Betting Market Analysis for Corales Puntacana Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 3.82% -1.41%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 2.95% -2.28%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 1.12% -2.29%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.56% -1.7%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.9% -0.8%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 1.38% -1.32%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 2.46% -0.06%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.64% -0.67%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.5% -0.81%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.49% -0.81%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 1.3% -1%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 0.17% -2.14%
13 USA Benjamin Griffin 35 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.18% ≈ 45/1 1.1% -1.08%
14 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.7% ≈ 58/1 1.43% -0.27%
15 USA Sam Ryder 50 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.66% 0.12%
16 USA Nick Hardy 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.51% -0.02%
17 USA Joel Dahmen 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.44% -0.1%
18 USA Chan Kim 50 (Betfair : 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.44% -0.1%
19 USA Joseph Bramlett 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.54% ≈ 64/1 1.21% -0.32%
20 USA Daniel Berger 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.45% ≈ 68/1 0.78% -0.67%
21 RSA Garrick Higgo 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.4% ≈ 70/1 0.84% -0.56%
22 USA Justin Lower 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.33% ≈ 74/1 1.37% 0.04%
23 USA Bud Cauley 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.33% ≈ 74/1 1% -0.32%
24 RSA Thriston Lawrence 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.73% 0.56%
25 CAN Taylor Pendrith 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.58% 0.41%
26 USA Jimmy Stanger 66 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.43% 0.26%
27 USA Tyler Duncan 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.35% 0.18%
28 USA Greyson Sigg 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.32% 0.15%
29 USA Chad Ramey 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.1% -0.07%
30 USA Michael Kim 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% ≈ 84/1 1.09% -0.08%
31 USA Max Greyserman 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 0.81% -0.33%
32 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.14% ≈ 87/1 0.69% -0.45%
33 USA Charley Hoffman 70 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.35% 0.25%
34 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 70 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.79% -0.32%
35 USA Peter Kuest 75 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 1.2% 0.17%
36 USA Joe Highsmith 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 2% 1.03%
37 CAN Benjamin Silverman 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.32% 0.35%
38 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.15% 0.18%
39 USA Hayden Springer 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% ≈ 102/1 1.05% 0.08%
40 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 1.41% 0.47%
41 USA Lanto Griffin 85 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.16% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.74% -0.17%
42 USA Alex Smalley 85 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.16% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.69% -0.22%
43 USA Jacob Bridgeman 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.84% ≈ 118/1 1.06% 0.21%
44 USA Vincent Whaley 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 1.3% 0.53%
45 USA Carson Young 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 1.23% 0.45%
46 USA Austin Smotherman 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 0.74% -0.04%
47 USA Parker Coody 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 0.61% -0.17%
48 USA Martin Trainer 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% ≈ 128/1 0.51% -0.26%
49 USA Brandon Wu 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 141/1 0.69% -0.01%
50 USA Kevin Dougherty 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% ≈ 141/1 0.67% -0.04%
51 ESP Jorge Campillo 120 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.83% 0.65% ≈ 153/1 1.13% 0.48%
52 USA Ryan Palmer 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.77% 0.15%
53 USA Kevin Chappell 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.64% 0.02%
54 USA Kevin Tway 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.53% -0.1%
55 USA Troy Merritt 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.52% -0.1%
56 USA Ben Kohles 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 1.73% 1.13%
57 COL Nicolas Echavarria 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 1.07% 0.47%
58 USA Chez Reavie 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.98% 0.38%
59 ITA Francesco Molinari 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.76% 0.16%
60 USA Matthew NeSmith 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.68% 0.09%
61 SWE Henrik Norlander 130 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.76% 0.6% ≈ 166/1 0.32% -0.27%
62 USA David Lipsky 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.72% 0.2%
63 USA Harrison Endycott 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.52% 0%
64 USA Hayden Buckley 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.35% -0.17%
65 USA Tyson Alexander 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 1.06% 0.58%
66 PUR Rafael Campos 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.72% 0.23%
67 USA Wilson Furr 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.63% 0.14%
68 CAN Roger Sloan 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.56% 0.08%
69 USA Scott Piercy 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% ≈ 223/1 0.53% 0.09%
70 USA Tom Whitney 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 1.21% 0.82%
