Betting Market Analysis for BMW Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 0% 0%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 0% 0%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 0% 0%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 19/1 0% 0%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 0% 0%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 0% 0%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 0% 0%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 0% 0%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 0% 0%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 33/1 0% 0%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 0% 0%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 0% 0%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 0% 0%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 0% 0%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 0% 0%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 0% 0%
17 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 0% 0%
18 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 0% 0%
19 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 0% 0%
20 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 66/1 0% 0%
21 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 73/1 0% 0%
22 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 73/1 0% 0%
23 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 73/1 0% 0%
24 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 73/1 0% 0%
25 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 88/1 0% 0%
26 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 88/1 0% 0%
27 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 88/1 0% 0%
28 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 88/1 0% 0%
29 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 93/1 0% 0%
30 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 106/1 0% 0%
31 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 106/1 0% 0%
32 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 106/1 0% 0%
33 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 106/1 0% 0%
34 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 106/1 0% 0%
35 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 106/1 0% 0%
36 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 106/1 0% 0%
37 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 119/1 0% 0%
38 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 119/1 0% 0%
39 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 119/1 0% 0%
40 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 119/1 0% 0%
41 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 146/1 0% 0%
42 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 166/1 0% 0%
43 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 166/1 0% 0%
44 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 186/1 0% 0%
45 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 199/1 0% 0%
46 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 199/1 0% 0%
47 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 199/1 0% 0%
48 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 199/1 0% 0%
49 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 199/1 0% 0%
50 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 212/1 0% 0%
51 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 212/1 0% 0%
52 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 232/1 0% 0%
53 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 265/1 0% 0%
54 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 265/1 0% 0%
55 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 265/1 0% 0%
56 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 265/1 0% 0%
57 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 265/1 0% 0%
58 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 265/1 0% 0%
59 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 265/1 0% 0%
60 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 265/1 0% 0%
61 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 331/1 0% 0%
62 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 331/1 0% 0%
63 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 331/1 0% 0%
64 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 331/1 0% 0%
65 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 397/1 0% 0%
66 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 397/1 0% 0%
67 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 463/1 0% 0%
68 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 794/1 0% 0%
69 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 44.1% 21%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 45.8% 22.5%
3 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 46.7% 23.2%
4 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 27.1%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51.8% 27.6%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.4% 28.2%
7 Coral 7 @ 1/5 52.7% 28.3%
8 Unibet 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 29%
9 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 29%
10 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 45.9% 30.4%
11 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 47.2% 31.6%
12 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 32.4%
13 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 33%
14 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 33%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 33%
16 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 33%
17 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 33%
18 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 49.4% 33.5%
19 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 46.3% 33.6%
20 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 47.4% 34.5%
21 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 50.7% 34.7%