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 29.8% | 15.7% |
| 6 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 27.2% | 16% |
| 7 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 44.6% | 21% |
| 8 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 33.1% | 21.3% |
| 9 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 36% | 23.9% |
| 10 | Sportingbet | 5 @ 1/4 | 39.1% | 24% |
| 11 | Ladbrokes | 5 @ 1/4 | 39.2% | 24% |
| 12 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 37.7% | 25.4% |
| 13 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 39.2% | 26.8% |
| 14 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 40.5% | 28% |
| 15 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.3% | 36.7% |
| 16 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.3% | 36.7% |
| 17 | Bethard | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.3% | 36.7% |
| 18 | MoPlay | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.3% | 36.7% |
| 19 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.3% | 36.7% |