71 USA Adam Long 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.68% 0.29%
72 USA Austin Cook 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.58% 0.19%
73 USA Patton Kizzire 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 287/1 1.14% 0.8%
74 USA James Hahn 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 287/1 0.88% 0.53%
75 USA Patrick Fishburn 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 287/1 0.62% 0.28%
76 USA Pierceson Coody 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 287/1 0.43% 0.08%
77 ENG Callum Tarren 225 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 287/1 0.28% -0.07%
78 BEL Adrien Dumont de Chassart 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 1.92% 1.61%
79 SCO Russell Knox 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.43% 0.11%
80 USA Chris W. Black 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 319/1 0.17% -0.14%
81 FRA Paul Barjon 275 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% ≈ 351/1 0.88% 0.59%
82 USA Richy Werenski 275 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% ≈ 351/1 0.67% 0.39%
83 RSA MJ Daffue 275 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% ≈ 351/1 0.45% 0.17%
84 USA Sean O'Hair 275 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% ≈ 351/1 0.33% 0.05%
85 USA Josh Teater 275 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.28% ≈ 351/1 0.21% -0.08%
86 USA Ryan Brehm 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 383/1 0.5% 0.24%
87 USA Ryan McCormick 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 383/1 0.41% 0.15%
88 USA Trace Crowe 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 383/1 0.17% -0.09%
89 USA Cody Gribble 450 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.22% 0.17% ≈ 574/1 0.61% 0.44%
90 USA Wesley Bryan 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 624/1 0.77% 0.61%
91 USA Tommy Gainey 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 624/1 0.65% 0.49%
92 USA Ryan Armour 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 638/1 0.22% 0.06%
93 USA Harry Higgs 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 638/1 0.2% 0.04%
94 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 638/1 0.17% 0.01%
95 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 638/1 0.16% 0%
96 USA Scott Gutschewski 600 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 766/1 0.36% 0.23%
97 USA Jason Dufner 600 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 766/1 0.31% 0.18%
98 USA Bill Haas 600 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 766/1 0.17% 0.04%
99 USA Jimmy Walker 600 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 766/1 0.16% 0.03%
100 USA William McGirt 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 957/1 0.39% 0.28%
101 USA Ricky Barnes 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 957/1 0.33% 0.23%
102 USA Chase Johnson 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 957/1 0.21% 0.11%
103 USA Robert Streb 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 957/1 0.2% 0.1%
104 USA Paul Haley-II 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 957/1 0.2% 0.09%
105 KOR Sunghoon Kang 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 957/1 0.17% 0.07%
106 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 957/1 0.15% 0.05%
107 USA Jim Herman 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 957/1 0.14% 0.03%
108 MEX Raul Pereda De La Huerta 800 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.12% 0.1% ≈ 1021/1 0.38% 0.28%
109 USA Brian Stuard 800 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.12% 0.1% ≈ 1021/1 0.29% 0.19%
110 USA Erik Compton 800 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.12% 0.1% ≈ 1021/1 0.17% 0.07%
111 USA Joseph Deraney 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1276/1 0.17% 0.09%
112 USA Kyle Stanley 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2551/1 0.72% 0.68%
113 USA George McNeill 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2551/1 0.18% 0.14%
114 USA Thomas Longbella 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2551/1 0.17% 0.13%
115 Braden Shattuck 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2551/1 0.17% 0.13%
116 USA D.A. Points 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3189/1 0.63% 0.6%
117 USA Jeff Overton 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3189/1 0.18% 0.15%
118 USA Nick Watney 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3189/1 0.14% 0.11%
119 DOM Julio Santos 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6378/1 0.17% 0.15%
120 DOM Hiram Silfa 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6378/1 0.17% 0.15%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 19.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 60.8% 22.3%
2 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 39.3% 25%
3 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 39.3% 25%
4 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.3% 26.3%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 26.4%
6 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 53.9% 26.6%
7 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 54.4% 27%
8 Coral 7 @ 1/5 54.4% 27%
9 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 27.1%
10 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 46.5% 29.1%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.3% 29.5%
12 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 45.2% 30.3%
13 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 45.2% 30.3%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.8% 31.7%
15 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.4% 32.3%
16 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 33.5%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.4% 34.9%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 50.4% 34.9%
19 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 50.4% 34.9%
20 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 37.6%
21 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 37.6%
22 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 855.6% 597.2%